X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

10 Fantasy Football Overvalued and Undervalued Players: Draft Sleepers and Busts (2025)

Mike Fanelli's overvalued or undervalued fantasy players for 2025 redraft leagues. His top sleeper and busts for the 2025 fantasy football season. Target or fade these 10 players.

Unfortunately, the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still a few months away. However, it’s never too early to prepare for the upcoming season, especially in leagues with big money pots and bragging rights on the line.

Several things go into building a league-winning fantasy football team. The most important factor in creating a league-winning team is finding undervalued fantasy assets and avoiding overvalued ones. Therefore, let’s look at 10 players who are overvalued and undervalued heading into 2025 fantasy football drafts.

The ADP used for this article is courtesy of Underdog Fantasy.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players

Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins – ADP 27.6 | WR15

Unfortunately, Hill was a fantasy bust in 2024. He finished as the WR21, averaging 10.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, a lower average than Adam Thielen (11.6). His six receiving touchdowns matched his career low from his rookie season. Furthermore, Hill’s fantasy success was drastically tied to Tua Tagovailoa’s health.

The star wide receiver averaged six targets and 6.6 fantasy points per game in the seven contests when the star quarterback didn't play or left early. By comparison, Hill averaged 8.1 targets and 13.1 fantasy points per game in the 10 contests Tagovailoa finished. Yet, his 13.1 fantasy points per contest average would have only made him the WR15 on a points-per-game basis last year. He’s way overvalued as the WR15 in the rankings.

DJ Moore, Chicago Bears – ADP 40.2 | WR23

Moore has been one of the more underrated wide receivers in fantasy value. Last year, many were afraid to draft him after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze to their wide receiver corps in the offseason. Yet, the veteran finished the 2024 season as the WR16, averaging 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on a dysfunctional offense.

Unfortunately, Moore has even more competition for targets this year. Chicago used their top two picks in the 2025 NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, many believe the rookies could be Ben Johnson’s new Sam LaPorta and Amon-Ra St. Brown. While Moore should be the first Bears pass catcher drafted, the veteran belongs in the WR3 range.

Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers – ADP 44.3 | RB15

Fantasy players have high hopes for Hampton in dynasty leagues. The former North Carolina star is the near-consensus 1.02 pick in dynasty rookie drafts after the Chargers selected him with their first-round pick. While the rookie should be ranked as a top-10 dynasty running back, Hampton’s redraft value is significantly lower.

Los Angeles signed Najee Harris in free agency before the NFL Draft. Furthermore, they placed the rarely used unrestricted free agent tag on J.K. Dobbins, increasing the odds that he returns to the team this season. Therefore, Hampton could find himself in a three-way backfield, fighting for touches. While the rookie is my favorite Chargers running back, Hampton shouldn’t get drafted as a top-15 guy.

Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints – ADP 64.3 | WR35

The Saints were obliterated by injuries last year, especially at the wide receiver position. Olave finished the 2024 season as the WR93, averaging 7.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game after missing nine contests with multiple injuries. Furthermore, he got outscored by Rashid Shaheed despite playing in two more games (65.8 vs. 60.7).

More importantly, New Orleans might have the worst passing attack in the NFL this year. Derek Carr retired shortly after the NFL Draft, leaving the Saints with Tyler Shough, Spencer Rattler, and Jake Haener at quarterback. Yet, the team seems determined to roll with their young core and not add a veteran passer. Unless Olave miraculously gets traded, the star wide receiver comes with too much risk at his current ADP.

Jonnu Smith, Miami Dolphins – ADP 96.4 | TE6

Smith had a breakout 2024 season, ending the year as the TE4, averaging 10.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, posting a higher average than Mark Andrews (9.5) and Travis Kelce (9.2). Furthermore, the veteran tight end led the team with 88 receptions and eight receiving touchdowns, setting career highs in both categories.

Fantasy players should avoid drafting Smith anywhere near his TE6 ADP. The veteran tight end will be on the wrong side of 30 when the 2025 season starts. More importantly, rarely do players have career years in their late 20s and maintain that level of success. Smith averaged 31.3 receptions and 2.9 receiving touchdowns per year in his career before last season.

 

Undervalued Fantasy Football Players

Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams – ADP 31.7 | WR19

Last year, Adams split time between two lackluster offenses, playing for the Las Vegas Raiders and New York Jets. Yet, the future Hall of Famer finished the season as the WR14, averaging 14.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, a higher average than Brian Thomas Jr. (14.1) and Drake London (13.6).

Furthermore, Adams was the WR10 on a points-per-game basis despite Garrett Wilson ranking fourth in the NFL with 154 targets. Therefore, fantasy players shouldn’t worry about the veteran with Puka Nacua as the Rams’ No. 1 wide receiver. More importantly, Matthew Stafford has produced multiple WR1s in Sean McVay’s offense in the past. Therefore, Adams should be ranked closer to the WR12 than the WR20.

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – ADP 61.9 | RB20

The Saints will likely have the worst passing offense in the NFL this season after Carr retired. However, that’s good news for Kamara’s fantasy value. The veteran was the RB10 last year, averaging 16.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite missing the final three contests with a groin injury. Furthermore, he is capable of having massive spike weeks.

Kamara had 22 touches for 180 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns in the Week 2 win over the Dallas Cowboys, scoring 43 fantasy points, the third-best performance by a running back in 2024. More importantly, he is a force in the passing game, leading all running backs in receptions per game last season (4.9). Kamara could see even more work in the passing game with an inexperienced quarterback room relying on their star running back.

Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers – ADP 73.7 | WR41

It has been an interesting offseason in San Francisco. The 49ers traded away Deebo Samuel Sr. and have had trade talks surrounding Brandon Aiyuk. While Jauan Jennings was the team’s most consistent wide receiver in 2024, Pearsall is the one fantasy players should target next season, despite a rocky rookie year.

Unfortunately, Pearsall missed the first six weeks recovering from a gunshot during an attempted robbery during the preseason. Yet, the former Florida star shone when getting the ball. He averaged 18.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game in the three contests with six or more targets, scoring three receiving touchdowns. Pearsall should be a popular breakout candidate.

Marvin Mims Jr., Denver Broncos – ADP 118.3 | WR58

Denver’s offense became fantasy-friendly late last season. Courtland Sutton was the only non-quarterback whom fantasy players could trust for most of the year. However, Mims started to shine over the final two months. He scored 12.3 or more half-point PPR fantasy points in four of the final seven regular-season games, including at least 18.4 in three outings.

Many believed the Broncos would have made a splashy addition at the wide receiver position this offseason. However, that didn’t happen because of how Mims ended last year. He made several big-time plays for Bo Nix and the offense over the final two weeks, averaging 6.5 receptions for 77 receiving yards, two touchdowns, and 22.9 fantasy points per game.

Jaydon Blue, Dallas Cowboys – ADP 130.1 | RB40

Despite being a fifth-round pick, Blue is among my favorite targets in dynasty rookie drafts. Furthermore, the former Texas star will be one of my highest-rostered rookie running backs in redraft leagues because of his cheap draft price and massive upside. He has a pathway to significant snaps as a rookie after getting picked by the Cowboys in the NFL Draft.

Dallas has an up-and-coming offensive line and two ineffective veteran running backs ahead of Blue on the depth chart. Last year, Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders ranked in the bottom 16 among 70 running backs with at least 55 rushing attempts in yards per attempt. Furthermore, both veterans averaged 2.51 or fewer rushing yards per attempt last season.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jacob Misiorowski

Pulled With Cramps
Framber Valdez

Punches Out 12 in Win
Isaac Paredes

Homers, Exits Early With Hamstring Injury
D.J. Humphries

Rams Sign D.J. Humphries on Thursday
Troy Franklin

has Had a Good Offseason
Jacob Misiorowski

Leaves Game with Ankle Injury
Mike Williams

Expected to be Ready for Training Camp
Trey Benson

Adds Weight, Explosiveness
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Christian Moore

Angels Calling Up Christian Moore
Noah Brown

Undergoing MRI
Keon Coleman

Dealt With Chipped Bone in his Wrist in 2024
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
J.J. McCarthy

Says he's Fully Cleared
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
Brian Thomas Jr.

Returns to Practice on Thursday
Travis Hunter

Plays Offense and Defense in Final Minicamp Practice
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Christian Yelich

Back in Brewers Lineup
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Chris Kreider

Ducks Acquire Chris Kreider From Rangers
Aaron Judge

Out for First Time All Season
Kodai Senga

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Buffalo Bills

Maxwell Hairston Tweaks Hamstring
Arizona Cardinals

Will Johnson Sitting with Hamstring Tightness
Diontae Johnson

Focused on Returning to Form in 2025
Green Bay Packers

Bo Melton to Dabble at Cornerback
Rafael Devers

has Been Playing Through Groin Strain
Shedeur Sanders

Positioning Himself to Make the Roster
Tetairoa McMillan

Sitting Again on Thursday
Malik Nabers

Taking Part in Walkthrough
Shemar Stewart

Leaves Minicamp Without Contract
Tucker Kraft

Breakout Season Coming for Tucker Kraft?
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Cale Makar

Wins His Second Norris Trophy
Lane Hutson

Voted NHL's Best Rookie
CGY

Adam Klapka Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Considered a Game-Time Call Thursday
Carlos Santana

Hits Grand Slam on Wednesday
Alec Bohm

Homers, Drives in Four on Wednesday
Clarke Schmidt

Strikes Out Seven in Win on Wednesday
Hunter Goodman

Homers, Doubles Twice on Wednesday
Marcelo Mayer

has First Multi-Homer Game in Win Over Rays
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leaves Wednesday's Game Early With Groin Tightness
TreVeyon Henderson

Hard to Miss at Offseason Workouts
Brandon Nimmo

Launches Two Home Runs
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Michael Gallup

Sitting at Minicamp Due to Hamstring Strain
David Peterson

Throws Complete-Game Shutout
Kevin Porter Jr.

Likely to Decline Player Option
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Jalen Coker

Back on the Field
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Kevin Durant

Knicks Not Looking to Trade for Kevin Durant
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
Brent Rooker

Homers Twice in Four-Hit Game
Spencer Schwellenbach

Strikes Out Nine in Complete Game
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Brendan Donovan

Not Concerned He'll Land on Injured List
Shane McClanahan

In "Shut-Down Mode," to See Nerve Specialist
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
Darius Garland

Kings Targeting Darius Garland
Kevin Durant

Expected to Be Moved Soon
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Reportedly Has "No Trade Market"
Jarace Walker

Remains Out Wednesday
Tyrese Haliburton

"Fine" For Wednesday's Action
Denny Hamlin

Charges Late to Win at Michigan
Carson Hocevar

Michigan Run is Derailed by A Late-Race Flat Tire
Kyle Larson

Up-and-Down Day Ends With Top-Five Finish at Michigan
Ross Chastain

Quietly Finishes Sixth at Michigan
Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Says Rehab Going "Great"
Vasilije Micić

Vasilije Micic Expected to Return to Europe
Myles Turner

Two Teams Seen as Potential Suitors for Myles Turner
Guerschon Yabusele

Wants a New NBA Contract
Jrue Holiday

Celtics Listening to Offers for Jrue Holiday
Corey Perry

Nets Power-Play Goal in Monday's Loss
Stuart Skinner

Gets Pulled in Heavy Game 3 Defeat
Evan Rodrigues

Extends Scoring Streak with Multi-Point Effort
Sam Reinhart

Collects Two Points in Monday's Win
Sam Bennett

Sets New Franchise Record with Four-Game Goal Streak
Brad Marchand

Nets Another Finals Goal
Chris Buescher

Takes Second Place After William Byron Runs Out of Fuel
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has a Great Points Day to Build Buffer Over the Playoff Cut Line
Ryan Blaney

Flat Tire Results in Poor Finish for Ryan Blaney
Alex Bowman

Playoffs in Doubt After Stage 2 Crash at Michigan
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Expected to Play Monday
WAS

T.J. Oshie Announces Retirement
A.J. Greer

Returns to Panthers Lineup Monday
Darius Garland

Likely to Miss Time After Toe Surgery
Sean O'Malley

Submitted For The First Time In His Career
Merab Dvalishvili

Defends Bantamweight Belt At UFC 316
Julianna Peña

Julianna Pena No Longer A Champion
Kayla Harrison

Is The New Champion
Joe Pyfer

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum

Drops Decision
Patchy Mix

Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
Mario Bautista

Extends His Win Streak
Vicente Luque

Submitted At UFC 316
Kevin Holland

Gets Submission Win At UFC 316
Daniil Tarasov

Has Begun Extension Talks with Blue Jackets
Anthony Duclair

Expected to Return to Islanders Next Season
Denny Hamlin

is A Top Contender to Win At Michigan
Kyle Larson

Will Compete For The Win At Michigan
Chase Elliott

is One of the Most Favored DFS Options of the Week for Michigan
William Byron

May be A Top Threat to Win at Michigan
Kyle Busch

is Difficult to Recommend for DFS Lineups at Michigan
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Qualifies Ninth For the FireKeepers Casino 400
Alex Bowman

What Should Fantasy Managers Do With Alex Bowman at Michigan?
Austin Cindric

Should Austin Cindric be Considered For Michigan DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Should Shane Van Gisbergen Be Rostered For Michigan DFS Lineups?
John Hunter Nemechek

Is A Solid Value Option For Michigan DFS Lineups
Zane Smith

Is Zane Smith Worth Rostering Outside of Tournament Lineups at Michigan?
Todd Gilliland

Is A Decent Value Option for Michigan DFS Lineups
Ryan Blaney

One of the Leading DFS Contenders, but Might Be Slightly Overpriced
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF