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Tyler O'Neill - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values and Sleepers (2024)

fantasy baseball draft sleepers values rankings

Tyler O'Neill is an outfield fantasy baseball draft sleeper, and an ADP draft value for 2024. Target O'Neill as an undervalued OF in fantasy baseball drafts.

BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 185

CURRENT ADP: ~276

ANALYSIS: Tyler O'Neill didn't have a great 2023, slashing .231/.312/.403 with nine homers and five steals over 266 PAs. Injuries cost him some time, but the Cardinals also benched O'Neill regularly when healthy. It prevented him from getting into a rhythm and showing what he could do.

O'Neill always hit the ball hard and that didn't change last season with a max exit velocity of 111.4 mph, 94.3 mph of average airborne exit velocity, and a 12.3% rate of Brls/BBE. He also set career bests in a variety of plate discipline metrics: 28.5% chase rate, 11.2 SwStr%, 87.1 Z-Contact%, 10.5 BB%, and 25.2 K%.

Boston acquired O'Neill to play, so he should receive full-time PAs with the Red Sox. Fenway Park is also a great place for right-handed hitters looking to improve their average. From 2021-2023, Fenway has the fourth-highest Statcast park factor for RHB at 106. It's neutral for HRs, but no park holds O'Neill when he gets one.

Instead, Fenway inflates hits with a park factor of 109, singles with a 107, and doubles with a 119. All three figures beat Busch Stadium (102, 107, 101, respectively), so O'Neill should enjoy his new digs.

 

Between his improved plate discipline and a more friendly home park, O'Neill's average is due for a dramatic increase. The higher OBP should result in more SB attempts, and nobody questions O'Neill's raw pop. For those interested in a power/speed combination without using a high selection, O'Neill could be your man given his 22-homer, 13-steal projection from ATC for the 2024 campaign

 

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