Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

NBA Fantasy Basketball Sleepers & Picks for 02/05 (Fanduel)


Editor's Note: For those of you hardcore fantasy basketball gamers, Fanduel has an exclusive offer for RotoBaller members. Register and play in the NBA Rebound tournament and you will be given a free 100% bonus on your first deposit! Put in up to $200, and you'll get another $200 for free to play on Fanduel. You'll also be invited to FREE contests with cash prize and can enter NBA Freerolls. Pretty sweet deal! 

 

Fanduel Basketball DFS Lineup Picks and More - 02/05/14

I've flirted with a few ideas for this column. I initially considered writing something that would focus on the sleepers and busts of the day, guys that were going to perform to the opposite of expectations. I may still do that in the future, but today I'm going to give something else a whirl. I will begin every one of my articles with a sort of disclaimer:

I have many unpopular opinions to accompany the mild ones, so I may, at times, make predictions or claims that seem far-fetched. In my eyes, fantasy basketball is much more fun with a tiny bit of risk and a whole lot of luck. Reading about it is only fun when you learn something new or are inspired.  Numbers and news remain important and relevant, of course, but basketball is much more than that, isn't it? It's blood, sweat, anger, grit, will-power and athleticism. It's the character of the men out there on the court and the pride that they fight for. Numbers are a small part of it, and they'll only get you so far. Let's talk about more than just that.

So without further ado, let's get this edition started. We have 12 games on the slate for Wednesday, February 5th, with the Heat and Clippers facing off  at 10:30 P.M. EST!

 

SOUR!

Has a player ever left a bad taste in your mouth? Maybe he was hyped up all week long on every facet of the media and then... nothing, disappearing like a puff of air. Maybe he was ejected from the game like Joakim Noah, after going 1-6 from the field in 19 minutes. It's an inevitable part of the game, guys, and we can't avoid these barely D-league worthy performances every now and again. Who's going to be that source of that frustration tonight?

 

Kyle Lowry, PG - Toronto Raptors ($8,400)

rotoballer-fantasy-basketball-advice-kyle-lowry

After Monday night's game, he was quoted saying his knee injury is "not serious." What a load of bologna! He shot 1-8 from the field, so it was obvious he couldn't get enough lift to put the ball in the hoop. He only played 25 minutes, way short of his average of 38 minutes over the past six games. The knee is obviously troubling him, and as long as the pain is there, no matter how severe, it's hard for me to see him playing up to this kind of salary. Keep in mind that he hasn't even been cleared for the contest against the Kings yet (I'm writing this as of Tuesday morning, so things may change). Even if he is cleared, he'll be given the task of defending Isaiah Thomas, and who the heck wants that job? Lowry's knee will be put to the ultimate test if he's cleared. He won't be able to keep up with Thomas, he won't be on the floor long and therefore his value is a lot lower than the price it will cost you to roster him. To provide a bit of context here, you should know that I'm starting RoLo over him in my eight-category league.

 

Chandler Parsons, SF - Houston Rockets ($7,000)

The price tag isn't too steep, but I'd rather take someone like Ariza, Batum or even DeMarre Carroll. Parsons only saw 19 minutes on the court in his last showing. His defense was reportedly less than admirable, and McHale decided that Parsons should meet the bench. Rightfully so, in my opinion. The guy can shoot and rebound, but if you can't keep your man away from the basket, then I'll find someone who will. This is the NBA! Everyone can score, but a solid defender is much harder to find. For that reason, I am hesitant to select Parsons for my lineups. He's only worth the price if he hits the court and drains the long balls, which is something he hasn't done much of in nearly two weeks. There are plenty of better options out there, so don't even think of taking this guy.

 

Kevin Love, PF - Minnesota Timberwolves ($11,100)

Yep, Kevin Love is going to leave a sour taste in your mouth at this price. For that amount of dough, he should put up a stat line that we've yet to see all season. Pekovic is still out, Ibaka is playing well and Kevin isn't a great defender. What does all of that mean? It's a recipe for disaster. With Nikola still sidelined, Minnesota is going to struggle to score and rebound. Is Turiaf going to do it? Nope! Rubio? Nope! Martin? Maybe, but it surely won't be enough. Now, don't get me wrong-- Kevin is probably going to have a good night when it's all said and done, but it's not going to be worthy of nearly 20% of your cap space. OKC is a VERY tough place to play. Save your money for someone more valuable.

 

SWEET!

One of the best feelings in the world is taking a chance on a "nobody" and having him stuff the stat sheet. Plucking a stud from the waiver wire or fishing through pages and pages of information to find that diamond in the rough, that's the beautiful part of fantasy sports. These guys are going to be diamonds after tonight:

 

Serge Ibaka, PF - OKC Thunder ($7,500)

I mentioned him a little bit earlier, but this guy is worth every penny. The man is on a hot streak, averaging nearly 70% from the field in his last seven games. No, he's not only taking three or four shots a game; he's averaging a whopping 16 attempts! In addition to his amazing shooting, he's been averaging eight rebounds a game over the same stretch. With the T-Wolves coming to town without Pekovic in their lineup, Ibaka should continue to put up these ridiculous numbers. A modest-- yes, modest-- stat projection for him in this game could look something like this: 12-17 FG, 3-4 FT, 12 rebounds, 2 assists and 3 blocks. You'd be crazy to ignore this guy at such a reasonable price. Put him in your lineup immediately.

 

Khris Middleton, SF - Milwaukee Bucks ($4,400)

Here's your cheap-as-dirt value pick for the day! Caron Butler is now out indefinitely with a high-ankle sprain, and that means Middleton gets the nod for additional minutes. He's been playing rather well lately, coming off of a 6-for-9 performance beyond the arc. Middleton racked up 19 pts, 4 rebounds and 3 assists in 25 minutes against the Knicks. The Bucks take on the Nuggets tonight, and who's there to stop Middleton from continuing this streak? Nobody! Chandler certainly can't, Faried most likely can't, so there's absolutely no reason for the bill to stop here. Picking this guy will get you some solid stats for a cheap price, opening up your salary for someone like Davis or DeRozan.

 

Seasonal Fantasy Strategy Interlude

Now, let's talk about something else. I've been seeing a lot of discussion here and there about trading guys from the Heat/Pacers/Trailblazers/etc. The consensus is that some of those guys, like James/Wade, George, Aldridge, Durant will be sitting out and/or resting when your fantasy playoffs roll around. The idea is that you should give these guys up to acquire a guy that will play throughout your playoff schedule. Of course, his stats may not be as pretty as the all stars', but you're getting the quantity, and that's what's important. So should you really be doing this?

Well, most fantasy playoff schedules begin in mid-to-late March and stretch throughout the end of the NBA regular season. Let's take LeBron James, for example. Up until the last week of March in the 12-13 season, LeBron was averaging over 35 minutes a game. Once April hit, he only played in 4 of 10 games and barely saw 30 minutes of action in those contests. Miami, however, had the #1 seed in the bag. There was little-to-no chance that New York would catch up and steal that from them. This season, there are very tight races in both divisions, and those should factor into your decision.

If, by the end of this month, there are no teams that hold an obvious lead in their respective conference, I think you should hold on to your stars. If there is no clear evidence of one team forfeiting a seed or losing a foothold in the race, then you don't need to trade these guys. They're going to see playing time as long as the GB is small. If Indiana happens to edge out Miami, then you might look for a deal to ship out James. The same goes for the other clubs with players like Durant, Aldridge, Duncan and George. Otherwise, you're keeping them. They're too valuable to give away, and I can assure you that if these teams still have a chance at the top seed, they're going to pursue it...

 

Here's my FanDuel team for 02/05/2014:

 

If you liked today's column, you can let me know @Roto_Royalty on Twitter! You can also shoot me an e-mail at Roto_Royalty@yahoo.com. Feel free to send in your questions, and I might feature them in one of my columns! Good luck out there and enjoy the game!

 

More Recent Articles

 

Nine AL Rookies Ready to Leap Into Starting Lineups

Every year, there are those rookies who we expect to make a splash right away. Think Kris Bryant, Ronald Acuna, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge--those guys. Once we make it through all the service time manipulation shenanigans, there are always youngsters ready to snatch roster spots immediately, and 2020 is no exception. Below are nine of... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Spin Rate

Spin rate has become one of the most recognizable Statcast metrics, with supporters of a given pitcher highlighting his spin rates to make their case. Unfortunately, the baseball world has done a lousy job conveying what spin rate really means. The result has been a ton of owners who know that spin rate exists, but... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Khris Davis

The Oakland Athletics finished 2019 with a record of 97-65, which was good for a second-place finish in the AL West and a second-consecutive wildcard birth. They did this despite a statistically down season from their superstar, Khris Davis. Davis struggled mightily in 2019 by slashing .220/.293/.387 with 23 HR, 73 RBI, 61 R, and... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis: Trey Mancini vs. Christian Walker

One of the most important skills in a fantasy draft is the ability to identify a player with similar value at a lower ADP. When you're able to find similar production at a lower cost, this allows you to use an earlier pick to fill out other areas of your roster, resulting in a stronger... Read More


MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. Stay on top of all closer depth... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - Relief Pitchers Preview

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez, Zach Braff and Mike Simione as they jump into their relief pitcher preview! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well!... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Jose Urquidy

It's been a tumultuous winter for the Houston Astros. Not only were they embroiled in a sign-stealing scandal (which has, naturally, progressed apace to unsubstantiated conspiracy theories about ever more sophisticated methods of cheating), but they watched staff ace Gerrit Cole sign a mammoth free-agent deal with the Yankees. Plenty of virtual ink has been... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Mark Canha

Mark Canha had a solid 2019 campaign and is one player that probably deserves more attention heading into 2020 than he is currently receiving. He finished the season hitting .273/.396/.517 with 26 HR, 58 RBI, 80 R, and 67 BB in 410 at-bats. It was a very productive line for a guy that played in... Read More


Four Prospect Sleepers for 2020 Redraft Leagues

Recently, Rotoballer launched a list of the Top 50 MLB prospects for the coming year. The top of the list was populated by names such as Gavin Lux, Luis Robert, and Brendan McKay. These players, among others, feature a promising combination of talent and favorable playing time projections to suggest they’ll be the cream-of-the-crop among... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis – Robbie Ray vs Trevor Bauer

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Second Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as "the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – C.J. Cron

As another fantasy baseball season approaches, we once again have the chance to discuss C.J. Cron as a fantasy sleeper. Cron will be playing for his third team in three seasons. It is tough to wrap one's head around the idea that a player of Cron's talent continues to be undervalued by professional and fantasy... Read More


2020 Starting Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a very different strategy if you wish to truly compete. All preseason long, RotoBaller has you covered with the latest rankings for all fantasy baseball league types. Here we present our points league rankings... Read More


Second-Half Improvements: Buy Into These Starting Pitchers

The second half of the season is always put under a microscope for starting pitchers. Fantasy players have a love for the second half of the season, as the belief is that pitchers who take a step forward could carry over that success the next season and perhaps even build upon it. But, as we... Read More


More Recent Articles

 

XFL Week 2 - Opportunity Risers and Fallers

We previously looked at target risers and fallers based on the first two weeks of XFL data. The XFL has made it past Week 2 and now we have eight games of data to analyze. No small feat, as nobody knew where this league was going just a few weeks ago. But here we are,... Read More


XFL Week 2 - Target Risers and Fallers

The XFL has made it past Week 2 and now we have eight games of data to analyze. No small feat, as nobody knew where this league was going just a few weeks ago. But here we are, just mere days from Week 3 matchups! With two dates already in the rearview mirror and plenty... Read More


NFL Draft Combine Preview: Quarterbacks

With the Super Bowl now behind us, it is officially NFL Draft season! It's time to speculate on draft picks for teams, who should land where, and which players should be valued over others. This also marks the unofficial start to the 2020 fantasy football season. Getting in the early preparation can give owners a... Read More


RB Opportunity Share and Impact (AFC South & West): 2019 Review

We roll on with coverage of each of the eight NFL divisions, discussing the teams that are part of them and the running backs that were part of those teams in 2019. To present those teams and players I use a set of easy-to-read charts: treemaps. The graphics will hold all of the players of... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Anthony Miller

Many of you have already begun planning and building your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have assembled teams in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are inspecting the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued your process of relentless roster evaluation. As the... Read More


Is Lamar Jackson Worth a First Round Pick?

RotoBaller fantasy football analysts Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the idea of taking Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson in the first round of 2020 fantasy football redraft leagues. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure... Read More


Why Lamar Jackson Should Be a First-Round Pick in 2020

Sometimes I like to make noise and some headlines if I can. That is why I host shows six days a week on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio representing RotoBaller. If I can get people buzzing about a topic, calling in or responding on social media with passion and vigor, I am having fun. But whenever I... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Darren Waller

Many of you have already launched into the planning process for your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have embraced the opportunity to draft in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are also monitoring the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued a pace of... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Tight End

There were a lot of fantasy football busts at the tight end position in 2019, but there were also a lot of breakout stars. The 2018 season saw Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz break the NFL record for most receptions in a season by a tight end, while San Francisco’s George Kittle broke the record for most... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Courtland Sutton

With the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV, football season is over for many people. But for anyone that plays in a dynasty fantasy football league, the season is never over. For the fantasy addicts out there, now is the time to start preparing. In today's column, we will take a look at wide receiver Courtland... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Josh Allen

The NFL offseason has arrived, which means that it's time for us to go all-in on dynasty mode. The time between the Super Bowl and the NFL Draft is the time for dynasty players to make some moves and try to make their team better -- or worse, if you're rebuilding and looking for draft... Read More


RB Opportunity Share and Impact (NFC East & North)

With the season over and real-life free agency and April's NFL draft ahead of us, it's time to look at how each team split their targets and carries (both of them combined in what is called opportunities; sometimes it's receptions instead of targets, but I wanted to look at the overall volume and total chances instead)... Read More