👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Reviewing Christopher Olson's 10 Bold Predictions for 2016

I was one of several baseball writers who made a list of bold predictions heading into the 2016 season, and now it's time to see how those predictions panned out. This reminds me of when they used to mail the report card to your home in high school. You know you won't have to deal with the fallout for a while, but it's going to be painful when that day comes. Here we go!

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS research, lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Grading The Predictions

1. Jason Hammel will be a top-25 starting pitcher.

Our first shot was looking pretty good until Hammel made his standard fade down the stretch, although this one may have been the result of an injury. The veteran clocked in as the 39th best pitcher according to Fleaflicker rankings, and while he didn't have quite the season I envisioned, he provided quality to owners for most of 2016.

Grade C+

2. Prince Fielder will be closer to a top-25 than a top-10 option at first base.

This one hit, but it feels.... dirty. Fielder struggled all season before succumbing to a neck injury that actually forced his retirement. In the prediction I wrote that weight has likely played a significant role in Fielder's decline, but I'm not in a position to say that the neck injury is related to the size of his body. Still, Fielder finished as the 67th-best first baseman, making this a prediction that is technically correct.

Grade: A- See me after class.

3. Mark Reynolds will be relevant in mixed leagues.

Reynolds was working on making this happen, but a broken hand early in August resulted in a three-week absence. He was beginning to get his footing back after returning, but his season was ended after he was hit in the hand with a pitch on Sept. 18. Reynolds finished the year with a solid .282/.356/.450 batting line, but played in just 118 games, which really hurt his chance to make a fantasy impact. While this goes in the books as a miss, 2016 gave us the best version of Reynolds we have seen in quite some time, and he could be an intriguing late-round bat in 2017.

Grade: D that I turned into a B.

4. David Peralta will be a top-15 outfielder.

2016 was a lost season for a Peralta, as he played in just 48 games as a result of injuries. His numbers from that small sample aren't very impressive, but I think the only fair thing to do (pretty please) is to throw this one out, as he was unable to get his legs under him for most of the year. He will still be a target of mine next year, but wrist injuries can sometimes sap power, so that is certainly worth monitoring in spring training.

5. Mat Latos finishes the season as a top-40 starting pitcher.

Can we please just talk about Justin Verlander? I was so happy when Latos began the year allowing two runs over his first four starts that I actually sent out a tweet that read: "make me proud." The truth of the matter, though, is that Latos' peripherals were all kinds of ugly through that stretch. The 28-year-old couldn't outrun his problems for long, and he was designated for assignment by the White Sox after getting rocked for 25 earned runs over just 31 innings in May and June. Latos worked as a bullpen arm for a bit after getting picked up by the Nationals, but suffice to say he isn't someone you should have on your radar in 2017. I'm so sorry.

Grade: An illustration of a dumpster on fire.

6. Jumbo Diaz will save 30 games for the Reds 

Well, I was only off by 30. The frustrating thing about this prediction is there was a ton of volatility in the Cincinnati bullpen, but Jumbo never got a bite at the apple. In fact, he was shipped off to Triple-A fairly early in the year, and wasn't really used in any high-leverage spots when he was with the big club. The bottom line, though, is that his strikeout rate plummeted and his home run rate soared, so there isn't much to complain about.

Grade: I can't fit that many frowning faces on one page.

7. Justin Verlander reemerges as a top-10 starting pitcher

Wow! What a tremendous pick! Did you guys all see how well Verlander did?!

Okay, that's enough.

Verlander exceeded my expectations, as he comes in as the No. 2 ranked pitcher on Fleaflicker behind Max Scherzer. The former Cy Young Award winner registered the highest strikeout rate of his career in 2016, while also notching a 3.04 ERA. The main catalyst for the success seems to be Verlander's slider, which was scored at 18 runs above average. It will be interesting to see where he goes on draft boards in 2017, as he will likely be ready to rock as long as he stays healthy.

Grade:

screenshot

8. Michael Pineda will be a top-20 starting pitcher.

Pineda's runs above average mark on his fastball was negative 27. I'm tempted to stop right there, but while you let the enormity of that number sink in I can also tell you that he allowed a higher rate of homers (1.4/9) than he did in 2015, while also walking more batters. He actually improved his strikeout rate thanks to a nasty slider, but there is simply no way to be consistently effective when your primary offering is so terrible.

Grade: Is there anything lower than an F?

9. Pedro Alvarez will eclipse 40 home runs for the first time in his career.

Nope. In fact, he failed to reach the 30-home run mark for the third consecutive year. Alvarez had a fairly strong second half, hitting 13 homers and logging a .300 ISO, but he would've needed quite a bit more to even sniff the 40 club. If there is a silver lining here, it's that Alvarez will remain an extremely cheap power source in 2017.

Grade: You already know

10. Joaquin Benoit will be closing for the Mariners before the All-Star break.

I said in my prediction piece that Benoit was the Charlie Brown of relievers. That held true in 2016, as he was traded to the Blue Jays a week before Steve Cishek was removed from the closer's role. It should be stated that Benoit would have been taking over after the All-Star break if he had gotten the job, meaning I would only be eligible for partial credit. Benoit tore his calf in a brawl near the end of the season, finishing with a solid 2.81 ERA. There is no word on his status for the 2017 season.

Final grade:

BnOdPGq




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Devin Neal

a Dynasty Hold Until the Depth Chart Ahead of Him Settles
Ricky Pearsall

Is Ricky Pearsall a Dynasty Breakout Candidate?
Tank Dell

Is Tank Dell a Player to Target in Dynasty Leagues?
NBA

Warriors Prioritize Depth Around Returning Steve Kerr
Sean Tucker

Is Sean Tucker an Undervalued Dynasty Trade Target?
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Cleveland's Top Priority
Puka Nacua

Is Puka Nacua the WR1 in Dynasty Leagues?
Adou Thiero

Remains a Lakers Development Project
Jalen McMillan

to Play All Three Receiver Positions?
NBA

76ers Hire Mike Gansey as President of Basketball Operations
NBA

Chicago Bulls Explore Kevin Young as Coaching Candidate
Kyrie Irving

Reports He's Nearing Full Strength in ACL Recovery
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
Cole Caufield

Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Seth Jarvis

Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
Logan Stankoven

Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
Taylor Hall

Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
Frederik Andersen

Remains Stellar as Hurricanes Clinch Finals Berth
Jacob Gonzalez

is Heading to the Big Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Mitchell Robinson

Plans to Play in Game 1 After Finger Surgery
Ajay Mitchell

Ruled Out for Game 7
Jalen Williams

Unavailable in Decisive Game 7
NBA

Magic Finalizing Hire of Sean Sweeney as Head Coach
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez is Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Alec Pierce

Dynasty Hype May Be Creating a Sell-High Opportunity
Drake London

Quarterback Uncertainty Creating a Buy-Low Window for Drake London?
Davante Adams

: Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering Age-34 Season
Rhamondre Stevenson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Crowded New England Backfield
Bo Nix

Is Bo Nix Currently Undervalued in Dynasty Formats?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Value Fading Ahead of First Season in Pittsburgh?
Deiveson Figueiredo

Set For UFC Macau Main Event
MMA

Yadong Song Returns At UFC Macau
Alonzo Menifield

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Macau Co-Main Event
Tallison Teixeira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Cameron Smotherman

Looks To Bounce Back
Kai Asakura

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
CFB

Faizon Brandon In Position to Start Week 1
CFB

Dane Weber Commits to Cal
CFB

Joey McGuire Attempts to Add Texas to Schedule
CFB

Mike Leach on 2027 College Football Hall of Fame Ballot
CFB

Maryland, Baylor Schedule Home-and-Home
Cooper Kupp

Is Cooper Kupp Still Roster-Worthy in Dynasty Formats?
CFB

Taron Dickens Decommits From North Carolina
Christian McCaffrey

Should Dynasty Managers Be Looking to Sell High on Christian McCaffrey?
Braelon Allen

Does Braelon Allen Still Carry Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal Following Jets' Offseason Moves?
Kyler Murray

Offers Clear Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal After Offseason Change of Scenery
Rachaad White

: Prime Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate Ahead of Possible Bounce-Back Campaign
Jake Tonges

Is Jake Tonges Currently Undervalued in Dynasty Formats?
Chig Okonkwo

Can Chig Okonkwo Become a TE1 in Dynasty Leagues?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Trending Down in Dynasty Leagues
Romeo Doubs

Offers Dynasty Upside Even as the No. 2 Receiver
Jalen Williams

Limited in Game 6 Return
Jared McCain

Provides Bench Spark in Game 6 Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Posts Lowest-Scoring Night of His MVP Season
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From the Field Thursday
Stephon Castle

Controls the Spurs Offense in Game 6 Win
Dylan Harper

Finds His Rhythm Thursday
Victor Wembanyama

Drops 28 to Force a Winner-Take-All Game 7
Jalen Williams

is Active for Game 6
Thomas Sorber

is Optimistic About Playing in Summer League
NBA

Terry Rozier Gets Hit with New Charges
NBA

NBA Approves New Anti-Tanking Rules
MLB

MLB Proposes Hard Salary Cap as Part of Next CBA
Kenley Jansen

Tigers Place Kenley Jansen on Injured List With Pelvic Inflammation
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Strain
MON

Lane Hutson Struggles in Game 4 Loss
CAR

Logan Stankoven Nets Eighth Postseason Goal
CAR

Sebastian Aho Pots Game-Winner on Power Play
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Tallies Two Helpers in Impressive Road Win
CAR

Shayne Gostisbehere Records Two Assists in Game 4 Win
CAR

Frederik Andersen Establishes Hurricanes New Postseason Shutout Record
Yordan Alvarez

Continues Homer Barrage With Two More Long Balls on Wednesday
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Makes History With Seven More Shutout Innings Against Padres
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Lifted From Wednesday's Game Early With Hamstring Strain
Kenley Jansen

Exits Relief Appearance on Wednesday With Groin Injury
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez Pulled Early on Wednesday With Hamstring Issue
CFB

Drew Mestemaker a Top Big 12 Quarterback Right Away?
PGA

Sungjae Im Remains Boom-or-Bust at Colonial
PGA

Michael Thorbjornsen Trending in Wrong Direction Entering Colonial
Russell Henley

a Top Option at Colonial
Harry Hall

Hoping Putter Carries Him at Colonial
Rickie Fowler

Looks to Regain Momentum at Colonial
Pierceson Coody

Looking to Stay Hot at Colonial
Martin Necas

Collects an Assist in Game 4 Loss to Golden Knights
Gabriel Landeskog

Scores Only Avalanche Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Carter Hart

Finishes Series-Clincher With 20 Saves
Dylan Coghlan

Continues Unlikely Success Story
Cole Smith

Scores Series-Clincher Tuesday Night
Mark Stone

Nets Another Goal as Golden Knights Finish Off Avalanche
Ludvig Aberg

Looking to Exchange Momentum for a Victory in Fort Worth
Stephan Jaeger

Trending Upward as PGA Heads to Fort Worth
Max Homa

Comes Off Awful Putting Performance at PGA Championship
Tony Finau

Faces Different Test at the Colonial
Robert MacIntyre

Seeks Better Beginning in Fort Worth
Tom Hoge

Ups and Downs Could Continue at Colonial
Brian Harman

Not Having the Best Golf Season in 2026
Austin Eckroat

Struggling Too Often Heading to Charles Schwab Challenge
Zach Bauchou

Tries to Keep Momentum Rolling at Colonial
Keegan Bradley

Looking to Rebound at Colonial
Claude Giroux

Planning to Return for 20th NHL Campaign
Carter Hart

Aiming for Sixth Consecutive Win Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Inks New One-Year Deal With Penguins
Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF