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Passing On Passers - A Case For Drafting Your QB1 Late

You hear it every year: wait, wait, wait, and wait some more on quarterback. It's arguably the most common fantasy strategy out there these days. The premise is simple; waiting on your QB1 allows you to soak up all of the stronger running backs and wide receivers, ending up with a late round passer who is solid enough to compete. Quarterback is deeper than it's even been in fantasy and that's precisely why this mindset exists in the first place.

The counter to this plan of attack is usually something along the lines of "quarterbacks score the most points so having one better than my opponent gives me an advantage." Yes, that is mathematically true, can't argue basic arithmetic. But missing from that counterpoint is the rest of your team's roster construction. If you drafted well, your team should have more usable assets at other positions than your opponent. It's all about checks and balances. And since running backs and receivers are harder to replace, you're at an advantage in general.

Now let's talk about some actual players that you should be looking at in the middle to later portion of your fantasy drafts in 2017.

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QB1 Values to Target Later in Drafts

If "Wait On Quarterback" were a summer blockbuster movie, the poster would feature Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford standing back-to-back during a dramatic action sequence. The two of them are the prototypical late round QBs to target. Neither of them are flashy picks yet they still manage to get the job done more often than not.

Having said all that, Philip Rivers actually had a down year in 2016. His 4,386 yards and 33 touchdowns look fine on paper, but throw in a total of 28 turnovers (21 interceptions plus seven fumbles) and Rivers was a bit of a headache to own. Finishing as QB14, he was just outside QB1 status in a 12-team league. Between Keenan Allen, Melvin Gordon, Hunter Henry, Tyrell Williams, Mike Williams, and Antonio Gates, this offense is one of the deeper units in the league. There's plenty of reason to believe Rivers can be better in 2017. All it would take is a decrease in turnovers to jump right back up to true QB1 status. With an ADP of 117, Philip Rivers is one of the premiere late round quarterbacks worth grabbing.

For some added context as to just how badly turnovers crushed Rivers last year, look no further than Matthew Stafford's 2016 stat line. Stafford ended up with 4,327 yards and 24 scores in 2016, slotting him seventh among fantasy quarterbacks. The difference? Stafford had 15 less turnovers than Rivers. So while both of them were serviceable, Stafford was much more efficient. Again, waiting on the position to snag either of these two signal callers can pay off tremendously. Stafford's ADP of 112 puts him in the same neighborhood so it's really a matter of preference here. Personally, I prefer Stafford's efficiency over Rivers' weapons.

One last late round passer to target is that of Tyrod Taylor of the Buffalo Bills. Taylor was ninth among fantasy quarterbacks last season despite only having 3,023 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. The key to Taylor's success is his rushing. He's had back-t0-back seasons of at least 500 rushing yards, an attribute that has benefited the likes of Cam Newton and Russell Wilson. For what Taylor lacks through the air he compensates for on the ground. The lowest ADP of the bunch at 152, Taylor is practically free for fantasy purposes.

 

Try Doubling Down

Now would be a good time for me to interject one small addendum to the concept of waiting on quarterback. The best way to approach this strategy would be to double down on the position by taking two guys you like. I'm adding this in here rather than the beginning because it applies directly to someone like Taylor. Tyrod Taylor is no sure thing for fantasy, and he certainly doesn't have as proven of a track record as a Philip Rivers or Matthew Stafford. It'd be wise to give yourself two shots at striking oil at QB, rostering Taylor plus someone else. Maybe even two out of the aforementioned three. Owning a backup isn't necessary when you're locked into a superstar like Aaron Rodgers, but it's best to have some security in case your late round flier goes awry.

Rivers, Stafford, and Taylor are just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to settling into this plan of attack. Eli Manning, Carson Wentz, and Carson Palmer are all part of the discussion when it comes to waiting. They too would be names to consider doubling up on.

Whatever strategy you commit to, be sure to prepare yourself for every possible scenario. Maybe you head into your draft dead-set on waiting on quarterback only to see Aaron Rodgers floating around in round five. At some point or another, value trumps strategy and vice versa. Know your league, plan for everything, and be flexible. Waiting on quarterback has a proven path to success, but it's not foolproof. Zero RB, RB/RB, WR/WR, wait on QB, none of these strategies are perfect. It just so happens that the depth of the quarterback position makes this particular game plan more enticing than the rest.

 

More 2017 Fantasy Football & ADP Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
Radko Gudas

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Jeremy Lauzon

Remains Out Thursday
Mark Stone

Misses Third Consecutive Game
EDM

Kris Knoblauch Fired as Oilers Head Coach
Micah Parsons

Expected to Miss the Early Part of the Season
Colby Parkinson

a Clear Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering 2026
Omarion Hampton

Poised for Year 2 Breakout in Los Angeles
Blake Corum

Dynasty Stock Rising After Encouraging 2025 Campaign
Jaxson Dart

Does Jaxson Dart Carry High-End Dynasty QB1 Upside?
David Montgomery

Dynasty Stock Rising Following Move to Houston
Chris Godwin Jr.

Can Chris Godwin Jr. Re-Establish His Dynasty Value in 2026?
Malik Willis

Not Set Up for Immediate Success in Miami
Terrance Ferguson

has Promising Receiving Skills in Crowded TE Room in L.A.
Brenton Strange

Is Brenton Strange a Top-15 Dynasty Tight End?
T.J. Watt

Steelers Ready to Move on From T.J. Watt?
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Must Make Gains as Pass-Catcher to Take the Next Step
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Kaytron Allen

Could Kaytron Allen Take on a Big Role Right Away?
Demond Claiborne

Has Long-Term Appeal in Minnesota
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Adam Randall

to Contribute as a Pass-Catcher Right Away?
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Nicholas Singleton

Could Contribute Right Away
Bryce Lance

a Perfect Fit in New Orleans?
Mike Washington Jr.

Can Mike Washington Jr. Force a Backfield Split in Vegas?
Paul Reed

Makes Big Impact Off the Bench Wednesday
Adonai Mitchell

Unlikely to be Phased Out of Jets Offense
Daniss Jenkins

Contributes 19 Points As Starter
Cade Cunningham

Tallies 39 Points in Losing Effort
Tony Pollard

an Affordable Add for Contending Dynasty Managers
Max Strus

Notches 20 Points With Six Triples
Evan Mobley

Close to Triple-Double Wednesday
Mason Taylor

How Much Dynasty Value Will Mason Taylor Hold After Offensive-Heavy Draft?
Jarrett Allen

Records Double-Double in Game 5 Win
James Harden

Leads the Way for Cavaliers in Game 5 Victory
Quinn Hughes

Finishes Postseason With 15 Points
Matt Boldy

Posts Two Assists in Season-Ending Loss
Scott Wedgewood

Perfect in Relief Effort
Martin Necas

Records Another Multi-Point Game
Brett Kulak

Sends Avalanche Into Conference Finals
Brayden McNabb

Suspended for One Game
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
Juan Soto

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Juan Soto's Ankle
Jacob Misiorowski

Pulled Early With Possible Leg Injury
Juan Soto

Exits Wednesday's Game Early with Ankle Injury
Kevin Huerter

is Cleared to Return for Game 5
Caris LeVert

is Available for Game 5 on Wednesday
Duncan Robinson

is Out for Game 5
Keegan Murray

Undergoes Ankle Procedure
Josh Giddey

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Pete Fairbanks

Returns From Injured List
Christian Yelich

Out With Back Tightness on Wednesday Night
Nathan MacKinnon

Chasing History Wednesday
Ryan Poehling

Won't Be an Option for Game 6
Sam Malinski

Set to Miss Second Straight Game
Artturi Lehkonen

Unlikely to Play Wednesday
Matthew Schaefer

Wins Calder Trophy
TOR

Maple Leafs Fire Head Coach Craig Berube
Robby Snelling

Placed on 15-Day Injured List with Elbow Sprain
Francisco Alvarez

Mets Place Francisco Alvarez on Injured List With Torn Meniscus
Max Fried

Dealing With Left Elbow Posterior Soreness
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NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Ayo Dosunmu

Has Busy Night in Game 5
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Jaden McDaniels

Notches 17 Points in Game 5 Loss
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Julius Randle

Posts a Double-Double in Losing Effort
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Anthony Edwards

Held to 20 Points in Game 5 Loss
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Keldon Johnson

Comes Alive in Game 5 Against Timberwolves
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Stephon Castle

Makes All-Around Impact in Game 5
Victor Wembanyama

Leads Spurs to Big Win in Game 5
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Mason McTavish

Delivers Two Assists Tuesday Night
Pavel Dorofeyev

Pots Two Goals in Vital Game 5 Win
Josh Doan

Records Two Assists in Game 4 Victory
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
Brandon Nimmo

Leaves Game on Tuesday with Apparent Ankle Injury
Philadelphia 76ers

76ers Part Ways With Daryl Morey
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Game 5 Against Cavaliers
Jacob Wilson

A's Place Jacob Wilson on Injured List With Shoulder Subluxation
Christian Yelich

Brewers Reinstate Christian Yelich From Injured List
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
A.J. Ewing

Mets to Call Up Top Prospect A.J. Ewing
Mookie Betts

is Officially Back on Monday
Nathan Eovaldi

Scratched From Monday's Start With Side Tightness
Henry Bolte

Athletics to Promote Top Outfield Prospect Henry Bolte to Major Leagues
Khamzat Chimaev

Suffers his First Loss
Sean Strickland

Recaptures Middleweight Title
Tatsuro Taira

Suffers Fifth-Round TKO Loss
Joshua Van

Defends Flyweight Title
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Drops Decision
Alexander Volkov

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Shane Van Gisbergen

Dominates Watkins Glen for First Win of 2026
Michael McDowell

Finishes Second for Best Run of the Year At Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Scores New Career-Best Finish of Third at Watkins Glen
Tyler Reddick

Continues His Strong Season With Fifth-Place Run at Watkins Glen
Austin Dillon

Earns his First Top-10 Finish of 2026 at Watkins Glen
Mookie Betts

Dodgers Expect Mookie Betts to Return on Monday
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Sustains Gunshot Wound, in Stable Condition
Connor Zilisch

Will Start Fifth in his First Watkins Glen Cup Series Race
Tyler Reddick

Is A Top DFS Option for Watkins Glen Lineups
Christopher Bell

Is Likely to Bounce Back This Week at Watkins Glen
Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodon Activated for Season Debut on Sunday
William Byron

Is William Byron Playable in DFS Lineups at Watkins Glen?
Kyle Larson

May have A Positive Day at Watkins Glen
Chase Briscoe

May Compete for A Top-10 Finish at Watkins Glen
NASCAR

A.J. Allmendinger May have Another Solid Outing at Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Watkins Glen?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain Worth Rostering for Watkins Glen Lineups?
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Watkins Glen?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite at Watkins Glen
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott a No-Brainer DFS Pick at Watkins Glen?
Chris Buescher

Qualifies 14th at Watkins Glen
Ryan Blaney

Has Upside at Watkins Glen After Signing Contract Extension
Michael McDowell

Still Searching for First Top-Five Finish at Watkins Glen
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Too Aggressive for Road-Course Racing?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF