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Triston Casas is a 2023 fantasy baseball draft sleeper at 1B, and is an ADP draft value. Target Casas as an undervalued 1B in fantasy baseball drafts.
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 215
CURRENT ADP: ~235 overall
ANALYSIS: Casas walked an absurd 20% of the time with the Red Sox last season. He also played in just 27 games, so no, he’s probably not the second coming of Juan Soto. He does have a track record of walking in the minors at a high clip, however. In 2021, Casas walked 14.9% of the time at AA. 14.5% was his walk rate in 2022 in AAA. The lefty-hitting first baseman walked so much in the majors that his .197 average was offset by his .358 OBP. He obtained a .382 OBP at AAA last season and a .395 OBP at AA in 2021. Combine that with his ISO number and a low BABIP in 2022, and it’s looking like Casas is a great breakout candidate this season.
The former first-round pick had a .211 ISO during his cup of coffee. That was slightly above his minor-league numbers, but nothing extraordinarily out of reach. ATC projects a .192 ISO on the year, for comparison's sake. With a 13% walk rate and a .345 OBP projection, Casas is also a great grab for OBP leagues.
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