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Passing On Passers - A Case For Drafting Your QB1 Late

You hear it every year: wait, wait, wait, and wait some more on quarterback. It's arguably the most common fantasy strategy out there these days. The premise is simple; waiting on your QB1 allows you to soak up all of the stronger running backs and wide receivers, ending up with a late round passer who is solid enough to compete. Quarterback is deeper than it's even been in fantasy and that's precisely why this mindset exists in the first place.

The counter to this plan of attack is usually something along the lines of "quarterbacks score the most points so having one better than my opponent gives me an advantage." Yes, that is mathematically true, can't argue basic arithmetic. But missing from that counterpoint is the rest of your team's roster construction. If you drafted well, your team should have more usable assets at other positions than your opponent. It's all about checks and balances. And since running backs and receivers are harder to replace, you're at an advantage in general.

Now let's talk about some actual players that you should be looking at in the middle to later portion of your fantasy drafts in 2017.

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QB1 Values to Target Later in Drafts

If "Wait On Quarterback" were a summer blockbuster movie, the poster would feature Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford standing back-to-back during a dramatic action sequence. The two of them are the prototypical late round QBs to target. Neither of them are flashy picks yet they still manage to get the job done more often than not.

Having said all that, Philip Rivers actually had a down year in 2016. His 4,386 yards and 33 touchdowns look fine on paper, but throw in a total of 28 turnovers (21 interceptions plus seven fumbles) and Rivers was a bit of a headache to own. Finishing as QB14, he was just outside QB1 status in a 12-team league. Between Keenan Allen, Melvin Gordon, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Mike Williams, and Antonio Gates, this offense is one of the deeper units in the league. There's plenty of reason to believe Rivers can be better in 2017. All it would take is a decrease in turnovers to jump right back up to true QB1 status. With an ADP of 117, Philip Rivers is one of the premiere late round quarterbacks worth grabbing.

For some added context as to just how badly turnovers crushed Rivers last year, look no further than Matthew Stafford's 2016 stat line. Stafford ended up with 4,327 yards and 24 scores in 2016, slotting him seventh among fantasy quarterbacks. The difference? Stafford had 15 less turnovers than Rivers. So while both of them were serviceable, Stafford was much more efficient. Again, waiting on the position to snag either of these two signal callers can pay off tremendously. Stafford's ADP of 112 puts him in the same neighborhood so it's really a matter of preference here. Personally, I prefer Stafford's efficiency over Rivers' weapons.

One last late round passer to target is that of Tyrod Taylor of the Buffalo Bills. Taylor was ninth among fantasy quarterbacks last season despite only having 3,023 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. The key to Taylor's success is his rushing. He's had back-t0-back seasons of at least 500 rushing yards, an attribute that has benefited the likes of Cam Newton and Russell Wilson. For what Taylor lacks through the air he compensates for on the ground. The lowest ADP of the bunch at 152, Taylor is practically free for fantasy purposes.

 

Try Doubling Down

Now would be a good time for me to interject one small addendum to the concept of waiting on quarterback. The best way to approach this strategy would be to double down on the position by taking two guys you like. I'm adding this in here rather than the beginning because it applies directly to someone like Taylor. Tyrod Taylor is no sure thing for fantasy, and he certainly doesn't have as proven of a track record as a Philip Rivers or Matthew Stafford. It'd be wise to give yourself two shots at striking oil at QB, rostering Taylor plus someone else. Maybe even two out of the aforementioned three. Owning a backup isn't necessary when you're locked into a superstar like Aaron Rodgers, but it's best to have some security in case your late round flier goes awry.

Rivers, Stafford, and Taylor are just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to settling into this plan of attack. Eli Manning, Carson Wentz, and Carson Palmer are all part of the discussion when it comes to waiting. They too would be names to consider doubling up on.

Whatever strategy you commit to, be sure to prepare yourself for every possible scenario. Maybe you head into your draft dead-set on waiting on quarterback only to see Aaron Rodgers floating around in round five. At some point or another, value trumps strategy and vice versa. Know your league, plan for everything, and be flexible. Waiting on quarterback has a proven path to success, but it's not foolproof. Zero RB, RB/RB, WR/WR, wait on QB, none of these strategies are perfect. It just so happens that the depth of the quarterback position makes this particular game plan more enticing than the rest.

 

More 2017 Fantasy Football & ADP Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jamal Murray

Earns First Career All-NBA Selection
Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Cason Wallace

Joins Starting Unit Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Doesn't "Feel Great" Entering Game 4
Jalen Williams

Won't Play Sunday
Christian Watson

Is Christian Watson on the Verge of a Legitimate Breakout?
Khalil Shakir

Dynasty Value in Decline
Travis Hunter

Still a Risky Buy, Even at his Sunken Dynasty Cost
Gunnar Helm

a Dynasty Sleeper with Room to Grow
Drake Maye

Is Drake Maye Becoming the Most Valuable Player in Superflex Dynasty Leagues?
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Pat Freiermuth

Steelers Restructure Pat Freiermuth's Contract
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Jordan Mason

a Short-Term Dynasty Depth Piece
Dontayvion Wicks

Can Dontayvion Wicks Stand Out in Another Crowded Offense?
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty Value Back on the Rise
Juwan Johnson

an Overlooked Buy Candidate for Contending Dynasty Managers
Kimani Vidal

Easily Acquirable as a High-Value Insurance Back
Evan Mobley

Tallies Series-High 24 Points on Saturday
Donovan Mitchell

Struggles at the Line Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Continues Playmaking Surge on Saturday
OG Anunoby

Delivers Clean Shooting Line Saturday
Mikal Bridges

Fills Box Score in Game 3 Win
Jalen Brunson

Pushes Knicks Closer to NBA Finals
Orlando Magic

Magic Interview Jeff Van Gundy for Head-Coaching Position
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
Mark Jankowski

Contributes Two Assists in Game 2 Victory
Eric Robinson

Scores in Second Consecutive Game
Nikolaj Ehlers

Tallies Two Goals as Hurricanes Bounce Back Saturday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Magic Reportedly Have Giannis Antetokounmpo on Their Radar
Ajay Mitchell

Won't Play Sunday
Dylan Harper

Not on Injury Report for Game 4
De'Aaron Fox

Off the Injury Report Ahead of Game 4
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Sunday Night
Ja'Tavion Sanders

a Dynasty Dart Throw With Potential Untapped Upside
Geno Smith

a Low-Cost Dynasty Add Who Still Comes with Risk
C.J. Stroud

Still a Capable and Undervalued Dynasty QB2
Bhayshul Tuten

More Big Plays in 2026 Could Transform Bhayshul Tuten into a Dynasty Steal
Joe Mixon

Is Joe Mixon's NFL Career Over?
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
RJ Harvey

to be Relegated to Third-Down Role After Rookie RB Addition?
Baker Mayfield

A Lot of Uncertainty Surrounding Baker Mayfield Going into Fourth Year in Tampa
Brian Robinson Jr.

a Must-Have Handcuff in Dynasty Leagues?
Sam LaPorta

Could be Excellent Buy-Low Candidate for Risk-Tolerant Managers
Jordyn Tyson

on a "Maintenance Plan" During Offseason Workouts
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Devin Vassell

Posts 20 Points in Game 3 Loss
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles From Deep in Friday's Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Held to Four Rebounds in Game 3 Loss
Nazem Kadri

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Ross Colton

Nets Lone Avalanche Goal Friday Night
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Assist Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Focuses on Playmaking in Friday's Win
Jack Eichel

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing in Game 2 Win Friday
Ivan Barbashev

Amasses Three Points as Golden Knights Grab 2-0 Series Lead
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Frederik Andersen

Hurricanes Keep Faith in Frederik Andersen
Devon Levi

Attracting Interest From Senators
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Game 2 Against Golden Knights
Ben Hutton

Scratched for Game 2 Against Avalanche
Mark Stone

Won't Play Friday
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
Cale Makar

Remains Out Friday
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
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K
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