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2025 Japanese Grand Prix in Suzuka - F1 Fantasy Race Preview, Strategy and Analysis

Oscar Piastri - Formula One, F1 DFS Lineup Picks

Euan Leith's preview of the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix for F1 Fantasy includes weather updates, differentials for your squads, and predictions for qualifying and the Grand Prix.

Happy Japanese Grand Prix, RotoBallers! We've had our first break of the season, and now it's time for the first triple-header of the 2025 F1 Fantasy season. Over the next three weeks, there will be races in Japan, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia.

The Chinese Grand Prix was a pretty tame affair until Charles Leclerc, Pierre Gasly, and Lewis Hamilton were disqualified for different infractions after the race. I feel bad for F1 Fantasy managers who used their Limitless chips and had Leclerc, Hamilton, and Ferrari as a constructor in their lineup.

The deadline for the Japanese Grand Prix in F1 Fantasy is Saturday, April 5, at 2:00 a.m. EDT, when Qualifying starts. Also, check out the rest of our excellent DFS racing coverage to get you through every NASCAR and Formula 1 race. Also, if you need a refresher on the rules of F1 Fantasy, check out our How to Play guide from the preseason.

Want to build a winning fantasy F1 lineup? Check out our How To Play F1 Fantasy (Formula 1): Overview Guide, Tips, Chips, and Rules for all the essential tips and strategies to get you started on the right foot.

Join our 2025 F1 Fantasy League

That's right! We are putting our reputations on the line and creating an F1 Fantasy League for the 2025 season. If you go to the Leagues tab on the F1 Fantasy home page, you'll find our league in the Featured Leagues tab. Just click Join League, and you will be in for 2025.

We've also got this shiny banner to stand out! Use code P1JOTPHDW09 to join the 2025 league!

 

Previous Japanese Grand Prix Winners

  • 2024: Max Verstappen, Red Bull
  • 2023: Max Verstappen, Red Bull
  • 2022: Max Verstappen, Red Bull
  • 2019: Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes
  • 2018: Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes

*The 2020 and 2021 Japanese Grand Prix were not held due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

Japanese Grand Prix Schedule

Thursday, April 3rd

  • Practice 1: 10:30 p.m. EDT

Friday, April 4th

  • Practice 2: 2:00 a.m. EDT
  • Practice 3: 10:30 p.m. EDT

Saturday, April 5th

  • Qualifying: 2:00 a.m. EDT (***F1 Fantasy lineup lock***)

Sunday, April 6th

  • Race: 1:00 a.m. EDT

 

Japanese Grand Prix Weather

Australia gave us a downpour, China threatened some showers, and now it's looking like another weather-y weekend in F1 Fantasy. As of this writing, F1 Fantasy managers should prepare for some wet-weather chaos.

Day Temperature Precipitation Forecast
Friday 14°C / 57°F 0% Clear
Saturday 16°C / 61°F 40% Cloudy
Sunday 19°C / 66°F 60% Rain Showers

 

Japanese Grand Prix Predictions

Qualifying

  1. George Russell, Mercedes
  2. Lando Norris, McLaren
  3. Oscar Piastri, McLaren

Grand Prix

  1. Lando Norris, McLaren
  2. Oscar Piastri, McLaren
  3. George Russell, Mercedes

 

F1 Fantasy Driver Swap: Yuki Tsunoda-Liam Lawson

During the break, Red Bull decided to swap Yuki Tsunoda and Liam Lawson. The Japanese driver will now be on the senior team (Red Bull), and Lawson will move to the junior team (Racing Bulls). It's a shocking move two races into the season, but F1 Fantasy managers must adjust.

The game has deactivated the Racing Bulls version of Tsunoda and the Red Bull version of Lawson. If you keep those assets in your squad, you will receive negative 25 points across the weekend for inactive driver penalties. Unfortunately, this will cost a transfer and change the strategies for some F1 Fantasy teams.

I am in a wait-and-see mode with both drivers regarding the Japanese Grand Prix. Unless one looks outstanding in the practice sessions, I will stay away from Tsunoda and Lawson until Bahrain.

 

F1 Fantasy Pricing Algorithm Changes

I got caught out at the Chinese Grand Prix after it was revealed that the pricing algorithm had changed for the season's second race. Fortunately, the excellent folks at F1 Fantasy Tools quickly figured out what happened and cracked the code for us.

As you can see from the table, the thresholds for each price rise category have changed from race to race. The prevailing theory in the F1 Fantasy community is that the Japanese Grand Prix pricing algorithm will remain the same for the rest of the season.

However, that is always subject to change, but this weekend, I will work off the theory that the above thresholds are correct.

 

F1 Fantasy Chip Strategy

For the Japanese Grand Prix, there's no urgent need to activate a chip. However, playing the No Negative chip isn't a bad idea if the weather looks worse throughout the weekend. This will prevent you from scoring negative points in any scoring session at Suzuka.

Also, if your team is in a state, using the Wildcard to sort it all out is another option. Here is a Wildcard draft for the upcoming weekend at the Japanese Grand Prix, which costs $98.7m in cost cap.

 

F1 Fantasy Drivers to Target and Avoid

Drivers to Target (A Tier, >$19.0m)

  • Lando Norris, McLaren
  • Oscar Piastri, McLaren
  • George Russell, Mercedes
  • Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes

Drivers to Avoid (A Tier, >$19.0m)

  • Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
  • Charles Leclerc, Ferrari

Drivers to Target (B Tier, <$19.0m)

  • Alexander Albon, Williams
  • Lance Stroll, Aston Martin
  • Esteban Ocon, Haas
  • Nico Hulkenberg, Kick Sauber
  • Ollie Bearman, Haas

Drivers to Avoid (B Tier, <$19.0m)

  • Carlos Sainz, Williams
  • Pierre Gasly, Alpine
  • Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin
  • Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
  • Gabriel Bortoleto, Kick Sauber

More Fantasy Racing Analysis

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
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Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington
AJ Allmendinger

Still Seeking First Top 10 at Darlington
Chase Elliott

Likely Won't Factor for Win, but Should Gain Many Positions
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Might Focus More on Playoff Races Since He Scored Few Playoff Points
Chris Buescher

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Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
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Earned Best Qualifying Result at Darlington
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Downturn in Speed This Year Makes Him a Worse DFS Option Than He Looks
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Should Run Better at Darlington Than the Numbers Predict
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a Low-key Strong DFS Option at Darlington After His Speed in the Spring
Michael McDowell

Although Michael McDowell Improved at Darlington in the Next Gen Era, Don't Expect Much Tomorrow
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. Struggled at Darlington Even in His Better Seasons
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Avoids Serious Injury
MacKenzie Gore

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Reaches 25-Homer, 25-Steal Milestone
Chris Sale

Activated on Saturday
Dansby Swanson

Homers Twice, Drives in Six in Win
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Leaves Game With Oblique Soreness
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Placed on Injured List
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to Return From Injured List on Saturday
Jordan Lawlar

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Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Waived by the Mavs
Lauri Markkanen

Dominant in Win Over Great Britain
Xander Bogaerts

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Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Leads Serbia to a Win
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Shines Versus Portugal
De'Von Achane

Should be Ready for Week 1
Jose Alvarado

"Good" After Recent Fall
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Kyle Schwarber

has Historic Performance in Rout of Braves
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Payton Tolle Expected to Make Debut on Friday
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Packers Acquire Micah Parsons, Sign him to Four-Year Extension
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Remains Sidelined at Practice
Corey Seager

Undergoing Appendectomy on Thursday
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to Miss First Month of Season, Possibly More
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering Return to College
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice, Expected to Play in Week 1
Jaylen Wright

Undergoes Surgery, Could be Back "Septemberish"
Tyreek Hill

on Track to Play in Week 1
Kyren Williams

to See Reduced Workload?
Jayden Reed

Dealing with Jones Fracture in Left Foot
Lauri Markkanen

Torches Sweden
Neemias Queta

Dominates in EuroBasket Opener
Kawhi Leonard

Clippers Not Allowing Kawhi Leonard to Play Back-to-Backs
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Mavericks Looking to Trade Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Tyrese Haliburton

Expects to Return in 15 Months
Malik Nabers

Expected to be Full-Go for Week 1
Freddie Freeman

Out Wednesday With Neck Stinger
Alejandro Kirk

Avoids Major Injury, Remains Out on Wednesday
Travis Hunter

Back at Practice, Will be Ready for Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Could Miss the Rest of the Season
De'Von Achane

Not Practicing on Wednesday
Trevor Megill

Brewers Place Trevor Megill on Injured List With Flexor Strain
Rashee Rice

Accepting Six-Game Suspension to Begin the Year
Kyle Hamilton

Ravens, Kyle Hamilton Finalizing Four-Year Extension
Rashee Rice

NFL Aiming to Place Six-Game Suspension on Rashee Rice
De'Von Achane

Dolphins GM Says De'Von Achane Will be Ready for Week 1
Joe Mixon

Texans GM: "We'll See" if Joe Mixon Plays in 2025
Adam Thielen

Traded to the Vikings
Terance Mann

Confident About Having a Big Year in Brooklyn
Zaccharie Risacher

Aims to Improve Ball-Handling Skills
NBA

Pistons And Timberwolves Join Race for Malik Beasley
John Tonje

Signs Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Max Strus

to Miss 3-4 Months After Surgery
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Still Expect Micah Parsons to Play in Week 1
Nikola Jović

Heat Have High Hopes for Nikola Jovic
Golden State Warriors

Cody Martin Drawing Interest From Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves Interested in Reunion With Bones Hyland
Kylor Kelley

Joins Lakers
Colin Castleton

Links Up With Magic
Malik Monk

Kings "Not Actively Engaged" in Trade Discussions Involving Malik Monk
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
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Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
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Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
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Still Winless In The UFC
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Gets His First UFC Win

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