C.J. Cron 2023 Player Outlook: Overpriced After A Big Postseason

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January 13, 2023
The Rockies have certainly gotten their money's worth after signing Cron prior to the 2021 season. Their veteran first baseman has hit 57 homers and driven in 94 runs in these last two years. Cron has now cleared 25 homers in his last four full seasons, proving himself to be one of the game's better power hitters. Coors Field has also boosted his batting average as he has hit .281 and .257 these last two seasons. In both of these years, he has been a great value pick at first base. Cron will now enter his age-35 season and will be slotted right back into a prominent spot in the Rockies lineup. The bad news here is that in 2022, he saw an increase in K% (26.2%), a decrease in BB% (5.9%), and a significant decrease in xwOBA (.319). It would make sense that his bat might be slowing down given his age, and it does cast some doubt about his prospects in 2023. He still goes in the first ten rounds in most drafts (ADP of 121), which seems a little bit heavy for a guy that could very well be a two-category bat with declining power, it might be the right time to jump ship on Cron.--Jon Anderson
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