Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

H2H Points Leagues Outfielders - Overvalued & Undervalued


For those fantasy enthusiasts that love the head-to-head competition and being able to trash talk their friends every week, the points league is the ideal setup. For the casual player in this format, it’s common to unknowingly draft using a standard top-300 list from a magazine or website. These lists base themselves on roto formats, and depending on which league you are participating in, there is a contradiction in value.

For batters, the roto leagues value hitters more for their stolen base ability, while they generally disregard some aspects of plate discipline. Strikeouts and walks are crucial to recognize in a points league because they will count as a point for, or against your team. In a roto format, it’s irrelevant if a batter strikes out 200 times, as long as they attain their 40 homers.

There is a significant difference between these leagues, and today we’ll go through some outfielders who carry a very different value in a points format.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Overvalued Outfielders - H2H Points Leagues

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 22 ADP

There’s no question Giancarlo Stanton’s power is worth salivating over. What we need to be aware of in points leagues is how much his home run and RBI numbers get downgraded because he strikes out so often. Stanton struck out 211 times in 2018, bad enough for a 29.9% K%, just slightly higher than his career average. He also showed his worst patience since 2012 with a 9.9% BB%, so if we subtract his free-passes from his punch outs, Stanton would have -141 points in this area. This number, in effect, cancels out his entire RBI production as well as about 25% of his HR total. Stanton is a top-10 outfield pick in a roto league typically, but this data doesn’t merit a top-10 selection in the outfield for a points system.

Starling Marte (PIT) - 38 ADP

What gives Starling Marte tremendous fantasy appeal is his power/speed combination. 20/30 players are hard to come by, but in a points format, his year-end number of points is easily attainable elsewhere. If your scoring settings reward a point for a steal, Marte can be treated as a bat with 28 HR without the extra RBI that come with it. Marte had a respectable 18.0% K% in 2018, but compared to his 5.8% BB%, it’s anything but desirable. These numbers slapped his 0.32 BB/K among the outfield’s bottom-12, right below Stanton’s 0.33 mark from a year ago. Marte doesn’t possess the entire skill set that would reward a top-15 selection at his position in a points setup, and he needs a downgrade by at least a couple of rounds.

Harrison Bader (STL) - 181 ADP

Another outfielder admired for his power/speed potential is youngster Harrison Bader. The 24-year-old made an impact in 2018 with the Cardinals, knocking 12 out of the park while swiping 15 bags in just 427 plate appearances. Volume could be a factor for Bader in 2019, as the Cards have several outfield options to fill in for him if he were to struggle at any point during the year. Bader also doesn’t profile as anything larger than a 20-HR bat, and to be seriously considered in a points league, he needs to make strides in plate discipline. Bader held a worrisome 29.3% K% as a rookie, which would have placed his 0.25 BB/K tied for fourth-worst in the majors among outfielders. Bader will also bat at the bottom of the St. Louis lineup, so the counting stats won’t provide enough point value to return his ADP cost.

 

Undervalued Outfielders - H2H Points Leagues

Michael Brantley (HOU) - 117 ADP

Michael Brantley may not move the needle enough in the HR or SB category in a roto format, but in a points league, his consistency and batted-ball skills play perfectly. Brantley’s 0.80 BB/K ranked sixth-best among outfielders a season ago, essentially letting him count all of his stats towards his year-end total. Brantley’s 17 HR from a season ago isn’t necessarily enticing, but his 36 doubles were admirable in his final season as a Cleveland Indian. Now a member of the Houston Astros, Brantley has even more of an opportunity to accumulate plenty of R and RBI numbers, batting in their potent lineup. Turning 32 in May, there’s plenty left in the tank for the left-handed bat as his contact and hard-hit ability have only increased with age.

Jesse Winker (CIN) - 197 ADP

If you were to draw a younger comparison to Brantley, it would surely have to be Jesse Winker. Also a left-handed swinger, Winker duplicates Brantley’s elite plate discipline numbers by selling out for contact instead of clobbering fence-clearing shots. His ceiling as a home run hitter is a number in the mid-teens, but his proficiency to get on-base considerably outweighs this in a points league. Winker was one of only a handful of players in 2018 to walk more than he struck out, and the only outfielder to perform such a feat. Winker is slated to bat at the top of a stacked Reds lineup in 2019, optimizing his points total. There is a slight playing time concern, but with Nick Senzel’s status in the air, and the aging Matt Kemp a liability in left field, Winker will earn the playing time he deserves.

Nick Markakis (ATL) - 328 ADP

A late-round gold mine for your points league comes by the bat of veteran Nick Markakis. He carries the same qualities as Brantley and Winker, dominating the BB/K category with limited power. Markakis swatted just 14 big flys in 2018, but his 0.90 BB/K ranked third-best among qualified outfielders. The journeyman managed to provide a silver lining for his lack of power by piling up 43 doubles, also third-best among outfielders. Markakis returns to an even more formidable lineup in Atlanta compared to what he was in a year ago. Slated to bat fifth for the Braves, Markakis is a points league steal at his ADP, and he’s certain to accumulate at least another 160 R+RBI in 2019.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

FAAB Bidding - Week 6 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


We Must Overreact Immediately! Week 6 Outliers

In Week 6, several players exploded in fantasy lineups. There were a few receivers that were above the rest of the pack in Week 6, such as Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill, but there shouldn't be any surprises there as those guys should have been in fantasy lineups. At the quarterback... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 7

The bye week difficulties continue this week with Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all getting their rest in Week 7. It should be noted, however, that just because a player is currently in their bye week, doesn't mean you should avoid them on the waiver wire. In fact, this is often the easiest way... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

All of a sudden, the Chargers look like one of the worst teams in football and the Jets look like a playoff contender. Maybe things won't shake out that way in the end but it goes to show how quickly things change in the "Not For Long" NFL. For that reason, we advise looking at... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 7)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 6 is done, and we've seen some outstanding games thus far. We've also seen a lot of surprising teams through six weeks. The San Francisco 49ers, after picking in the top 10 for four straight years, are 5-0 with one of the most complete teams in football. As far as kickers go, we're seeing... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Some of you have been rewarded for your meticulous roster planning by receiving excellent production from your running backs. Unfortunately, many of you have been equally prepared when making roster decisions, but have been undermined by injuries, inconsistent usage, or underwhelming performances. If that applies to you, then those unwanted outcomes have forced you to... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

We weren't really surprised by the top-scoring fantasy wide receivers from Week 6. Out of the top-20 receivers, only Jamison Crowder, Auden Tate and Jaron Brown were less than 50% owned. Jaron Brown (0% owned) was only targeted five times but he scored two touchdowns off of those five targets. Auden Tate (23% owned) hauled... Read More


Tight End Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers – Week 7

Another week, another four teams on bye in the NFL. Fantasy football players are going to have to make due this week without Carolina’s Greg Olsen, Tampa Bay’s O.J. Howard and Pittsburgh’s Vance McDonald, not to mention Seattle’s Will Dissly, who was injured this past Sunday. It could be a worse week for fantasy players... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 7

It was another big week at the quarterback position, as five quarterbacks topped 30 points and 12 scored more than 20 heading into Sunday Night Football. Most of the big performers were players we expect, such as Matt Ryan and Deshaun Watson, but we also got some surprising starts from quarterbacks who are widely available.... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 7 Lightning Round

The Jets are back! OK, maybe not back because they were never here but at least there's some actual hope and fantasy value to be had from a previously winless team. The tight end landscape has changed drastically again, as Hunter Henry returns right at 60% ownership, while breakout second-year Seahawk Will Dissly's season appears... Read More


Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups List

Back by popular demand in 2019... RotoBaller has brought back for the NFL season our Ultimate 2019 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Waiver Wire Pickups List.  Be sure to also try our other lineup tools below. Using your phone? Be sure to also download our free app which includes news, notifications, injury alerts & articles.   Rankings WizardWeekly... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 6 Amari Cooper (quad) has been ruled out for the game. Will Dissly went down with a non-contact achilles... Read More


Week 6 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More