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Alec Bohm 2021 Outlook: Solid Production Even After Expected Regression
Philadelphia Phillies infielder Alec Bohm had a tremendous rookie campaign in 2020, hitting .338/.400/.481 with four homers in his 180 PAs. His .410 BABIP is obviously due for regression, but Bohm projects as a plus-BABIP guy due to his very low 25.4 FB% and above-average contact quality (93.6 mph average airborne exit velocity, 10.3% rate of Brls/BBE). Bohm could potentially improve his power numbers with a higher FB%, but he seems to have made a conscious decision to concentrate on his elite contact ability instead. Bohm's plate discipline numbers were solid in his first taste of big-league action (8.9 BB%, 20 K%), and his MiLB resume indicates that both numbers have room to grow as Bohm gains experience. Bohm won't hit too many homers (think 20-25 over a full season at Citizens Bank Park) or steal bases, but his high batting average and OBP should produce plenty of counting stats in his projected role as Philadelphia's two-hole hitter. The 24-year-old is a great sign at his current ADP of 103.39, especially for managers who have already taken on batting average risk at that point in the draft.
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