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Luis Severino 2023 Player Outlook: Return From TJS Yielding Positive Results
2 years agoAfter totaling just 18.0 IP in the three years prior (due to a shoulder injury then TJS), Luis Severino should feel good about the 102.0 IP of work he got through in 2022. The 19 starts saw Severino put up a 7-3 W-L record, 3.18 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 112 Ks. He had a 60-day IL stint between July and September, although it appears as though the Yankees were extremely cautious with Severino given his recent injury issues and he could have pitched again long before he did eventually return. He made three starts to close out the regular season before starting twice in the postseason so fantasy owners shouldn't be concerned about Severino beginning the 2023 season limited. Although it's unlikely the Yankees will let him reach the 191.1 IP he had in 2018. Severino was able to put up strikeout numbers similar to what he had pre-2019, with a 27.7% K% (28.2% K% in 2018) and 12.3% SwStr% (12.4% SwStr% in 2018). That was despite a drop in his fastball velocity from 97.6 MPH in 2018 to 96.3 MPH in 2022. Severino's 2.94 xERA, 3.38 xFIP and 3.37 SIERA all tell us he wasn't lucky last year so if he can stay healthy, Severino has the potential to be an SP2 despite being the ~33rd starting pitcher taken in drafts (~118 ADP).
