X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Is It Legit? Trevor Bauer's Breakout 2018 Season

We're back with another edition of "Is It Legit?" to discuss another surprising breakout performer from the 2018 MLB season in order to assess his value heading into 2019.

With so many players seemingly becoming fantasy baseball darlings overnight, it can be challenging to sift through the multiple hype trains and determine which players are actually expected to produce similar, or even better, numbers the following year.

Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer finally put together the season fans had been hoping for last year, posting a 2.21 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 11.34 K/9 and a 6.1 fWAR. He was a Cy Young candidate before a leg injury shelved him for a month or so. Does that point to a Cy Young-caliber 2019 season, or was that as good as it gets for Bauer outage?

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

No More Tinkering

Bauer has long tinkered with his arsenal to try to find the perfect combination of deception and pitch-mix. It appears he found it last season, which definitely points to continued success. Bauer finally started to scrap his ugly sinker in favor of a slider, which had a 21% SwStr% last year. Now, his four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball, changeup) each generates a SwStr over 15%, making him dangerous with his entire arsenal.

It is worth pointing out that Bauer's dominance actually started in the middle of 2017, so it was by no means a one-year fluke. Since July 27, 2017, Bauer has posted a 2.29 ERA, a 30% k rate and a 1.13 WHIP.

Bauer has found the winning formula, and it has flummoxed hitters for over a year now. That, to me at least, indicates that continued success in 2019 should be expected.

 

A Few Points of Concern

One thing for fans to monitor this spring is his velocity. After returning from the DL last year, Bauer's fastball velocity dropped to 93.0 miles per hour, and with it came the cratering of his strikeout rate. It's entirely possible, likely even, that he returned from the DL before he was ready and his results suffered. Still - it's worth monitoring his fastball velocity in the spring as he ramps it up to make sure he can get back to the 95 mph range with his heater.

Now, Bauer didn't get to his 2.21 ERA without a little bit of luck. His 3.21 SIERA is a full run higher than his actual output, although Cleveland's stellar defense around the diamond does help put that into context, along with his 2.44 FIP. He also benefited greatly from a 6.2% HR/FB rate, leading to a 0.46 HR/9. That probably won't happen again, and a return to normal HR rates could raise his ERA into the high-2.00's.

Still, we are looking at one of the elite pitchers in the entire league, and for some reason, fantasy owners are still a bit hesitant to buy-in. Max Scherzer, Jacob deGrom and Chris Sale are definitely ahead of Bauer, and Justin Verlander, Gerrit Cole, Corey Kluber, and Blake Snell are all in the same category. However, I'm comfortable taking Bauer as the No. 4 starter off the board, and think you should be as well.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Jae'Sean Tate6 mins ago

Still Out Thursday
Max Strus15 mins ago

Listed As Probable For Thursday
Pascal Siakam16 mins ago

Leads Raptors To Win On Wednesday
Brandin Cooks21 mins ago

Expected To Miss Another Game
Terance Mann25 mins ago

Out Thursday
Nikola Vucevic26 mins ago

Gathers Double-Double Against Washington
Zion Williamson30 mins ago

Scores Game-High 29 Points In Win
Kawhi Leonard34 mins ago

Won't Play Thursday
Jrue Holiday35 mins ago

Drops 31 Points Against Sacramento
Kyle Lowry42 mins ago

Rested On Thursday
Domantas Sabonis44 mins ago

Puts Up Strong Stat Line Against Bucks
Ja Morant48 mins ago

Collects Second Triple-Double This Season
Joe Mixon50 mins ago

Has Cleared Concussion Protocols
Bruno Fernando56 mins ago

Questionable On Thursday With Illness
Josh Christopher1 hour ago

Tagged As Questionable Against Spurs
Nikola Jovic1 hour ago

Available To Play Against Clippers
Duncan Robinson1 hour ago

Probable For Thursday's Game
San Francisco Giants2 hours ago

Giants Acquire Blake Sabol From The Reds
Austin Brice2 hours ago

Diamondbacks Sign Austin Brice To Minor-League Deal
Jason Heyward2 hours ago

Dodgers Sign Jason Heyward To Minor-League Deal
Trevor Williams2 hours ago

Mets Could Reunite With Trevor Williams
Baker Mayfield3 hours ago

Expected To Be Active, Could Start
Marcus Mariota3 hours ago

Benched For Desmond Ridder
Andrei Kuzmenko6 hours ago

Heating Up Again
Josh Jacobs7 hours ago

Expected To Play Thursday Night
Mika Zibanejad7 hours ago

Enjoys A Three-Point Night Versus Vegas
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins7 hours ago

Piles Up Three Points Wednesday
Connor McDavid7 hours ago

Goes Off For Another Four Points
Linus Ullmark7 hours ago

Shuts Out Colorado
Taylor Hall7 hours ago

Grabs Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Patrik Laine7 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Wednesday
Alex Tuch7 hours ago

Posts Career-High Four Points
Kirill Kaprizov14 hours ago

Extends Point Streak In Loss
Alex Ovechkin14 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Joe Jiménez14 hours ago

Braves Acquire Joe Jimenez From Tigers
Xander Bogaerts14 hours ago

Padres Agree With Xander Bogaerts On 11-Year Deal
Tage Thompson14 hours ago

Scores Five Goals In Dominant Victory
Tyler Herro16 hours ago

Probable For Meeting With The Clippers
Buddy Hield16 hours ago

Scores 26 Points In Loss
Tyrese Haliburton16 hours ago

Plays Well In Return From Injury
Giannis Antetokounmpo16 hours ago

Has Game-High 35 Points In Win
Kevin Durant16 hours ago

Nearly Misses A Triple-Double On Wednesday
Kyrie Irving16 hours ago

Scores 33 Points On Wednesday
Dansby Swanson19 hours ago

Four Teams Showing Serious Interest In Dansby Swanson
Xander Bogaerts19 hours ago

Six Teams Talking With Xander Bogaerts
Pittsburgh Pirates20 hours ago

Pirates Take Jose Hernandez In Rule 5 Draft
Ryan Noda21 hours ago

A's Pluck Ryan Noda Away From The Dodgers
Boston Red Sox21 hours ago

Red Sox Reel In Masataka Yoshida On Five-Year Deal
Cole Hamels21 hours ago

Wants To Pitch In 2023
Josh Jacobs21 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night Football
New York Mets21 hours ago

Mets Remain Involved With Kodai Senga
Carlos Rodón21 hours ago

Yankees Remain In On Carlos Rodon
Mike Williams21 hours ago

Set To Practice This Week
Carlos Correa21 hours ago

Giants Have Talked With Carlos Correa
Thad Ward21 hours ago

Nationals Select Thad Ward With First Rule 5 Pick
Zach Hyman21 hours ago

Set To Return Wednesday
James Van Riemsdyk22 hours ago

James van Riemsdyk Returns To Flyers Lineup
Craig Smith22 hours ago

Back For Bruins Wednesday
James Reimer22 hours ago

Misses Another Game
Nico Sturm22 hours ago

Back In Action Wednesday
Jack Eichel22 hours ago

Sits Out A Second Game
Filip Chytil22 hours ago

Ready To Go Wednesday
Jimmy Garoppolo23 hours ago

A Long Shot To Return In Playoffs
Joe Mixon23 hours ago

A Full Participant In Practice
Los Angeles Rams24 hours ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Expects To Play In Week 14
Brooks Raley1 day ago

Mets Acquire Brooks Raley From Rays
Casey Sadler1 day ago

Mariners Sign Casey Sadler To Minors Deal
Tucker Barnhart1 day ago

Pirates Interested In Tucker Barnhart
Seth Lugo1 day ago

Drawing A Lot Of Interest To Start
Courtland Sutton1 day ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 14
Xander Bogaerts1 day ago

Red Sox In Heavy Discussions With Xander Bogaerts
David Njoku1 day ago

Ready To Play
Buffalo Bills1 day ago

Von Miller Undergoes Surgery, Out For The Year
Mark Ingram II1 day ago

Likely Done For The Season
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Up In The Air For Week 14
Tua Tagovailoa1 day ago

Expected To Be Limited In Practice
Davis Mills1 day ago

Texans Going Back To Davis Mills At QB
Magomed Ankalaev1 day ago

Can Realize His UFC Dream
Jan Blachowicz1 day ago

Set For Title Redemption
Jared Gordon1 day ago

Has An Opportunity For A Huge Victory
Paddy Pimblett1 day ago

Set To Showcase In UFC 282
Matt Murray1 day ago

Records A 44-Save Shutout
Pierre-Luc Dubois1 day ago

Extends Hot Streak With Three Assists
Anze Kopitar1 day ago

Collects Three Assists
Dricus Du Plessis1 day ago

Hoping To Continue To Rack Up Wins
Darren Till1 day ago

Looking For A Key Victory At UFC 282
Ilia Topuria1 day ago

Meets Fellow Top-15 Undefeated Featherweight
Bryce Mitchell1 day ago

Set To Open UFC 282 Main Card
Greg Dortch2 days ago

Cardinals Hopeful Rondale Moore, Greg Dortch Return This Week
Jimmy Garoppolo2 days ago

Will Avoid Surgery, Could Return In Playoffs
Baker Mayfield2 days ago

Claimed By The Rams
Kevin Holland3 days ago

Takes The Loss In Saturday's Main Event
Stephen Thompson3 days ago

Earns Victory In Main Event
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

Unable To Secure A Win Saturday
Rafael Dos Anjos3 days ago

Rafael dos Anjos Takes Co-Main Event By Submission
Matt Schnell3 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Takes The Loss Saturday
Matheus Nicolau3 days ago

Continues Run With TKO Victory
Tai Tuivasa3 days ago

Suffers Second Straight Loss
Sergei Pavlovich3 days ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory With Knockout Win
Jack Hermansson3 days ago

Ends 2022 With Losing Record
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Makes Most Of Opportunity With TKO Victory
Kyle Daukaus3 days ago

Has His Night Come To An Early End
Eryk Anders3 days ago

Gets It Done With A Second TKO Performance
Kevin Holland5 days ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP