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RIVAL Fantasy - NFL FantasyBook Over/Under DFS Prop Picks: Week 15

Justin Herbert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Joe Nicely's NFL Over/Under DFS prop picks for RIVAL fantasy contests and the Week 15 slate. Sign up for RIVAL fantasy and use his NFL DFS prop picks to win money.

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RIVAL FantasyBook NFL Over/Under Picks for Week 15

Isiah Pacheco OVER 12.08 Fantasy Points

Pacheco has solidified himself as the legit lead back in this high-octane Kansas City offense. Despite Jerrick McKinnon's outlier fantasy explosion last week, Pacheco has been - and should continue to be - the man for KC. The rookie has garnered at least 15 touches in five straight and logged at least 12 RIVAL points in three straight.

Houston has been gashed on the ground this year. The unit ranks 32nd in the 32-team NFL in rushing yards per game allowed (165.8), total rushing yards allowed (1,835), rushing TDs allowed (16), and DraftKings points allowed (398.60) to the RB position.

Garrett Wilson UNDER 14.45 Fantasy Points

Garrett Wilson is a certified beast. The rookie New York wideout isn't the type of player I'd normally go out of my way to bet against, but the circumstances surrounding Wilson this week land him on my "UNDERS" list.

The news broke Friday morning that Jets' QB Mike White couldn't get clearance from NY's medical staff for Week 15. As a result, Gang Green will reinsert Zach Wilson into the starting lineup against the Detroit Lions. This is no bueno for Garrett's prospects, as Z. Wilson appears to be the only thing that can limit his WR's upside.

Keenan Allen OVER 15.97 fantasy points

Finally healthy, the oft-injured Allen has resumed his role as a target monster in L.A.'s passing attack. Since returning to the Chargers' lineup in Week 11, Allen has earned an average of 10.75 targets per game - including a ridiculous 28 combined looks in L.A.'s last two.

He should have no problem turning that volume into production - especially with RIVAL's Full-PPR scoring format -this week against a Tennessee Titans secondary that's arguably the worst unit in the league. Tennessee has been dosed by opposing WRs this year and has relinquished the most fantasy points in the NFL to the position.

Justin Herbert OVER 20.04 Fantasy Points

This prop ties in with the aforementioned Allen over bet, as I love grabbing correlation on RIVAL's FantasyBook props. Like Allen, Justin Herbert should feast in this matchup against Tennessee. With his receiving corps finally getting healthy, Justin Herbert has now thrown for over 300 yards in back-to-back games.

The Titans are perhaps the NFL's most glaring pass-funnel defense, as they grade out No. 1 in Rush Defense DVOA but have been consistently shredded through the air. Tennessee has yielded the league's second-most passing yards (3,906) and passing TDs (25). It's a perfect storm for the already throw-happy Chargers and Herbert is a near-lock for 45 or more pass attempts in Week 15 against one of the NFL's worst secondaries.

 

 

 

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