5 years agoAristides Aquino certainly enjoyed a loud big league debut, slashing .259/.316/.576 with 19 HR and seven steals (zero CS) in just 225 PAs. His Statcast contact quality was pretty good, clocking in at 95 mph average airborne exit velocity and 13.6% rate of Brls/BBE. He also proved adept at lifting the ball with a 44.9 FB%. Unfortunately, that's where the positives end. Outside of last season (.299/.356/.636 with 28 HR over 323 PAs), the now 26-year-old's MiLB resume is highlighted by spending parts of an astonishing six seasons in Rookie league. His plate discipline numbers weren't great (7.1 BB%, 26.7 K%), and his underlying metrics were downright dismal (41.2% chase rate, 18.9 SwStr%). He also had a massive pop-up problem (19.7 IFFB%) that's completely supported by his minor league history. While some owners might look at his .266 BABIP and assume positive regression, Aquino's lack of plate discipline, fly ball bent, and inflated IFFB% should temper expectations. Opposing pitchers also seemed to figure him out quickly, as he followed his scorching August (.320/.391/.767, 14 HR) with a terrible September (.196/.236/.382 with five homers). The Reds hope to contend in 2020, so Aquino will lose playing time if he starts slowly. Overall, there are better ways to spend a pick in Aquino's price range (143.55 NFBC ADP).--Rick Lucks - RotoBaller