PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 4 (Sunday Early 1 PM Slate)

PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 Sunday Early (1 PM) Slate (October 1, 2023). Use Kipp's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on PrizePicks.

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 - Sunday Early 1 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.

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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests

PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.

On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.

Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.

If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.

NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 4

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

Trevor Lawrence LESS than 238.5 passing yards

Through the first three games of the season, Lawrence has eclipsed this total in two games; however, he has yet to face a defense this tough against the pass as hard as that may be to believe. The Falcons have been stout thus far in 2023 as they have allowed an average of just 180 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, which ranks the fourth-best in all of football. This is also a total that Lawrence eclipsed in less than half of his games in 2022.

The spread in this game also favors the Jaguars by three points, which could lead to some additional running for Travis Etienne and company down the stretch. That would hinder opportunities for Lawrence to eclipse this total. Atlanta has allowed an average of 100 rushing yards per game to the running back position, which ranks the ninth-worst in the league and could lead to the Jaguars coming out with a more run-heavy game plan.

Nico Collins MORE than 50.5 receiving yards

Nico Collins has started 2023 rather hot as he has hauled in 15 receptions for 236 yards while eclipsing this total in two of three games. He has also garnered a total of 23 targets through the first three games, which means the volume should be there in this one.

Collins will be up against a Steelers defense that has allowed an average of 211 receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position, which ranks the fifth-worst in the league. Add in the fact that the Texans are slight dogs in this game and could be throwing more late in the game and you have a solid recipe for success with this play.

Adam Thielen MORE than 4.5 receptions

Adam Thielen is coming off of a Week 3 performance that saw him haul in 11 of 14 targets for 145 receiving yards and a touchdown. He has now eclipsed this total in two straight games and has a great shot to eclipse it once again against his former team. Did someone say revenge game?

The matchup is perfect for Thielen as the Vikings have allowed an average of over 18 receptions per game to the wide receiver position, which ranks the fifth-worst in the league. The Panthers are also 4.5-point underdogs in this game, which should certainly lead to additional passing on their side of the ball. We expect Thielen to be the beneficiary of some of these additional targets.

Alexander Mattison MORE than 50.5 rushing yards

This one may be tough to stomach, but Mattison is fresh off of a Week 3 performance in which he carried the ball 20 times for 93 rushing yards. This week, Mattison will be up against a Carolina Panthers defense that has allowed an average of 115 rushing yards per game to the running back position, which ranks the fifth-worst in the league.

They are also allowing an average of 4.6 yards per carry to the running back position. This tells me if he is able to get 11-12 carries in this game, he should be able to eclipse this total. One could also expect Mattison to have a solid workload in this game considering the Vikings are 4.5-point favorites and might look to run the ball a bit more late in the game to salt away the victory.

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