Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Football: Dynasty Buy Lows (Pre-Free Agency)

Trey Lance - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

With the NFL Combine underway and free agency on the horizon, now is a good time to do a price check on dynasty assets you want to keep or add. Many might ask why we would do this now when so many variables are left to be decided. Why not wait until free agency is done and we know how those moves impact our players? Why not wait until after the NFL Draft is concluded, so rosters are all but finalized?

For an example of why fantasy managers should try to anticipate off-season moves and make deals before those moves happen, consider the trade of Antonio Brown several years back. The prevailing thought that offseason was the Steelers would trade Brown to the 49ers or the Bills. However, a few of us said the Raiders were the most likely team to pay for that headache. We also anticipated that trade wouldn’t work for either party. Both predictions proved true, and those who dealt Brown early really benefitted.

In situations like this, dynasty managers with a good gauge of the offseason can get fantastic value from undervalued or overvalued players. Maybe you added Christian Kirk for a 4th rounder before free agency last year and watched his stock soar after he signed with Jacksonville? Or maybe you sold high on Cam Akers and can now afford to pick him back up for pennies? It's moves like those that can change a dynasty if you aren’t afraid to trust your gut and deal early. It’s those types of moves we are aiming for here. Note: Most proposed trade values below will be in terms of rookie draft picks for this year (2023). This is the easiest commodity to use when projecting dynasty trade values because it is a universal commodity that all dynasty managers have.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Baseball Writer of the Year, Football Writers of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year and many more! Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!


Quarterbacks to Buy Pre-Free Agency

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers

Most media and fans view Trey Lance's demise as a foregone conclusion. Despite his youth, powerful arm, plus size, strong work ethic, underrated intelligence, and the fact he's played just two drives without injury or monsoon, most are eager to write him off. If you're not in that majority, there is a lot of potential value to be had in Lance, though.

One reason we like Lance is his potential to start for a good chunk of this coming season, if not the entire year. We still don't know when Brock Purdy will have surgery or what kind of surgery will be needed. The best-case scenario has Purdy healthy by Week 1 with little to no camp under his belt, but the worst-case scenario has him missing the whole season. In either instance, Lance should get a chance to earn this job long-term.

The second reason to buy low on Lance is the likelihood that some NFL team (the Titans?) will give him a real shot to be their long-term answer if SF doesn’t. There’s never been a time that the NFL didn’t need quarterback talent, and countless stars have been made out of reclamation projects. Remember, Steve Young, Drew Brees, Rich Gannon, Brett Favre, and others struggled with their first teams before putting up Hall of Fame caliber careers with new ones.

Offer in Superflex: Pick 1.06 (or 1.04 for Lance plus picks)

Offer in Non-Superflex: Late 2nd or early 3rd round pick

Malik Willis, Tennessee Titans

Let’s begin this discussion by making clear I was never particularly high on Willis as a prospect. While he was unquestionably the most gifted runner and had the strongest arm of last year’s weak quarterback class, he was always a raw prospect who struggled with accuracy and processing. He was also putrid when given a chance to play, eventually ceding his job to journeyman Josh Dobbs. If you thought Lance was ineffective in limited snaps, watch Willis.

That said, Willis’ current fantasy cost is low enough to consider him an interesting buy-low option in Superflex dynasties. While the Liberty product will likely be a below-average passer for his career, he only needs to become serviceable for fantasy purposes. If Willis can earn a starting job someday and complete just 60% of his passes, he should be a top-twelve QB, thanks to his legs. That potential is worth a third-round pick in this draft class.

Offer in Superflex: Late 3rd-round pick

Offer in Non-Superflex: Waiver Claim

Sam Howell, Washington Commanders

Ron Rivera recently said Howell is "not our starter." He also stated Howell would "Come in as the QB1. He'll get a great opportunity to be our starter.” Clear as the toilet water in a Reno gas station, right?

Howell is the second passer on this list from last year's poor QB class, but he did display pro-caliber tools at North Carolina. While he was inconsistent in his one start for Washington last year, he had a big play with his arm and he added value with his legs. The potential mobility, his history of deep accuracy in college, and the opportunity he will have to start all make him a viable dynasty stash. He’s worth a mid-round rookie pick.

Offer in Superflex: Mid-3rd round pick

Offer in Non-Superflex: Waiver Claim


Running Backs to Buy Pre-Free Agency

Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams is coming off the type of knee injury that forced J.K. Dobbins to miss the better part of two straight seasons. In fact, Williams suffered his injury approximately two months later in the season than Dobbins, meaning his return could be even more delayed than Dobbins’ was. That’s why you saw reports earlier this month saying Williams could miss some of 2023 and why many dynasty managers may sell low.

The upside with Williams is worth it if you can afford to wait on him or get him at a discount, though. The UNC product led all backs in broken tackles as a rookie, and he’s averaged an impressive 7.79 yards after the catch as a pro. Depending on whom Denver adds at the position, Williams could inherit a lead role in a Sean Payton offense that helped Alvin Kamara finish as RB8, RB2, RB8, and RB4 overall in FPPG during Payton’s final four seasons in New Orleans.

Offer: Pick 1.08

Alexander Mattison, Free Agent

Mattison has looked like a borderline RB1 whenever he's gotten starter-level snaps. He now enters free agency and stands to earn his first shot at a starter role. While the depth of the running back position in this NFL Draft could drive down demand for Mattison, there’s a decent chance some NFL team would rather pay him $6-7 million a year to be their guy for the next three years rather than spend an early draft pick or significant money on the position.

If he can get a lead role, the Boise State product has minimal wear on his tires, and he will be 25 this season. While his productivity has waned in the past two seasons, he remains an athletic back with a big body and the ability to catch passes. Teams like the Chiefs and Bengals could be amongst the teams interested at the right price. Both offenses would dramatically inflate Mattison’s fantasy price, especially if Cincy moves on from Joe Mixon.

Offer: Late 2nd-round pick

Jordan Mason, San Francisco 49ers

As you've probably heard, a new RB has led the 49ers in rushing every season under Kyle Shanahan. You also may have heard the 49ers have suffered the most injuries in the NFL since Shanahan took over, and many of those have come at running back. In fact, the top two backs on this roster heading into next year (Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell) have struggled with multiple injuries throughout their careers.

Mason is a cheap insurance back who could pay off big in the right situation. In fact, Mason could earn a significant role if Mitchell were to go down, even if CMC stays healthy. Consider that Mason averaged a whopping 6.0 yards per carry last year, and he finished fifth in the NFL in yards after contact per rush attempt. With Mason on waivers in some leagues and costing very little in others, he’s worth a stash if you have a deeper bench.

Offer: Early 4th-round pick


Wide Receivers to Buy Pre-Free Agency

Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis Colts

One reason for optimism with Michael Pittman Jr. is the obvious upgrade he will see at QB this offseason. Indianapolis must draft a passer in the first round of this Draft, and it’s a strong possibility they trade up to #1 to get their preferred option. If that option is Alabama’s Bryce Young or Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud, fantasy managers can expect more targets and big plays from Pittman this year. Young’s accuracy would provide a particularly big boost.

Another reason Pittman's stock should be higher is his seemingly strong hold on Indy's WR1 role. The Colts’ first three draft picks might all be dealt for their QB of choice. Meanwhile, most of their cap space should go to an offensive line that allowed the second-most sacks in the NFL last year. With Indy also needing to get younger in the secondary and add another pass rusher, it seems unlikely they will replace Pittman soon.

Offer: Pick 1.10

John Metchie, Houston Texans

John Metchie hopes to complete his cancer recovery in time to play football this season. If he can bounce back from that condition and return to form, he could provide the Texans with a good athlete and reliable route runner in the slot, which is why they used a second-round pick on him. That sort of role and ability could mean plenty of volume for Metchie, especially with the Texans expected to draft a rookie passer who should rely on him plenty.

Another reason to add Metchie is the chance he could become a short-term fantasy stock flip. Just imagine adding him for a low-cost today, only for positive health reports to come out sometime this month. Then imagine the Texans draft his college teammate (Bryce Young) in April. How many fantasy managers would buy into the Young-to-Metchie narrative? You might turn a 4th round pick into a 2nd just by sitting on Metchie for a month.

Offer: Late 3rd-round pick

Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens

Preseason buzz was high for Bateman, and he started the year with two big touchdown catches in two games. Then Bateman's big plays dried up (they usually do), his target share never rose, and he ended his season early with an injury. Overall, it was a disappointing year for a former first-round pick with surprising speed and plus release.

One reason for optimism with Bateman is the fact Greg Roman is no longer Baltimore’s offensive coordinator. Roman’s offenses have only averaged 30+ pass attempts per game once, and all his running backs had to get hurt before he would call that style of game. Roman has never produced a top-ten fantasy wide receiver, either. So, Roman’s exit is a positive for any Ravens wide receiver.

That said, even if the exit of Roman doesn't lead to a big uptick in passing for Baltimore's offense, Bateman could still see his fantasy stock rise. The reason for that is Bateman may only be in Baltimore for a short time. The former Golden Gopher recently bashed Baltimore's GM on social media very directly. While this indiscretion could be forgiven, it could also lead to another Baltimore receiver being traded. A trade to almost any other NFL team would boost Bateman’s volume.

Offer: 2nd round pick


Tight Ends to Buy Pre-Free Agency

Kyle Pitts (and Drake London), Atlanta Falcons

While listing Pitts here feels obvious, his stock has fallen too far not to consider him a buy-low. Pitts is coming off a very disappointing season that ended in injury. He's also stuck on an offense that, in its current form, seems keen to waste its most talented offensive playmakers in favor of running the ball up the middle 30+ times per game. That won't always be the case, though.

If Arthur Smith continues his style of play calling, it is inevitable that he and a seemingly pass-oriented front office will conflict. While Smith's team was certainly scrappy last year, Atlanta still needs to learn what Desmond Ridder is, and they won too many games to replace him easily. No matter how good Smith's run game may be, to truly compete in the NFL, he will need to call more pass plays and involve players like Pitts and Drake London.

If Smith doesn't adjust his style to get more out of those weapons, odds favor his ouster sometime soon. However, if some miracle occurs and he turns the Falcons into a contender without increasing Pitts and London's usage, other teams will call about those players. Talents like that won't be wasted for long, and savvy dynasty managers would be smart to buy low on both while concerns remain about their usage.

Offer for Pitts: Pick 1.05 (I wouldn’t accept this if I had Pitts)

Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals

Another relatively obvious pick, McBride was the top TE on many draft boards in last year’s Draft. However, he played sparingly this past season, which caused him to fall behind players like Greg Dulcich and Isaiah Likely in some dynasty circles.

That said, McBride flashed the potential of a low-end TE1 when he finally saw starter-level snaps late last season. That potential is particularly encouraging when you consider how little the past Cardinals’ regime used their TEs, and how often this new regime used theirs in Philly. We expect McBride’s usage to ascend in his second season, making him worth a stash in most formats.

Offer: Early 3rd pick

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts


Marc-Andre Fleury3 hours ago

Takes Loss Against Flyers
Matthew Boldy3 hours ago

Scores Twice Against Flyers
Bryce Young4 hours ago

Impresses At Pro Day
Eddy Piñeiro4 hours ago

Panthers Re-Sign Eddy Pineiro To Two-Year Deal
Tony Jones Jr.4 hours ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Broncos
Alex Cobb4 hours ago

Might Not Be Ready For Opening Day
Franz Wagner5 hours ago

Won't Return On Thursday
Bradley Beal5 hours ago

Won't Suit Up On Friday
Tyrese Haliburton5 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Friday
Eric Gordon5 hours ago

Gets Starting Nod On Thursday
Kelly Oubre5 hours ago

Jr. Won't Return On Thursday
Deandre Ayton6 hours ago

To Miss Next Two Games
Terry Rozier6 hours ago

Doubtful To Return On Thursday
Mychal Givens6 hours ago

Resumes Throwing
Josh Winckowski6 hours ago

To Begin Season In Bullpen
Drey Jameson6 hours ago

Roughed Up On Thursday
Michael Soroka6 hours ago

Optioned To Minors
Drew Rucinski6 hours ago

Resumes Throwing
Daniel Lynch6 hours ago

Removed Early On Thursday
Rhys Hoskins7 hours ago

Tears ACL
Spencer Steer7 hours ago

Expected To Be Reds Opening Day 3B
Will Brennan7 hours ago

Standing Out This Spring
Brice Turang7 hours ago

Impressing This Spring
Jared Shuster7 hours ago

Having Torrid Spring
Logan O'Hoppe7 hours ago

Could Make Angels Opening Day Roster
Mitchell Robinson8 hours ago

To Play On Thursday
Jalen Brunson8 hours ago

Officially Out For Thursday
LeBron James8 hours ago

Begins On-Court Activity
Jalen Brunson8 hours ago

Uncertain For Thursday
Jalen Duren8 hours ago

Removed From Injury Report
Esteban Quiroz9 hours ago

Phillies Acquire Esteban Quiroz From Cubs
Kyle Tucker9 hours ago

Expects To Be Ready For Opening Day
Will Levis9 hours ago

Meeting With Panthers Thursday
Ryan Succop9 hours ago

Buccaneers Release Ryan Succop
Ezekiel Elliott9 hours ago

Narrows His List Down To Three Teams
Hunter Brown9 hours ago

Still Not Throwing
Brandon Nimmo9 hours ago

Triples In Minor-League Game
Jared Spurgeon10 hours ago

Returns From Illness Thursday
Anthony Duclair10 hours ago

Available Again Thursday
Jason Heyward10 hours ago

Officially On Opening Day Roster
Ville Husso10 hours ago

Out With A Lower-Body Injury
Jimmy Nelson10 hours ago

To Open Year On Injured List
Tom Murphy10 hours ago

Back In Lineup
Darcy Kuemper10 hours ago

Back In Capitals Crease Thursday
Jarred Kelenic10 hours ago

Back In Lineup
John Carlson10 hours ago

Set To Return Thursday
Josh Anderson10 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Oliver Ekman-Larsson10 hours ago

Not Expected To Return This Season
Lukas Dostal11 hours ago

In Goal Thursday For Anaheim
Logan Thompson11 hours ago

Starting Thursday Against Flames
Joel Hofer12 hours ago

Guards Cage Against Detroit
Scottie Barnes12 hours ago

Could Be Out Again Friday
Jeremy Swayman12 hours ago

Confirmed Starting Goalie Thursday
Precious Achiuwa12 hours ago

Regarded As Questionable For Friday
Jake Allen12 hours ago

Between The Pipes Against Boston
Gary Trent12 hours ago

Jr. Questionable For Friday
Tommy Sweeney12 hours ago

Giants Signing Tommy Sweeney
Marc-Andre Fleury12 hours ago

Protects Crease Thursday
Norman Powell12 hours ago

Misses A Ninth Consecutive Game
Zay Flowers12 hours ago

To Meet With Saints, Giants
Bryce Young12 hours ago

Meets With Raiders
Mark Williams12 hours ago

Remains Out On Thursday
DeAndre Hopkins12 hours ago

Bills Headline Trade Market For DeAndre Hopkins
Ty Johnson12 hours ago

Jets Bring Back Ty Johnson
Mitchell Robinson12 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday
KJ Hamler12 hours ago

To Miss 4-6 Months With Torn Pec
Jamison Crowder13 hours ago

Giants Agree To Terms With Jamison Crowder
Mecole Hardman14 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule
San Francisco 49ers14 hours ago

49ers Sign Austin Bryant To One-Year Deal
Maycee Barber14 hours ago

Can Continue Her Flyweight Ascent
Andrea Lee14 hours ago

In Need Of Victory To Keep Momentum Going
Detroit Lions14 hours ago

Jalen Reeves-Maybin Returns To Lions
Damien Harris14 hours ago

James Cook, Damien Harris To Share Backfield
MMA14 hours ago

Manel Kape On The Hunt For Fourth Straight Victory Saturday
Tony Pollard14 hours ago

Signs Franchise Tag
Alex Perez14 hours ago

Seeking First Victory Since 2020
Cincinnati Bengals14 hours ago

Bengals Have Had Trade Talks Centered Around Jonah Williams
Albert Duraev14 hours ago

Can Rebound With A Victory
C.J. Ham14 hours ago

Vikings Give C.J. Ham A Two-Year Extension
Chidi Njokuani14 hours ago

Hopes To Get Back In Win Column
Odell Beckham Jr.15 hours ago

Jets Interest In Odell Beckham Jr. "Very Real"
Nikola Jokic16 hours ago

Leads Nuggets To 14-Point Win
Pascal Siakam16 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Losing Effort
Jaren Jackson16 hours ago

Jr. Scores Season-High 37 Points In Win
J.T. Compher17 hours ago

Grabs Two Points Against Pittsburgh
Sidney Crosby17 hours ago

Makes History By Reaching 30 Goals
Jeff Carter17 hours ago

Pots Two Goals In Victory Over Colorado
Nick Schmaltz17 hours ago

Posts Two Assists Wednesday
Clayton Keller17 hours ago

Stays Hot With Two Goals
Leon Draisaitl18 hours ago

Hands Out Four Assists
Taylor Montgomery2 days ago

A Hard Fade In Austin
Sam Burns2 days ago

Hard To Trust At WGC Dell Match Play
Max Homa2 days ago

A Strong Contender In Austin
Tom Hoge3 days ago

A Bracket-Buster In Match Play
Hideki Matsuyama3 days ago

Doesn't Perform In Match Play
Kamaru Usman3 days ago

Unsuccessful In Bid To Recapture Title
Leon Edwards3 days ago

Defends Crown At UFC 286
Viktor Hovland3 days ago

Has Struggled In Match Play
Rafael Fiziev3 days ago

Has Strong Showing But Takes Loss
Justin Gaethje3 days ago

Puts On Another Highlight-Reel Performance
Tyrrell Hatton3 days ago

The Favorite In His Group
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

Suffers Second Straight Submission Loss
Gunnar Nelson3 days ago

Scores Impressive Finish At UFC 286
Will Zalatoris3 days ago

Needs Birdies At WGC Match Play
Jordan Spieth3 days ago

Can Advance At WGC Match Play
Matt Fitzpatrick3 days ago

May Struggle At WGC Match Play
Chris Kirk3 days ago

Draws A Bit Unlucky At WGC Match Play
Patrick Cantlay3 days ago

Has Good Chance At WGC Match Play
Brian Harman3 days ago

Has Putter's Chance To Contend At WGC
Tommy Fleetwood3 days ago

Has Challenge At WGC Match Play
Casey O'Neill4 days ago

Takes First Defeat Against Former Champion
Jennifer Maia4 days ago

Earns Decision Win Over Undefeated Opponent
Roman Dolidze4 days ago

Suffers Setback With Decision Loss
Marvin Vettori4 days ago

Picks Up Decision Win
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Finishes In Top 10 At Atlanta
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Finishes Strong In Atlanta
Erik Jones4 days ago

Gets His First Top-10 Finish Of The Season
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Bounces Back From Speeding Penalty
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Has A Strong Showing
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Hangs in For Fifth Place At Atlanta
Corey Lajoie4 days ago

Corey LaJoie Uses Course To Advantage On Sunday
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Ends Up With Another Top Five Result
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Brad Keselowski Noses Christopher Bell Out For Second
Joey Logano4 days ago

Goes From Pole To Win Sunday
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Starts 23rd
Ryan Preece5 days ago

Starts 24th At The AmBetter Health 400
AJ Allmendinger5 days ago

Eyes Another Strong Finish
NASCAR5 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Eyes Back-To-Back Superspeedway Wins
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

May Be Overlooked
Erik Jones5 days ago

Is A Value Play At Atlanta
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Seeks Better Results
Noah Gragson5 days ago

Might Surprise At Atlanta Motor Speedway
Austin Dillon5 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Atlanta
Ty Dillon5 days ago

Hoping To Keep Car Running At Atlanta
NASCAR5 days ago

J.J. Yeley Starts 34th Sunday At Ambetter Health 400