Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Veteran Wide Receivers Set to Lose Targets in 2019

It's a yearly cycle: new players enter the league and older players are either pushed out or start down a path that eventually leads to them being pushed out. No one -- not even the Larry Fitzgeralds of the world -- can play forever.

Speaking of Larry Fitzgerald, let's turn to the subject of this article. A whole cast of solid rookie receivers entered the league this past month, which means we're going to be heading towards a corresponding drop in targets for some veteran wide receivers.

Let's look at the veterans wideouts with the most to worry about in terms of usage next season.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!


Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals

Numbers don't lie and the numbers say that last season Larry Fitzgerald led the Cardinals in targets, but he saw his total share of the team's targets drop from 30.22 percent down to 23.64 percent. Two big reasons for this: a healthy David Johnson, who saw 16.53 percent of the team's targets after a 2017 season in which Arizona's most targeted running back, D.J. Foster, saw just 4.86 percent, and the emergence of rookie Christian Kirk, who was targeted 68 times.

Now, two things about the 2019 version of the Cardinals. One, they've brought in head coach Kliff Kingsbury and rookie quarterback Kyler Murray, so we should expect a pass-oriented offense in which more total targets are available for the team's receivers, but the team also brought in two highly-touted rookie receivers, Hakeem Butler and Andy Isabella, who'll need some of those targets. And with another year of development for Kirk, we're looking at a team that's likely to spread the ball around more instead of focusing so much on one wide receiver. Factor in another thing that we aren't supposed to talk about but probably should -- Fitzgerald being 36 this upcoming season -- and there's a drop-off just waiting to happen.

The increased pass attempts should help Fitzgerald avoid some kind of complete bottoming out, but I'm still lower than I've ever been on him in re-draft leagues, and it wouldn't be a shock to see a new target leader in Arizona if Kirk continues the upward trajectory he had last season.


Marquise Goodwin, San Francisco 49ers

Goodwin was targeted 43 times in 11 games last year. He missed time for personal reasons and while he has the talent to continue being an important part of this offense, some of the team's recent moves suggest that Goodwin won't return to his 2017 level of productivity.

The team spent an early draft pick on South Carolina wide receiver Deebo Samuel, who, with second-year wideout Dante Pettis, should form San Francisco's receiving corps of the future. Samuel is a good route runner, has good hands, and should be able to make things happen with the ball in his hands. Samuel has the skill to be the top receiver on a team and can play both inside and outside. The 49ers will need to find a way to keep him on the field. They also drafted Jalen Hurd, who will play all around the field and see his share of touches too. They'll have to keep Pettis on the field too, as he showed a ton of promise during his rookie year.

This means that while Goodwin's likely to have a role with the team, he's not getting back to the 2017 level of productivity, especially with a huge chunk of the team's targets getting eaten up by George Kittle. Goodwin's the third or fourth option on this offense and, with so much youth in tow, really only has one direction to trend: down.


Alshon Jeffery, Philadephia Eagles

Jeffery is entering his eighth season in the NFL and his third as an Eagle. Last year, Jeffery caught 65 passes for 843 yards in 13 games. It was the fourth year in a row where Jeffery didn't hit 1000 yards, but his per-game numbers were up from 2017, with Jeffery improving in yards per game, yards per target, and catch percentage.

But his catch percentage of 70.7 percent was a career high, and nothing about Jeffery's career suggests that a catch rate over 60 percent is sustainable, so there's that. There's also the introduction of J.J. Arcega-Whiteside to the mix, and I'm sure we've all heard the talk about how Arcega-Whiteside is going to be a major red zone threat for the Eagles. He's the kind of big-bodied receiver who can be incredibly useful down in that part of the field.

But opportunities don't just appear from thin air; someone has to lose for someone else to gain, and Jeffery's likely to see fewer red zone targets with Arcega-Whiteside in town, lowering his overall ceiling as his opportunities to find the end zone are reduced.


Willie Snead, Baltimore Ravens

Did you know Snead led the Ravens in targets last year with 101? And that he caught 66.34 percent of those targets? No?

Well, I don't see that happening again. The Ravens spent a good amount of draft capital on players who can catch the ball -- whether that be out of the backfield or as a wideout -- and Snead's going to struggle to hold those guys off for snaps and targets. There's Marquise Brown, who gives Lamar Jackson a highly-talented, potential star to toss the ball deep to. There's Miles Boykin, who has good hands and can adjust to poorly-placed balls due to his catch radius. He could wind up as an incredibly useful piece on this offense. There's also running back Justice Hill, who should give the Ravens a back who can make catches out of the backfield and be a more effective version of what Javorius Allen was at times last season.

And that's not to mention the non-rookies. Mark Ingram was brought in as a free agent, and with the Saints last year he was targeted 26 times. And then there's the two second-year tight ends, Mark Andrews and Hayden Hurst. Andrews looked like the better pass catcher last season, and I'd expect that to continue, but Hurst should be worked into the mix more and end up receiving more than the 3.86 percent of the team's targets he received last year. Things are more crowded now in Baltimore, so don't expect to see Snead top 100 targets again.

More ADP Busts and Avoids

More Recent Articles


Titanic Disappointment - Will Ryan Tannehill Help Tennessee?

In the midst of being shutout by the Denver Broncos on Sunday, Tennesse Titans coach Mike Vrabel made a move that many casual NFL fans had been expecting for the past few weeks: he decided to give Ryan Tannehill a shot at quarterback instead of Marcus Mariota. While Tannehill wasn't noticeably better on Sunday, throwing... Read More

Warning Signs: Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Jared Goff

This is going to be a special edition of Warning Signs. Usually, we take a look at players from different teams who have disappointed thus far. This week, I am going to focus on a single team full of players to worry about. It is not good to have a team of big stars where... Read More

FAAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More

We Must Overreact Immediately! Week 6 Outliers

In Week 6, several players exploded in fantasy lineups. There were a few receivers that were above the rest of the pack in Week 6, such as Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill, but there shouldn't be any surprises there as those guys should have been in fantasy lineups. At the quarterback... Read More

Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 7

The bye week difficulties continue this week with Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all getting their rest in Week 7. It should be noted, however, that just because a player is currently in their bye week, doesn't mean you should avoid them on the waiver wire. In fact, this is often the easiest way... Read More

Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

All of a sudden, the Chargers look like one of the worst teams in football and the Jets look like a playoff contender. Maybe things won't shake out that way in the end but it goes to show how quickly things change in the "Not For Long" NFL. For that reason, we advise looking at... Read More

The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 7)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More

Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More

Week 7 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 6 is done, and we've seen some outstanding games thus far. We've also seen a lot of surprising teams through six weeks. The San Francisco 49ers, after picking in the top 10 for four straight years, are 5-0 with one of the most complete teams in football. As far as kickers go, we're seeing... Read More

Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Some of you have been rewarded for your meticulous roster planning by receiving excellent production from your running backs. Unfortunately, many of you have been equally prepared when making roster decisions, but have been undermined by injuries, inconsistent usage, or underwhelming performances. If that applies to you, then those unwanted outcomes have forced you to... Read More

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

We weren't really surprised by the top-scoring fantasy wide receivers from Week 6. Out of the top-20 receivers, only Jamison Crowder, Auden Tate and Jaron Brown were less than 50% owned. Jaron Brown (0% owned) was only targeted five times but he scored two touchdowns off of those five targets. Auden Tate (23% owned) hauled... Read More

Tight End Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers – Week 7

Another week, another four teams on bye in the NFL. Fantasy football players are going to have to make due this week without Carolina’s Greg Olsen, Tampa Bay’s O.J. Howard and Pittsburgh’s Vance McDonald, not to mention Seattle’s Will Dissly, who was injured this past Sunday. It could be a worse week for fantasy players... Read More

Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 7

It was another big week at the quarterback position, as five quarterbacks topped 30 points and 12 scored more than 20 heading into Sunday Night Football. Most of the big performers were players we expect, such as Matt Ryan and Deshaun Watson, but we also got some surprising starts from quarterbacks who are widely available.... Read More

Waiver Wire Express - Week 7 Lightning Round

The Jets are back! OK, maybe not back because they were never here but at least there's some actual hope and fantasy value to be had from a previously winless team. The tight end landscape has changed drastically again, as Hunter Henry returns right at 60% ownership, while breakout second-year Seahawk Will Dissly's season appears... Read More