👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Daily Fantasy Basketball Strategy: Key Stats to Know for NBA DFS Analysis

With the NFL season in full swing and baseball quickly wrapping up, the NBA will soon be the top daily fantasy sport going six days a week.  Rotoballer will be providing regular advice and strategy geared toward daily fantasy basketball players throughout the 2015-16 NBA season.

With the boom in popularity of all DFS, many new players be diving into daily fantasy basketball for the first time.  If you are new to NBA DFS, or just need a quick refresher, there are certainly stats you will need to know, and others you can tend to avoid for the upcoming season.

Before diving into the statistics themselves, the first thing you should check on in each site you choose to play is the type of scoring system they use as well as the positions that are utilized.  On a site like FanDuel there will be no utility spot, while there is one on DraftKings.  Meanwhile, DraftKings will give you a bonus if a player is able to collect a double-double that you won't see on FanDuel.  Although these scoring and roster differences do not make a huge difference, they can be a deciding factor in how you spend your cap dollars.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

Usage Rate

The first stat that NBA DFS players should be looking at is usage rate. The formula for usage rate is a fairly complicated (Usage Rate = {[FGA + (FT Att. x 0.44) + (Ast x 0.33) + TO] x 40 x League Pace} divided by (Minutes x Team Pace).  As a daily player you simply need to know that the higher the rate the better chance the player has for a great fantasy game.   The basic premise of usage rate is how much an individual player is involved in his team’s offense, particularly how many times they shoot or make a pass that leads to a shot attempt.

One of the most important distinctions about usage rate is that it does not worry about time on the floor, but rather how much a certain player is being used while on the floor.  Last season Russell Westbrook led the NBA with a usage rate of 38.2 which coincides with the fact the while healthy last year Westbrook was the best DFS player in the game.  Usage rate can help uncover potential DFS studs such as Isaiah Thomas who was actually sixth in the NBA with a usage rate of 31.3 despite only playing 25.8 minutes a game.  This is important, as many new players simply look at minutes per game and can be persuaded by a player who gets over 30 minutes a game despite being used very rarely.

Any usage rate over 30 is elite.  Brook Lopez was 50th in the league at 23.7 per game last year, which gives a good benchmark for what to consider a solid rate.  It is not the only statistic that should be utilized, but it is a great start.  It comes down to this: the more an NBA player has the ball, the more reliably productive they are likely to be in DFS.

 

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Along with usage rate, another statistic rising in popularity is fantasy points per minute.  Much like usage rate, this will give you a much better idea of what a player is doing with his given minutes per night.  While a new fantasy player may see Eric Gordon at 33 minutes per game over a season and assume he is the same player as Tyreke Evans who averaged just one minute more per game.  However, last season Gordon averaged a meager 0.71 FanDuel points per minute, while Evans averaged a much more respectable 0.98.  Also, this average can help project how many points a player could have if given a minutes boost due to injury or game pace.  Consider this one of the staples in your daily research.

 

Over/Under

This stat actually has nothing to do with an individual player, but is all about the two teams meeting up.  The over/under has become a standard unit in nearly every DFS sport, as it shows what odds makers are expecting in terms of scoring.  Even though it does not give a specific tally as to what to expect from a single player (although some individual prop bets can help), a game that has an over/under of 210 is likely to provide more fantasy value than a game with a total of 180 attached to it.  This can be where stacking (the use of multiple players from a single team or matchup) occurs, as a team could provide several players good fantasy value while other games may have no players worth rostering.  Along with over/under it can also be useful to look at the spread. This can help because a team favored by 15 may be more likely to cruise and rest players, while a game with a spread of -1 is more likely to see a team play its top players nearly the entire game.

 

Opponent Defense vs. Position

This last statistic is relatively new, but extremely useful for daily NBA players.  Opponent defense vs. position is a statistic that comes into play when looking at a site such as FanDuel where you will need to roster each position and do not have the flexibility of a DraftKings lineup.  If a team is in the bottom third of league against a given position, that is likely to mean a boost in production for that position player on the opposing side.

Most importantly, DvP gives an overall barometer of what you can expect on a given night because it shows a overview of both ends of the floor.  For example, if a team is middle-of-the-pack against opposing centers defensively but gives up the most blocks and rebounds to opposing big men, one can see a boost for a particular night.  Be sure when looking at DvP to not only use season long statistics but also focus in on how the team has been doing over the past month or even two weeks.

 

NBA & Fantasy Basketball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Adrian Kempe

Labeled Day-to-Day
Malik Monk

Might Miss Another Game Tuesday Night
Naz Reid

Questionable for First Game of Back-to-Back
Myles Turner

Questionable to Suit Up Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Iffy for Meeting with Knicks
Ivica Zubac

May Sit Out Tuesday's Action
Andrew Nembhard

Questionable Tuesday Due to Calf Issue
Andrew Wiggins

Remains Out Tuesday
Akshay Bhatia

Riding Strong Form Into the Valspar Championship
Darnell Mooney

Poised for Large Role in Giants Offense?
Nathan Carter

the New Handcuff at RB in Atlanta?
Jalen Tolbert

the New WR2 in Miami?
Pascal Siakam

Likely to Remain Out Tuesday
Patrick Cantlay

Playing Well Heading to Valspar Championship
Keegan Bradley

Needs Improvement From Approach Play at Valspar Championship
Kevin Porter Jr.

Available Against Cavaliers
Jalen Brunson

Questionable for Tuesday's Game
Dylan Sampson

Set to be Pass-Catching Backup RB in Cleveland
Joel Embiid

to Remain Out Tuesday
Jaylin Noel

Dynasty Value on the Rise, Could be WR3 in 2026
Jarrett Allen

to Sit Out At Least Three More Games
Keenan Allen

Fantasy Stock Continues to Fall as he Nears the End of his Career
Trae Young

Exits Early Monday Due to Quadriceps Contusion
Drake London

to be a Volatile WR2 With QB Uncertainty?
John Collins

Starting Against Spurs
Craig Porter Jr.

Out 1-3 Weeks With Groin Strain
Russell Westbrook

Off Injury Report for Tuesday
Clint Capela

Alperen Sengun Sidelined, Clint Capela Starting Against Lakers
Bam Adebayo

Iffy for Tuesday Night
Walter Clayton Jr.

Javon Small Out Monday, Walter Clayton Jr. Returns to Starting Lineup
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Rayan Rupert

GG Jackson II Out, Rayan Rupert to Start Against Bulls
George Holani

Signs Tender Offer on Monday
Johan Rojas

Suspended 80 Games for PED Violation
José Ramírez

No Plans for Jose Ramirez to Undergo Imaging on Injured Shoulder
Darius Slay

Retires From the NFL
Seiya Suzuki

Undergoing MRI Exam on Monday
Joe Musgrove

Expected to Open the Year on the Injured List
Christian Kirk

49ers Sign Christian Kirk to One-Year Deal
Matt McCarty

Could Thrive at the Valspar Championship
Michael Kim

Seeks to Dust Off Tough Week at TPC Sawgrass
Max Homa

Enjoying a Solid 2026 Heading into Valspar Championship
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Slugging Through Rough 2026 Season
Zach Neto

Expected to Return to Game Action on Tuesday
Kyren Williams

Will Kyren Williams Remain the Undisputed RB1 in Los Angeles Going Forward?
Mason Taylor

Does Mason Taylor Have Breakout Potential in 2026?
Puka Nacua

Appears Poised to Dominate for Years to Come
Andrew Novak

Wants to Rebound After The Players Championship
Austin Smotherman

on Baby Watch as Valspar Championship Approaches
Ben Sinnott

Does Not Appear to Be in Washington's Long-Term Plans
Luke Clanton

Might Have Issues at the Valspar Championship
Sam Darnold

Profiles as a Safe QB2 in Dynasty Formats Heading into 2026
Jerry Jeudy

Can Jerry Jeudy Bounce Back from Underwhelming 2025 Campaign?
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Must be Accurate at the Valspar Championship
Josh Emmett

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Kevin Vallejos

Scores First-Round TKO
Amanda Lemos

Drops Back-To-Back Fights
Gillian Robertson

Extends Her Win Streak
Zach Neto

to Take Batting Practice on Monday
Andre Fili

Drops Decision on Saturday
Cam Skattebo

Thinks he'll be 100 Percent Healthy in a Little Over a Month
Denny Hamlin

Dominates and Gets His Third Career Las Vegas Win
Chase Elliott

Earns Runner-Up Finish at Las Vegas
William Byron

Wins A Stage and Finishes Third at Las Vegas
Jeremy McNichols

Re-Signs With Commanders
Christopher Bell

Finishes Fourth at Las Vegas After Strong Run
Kyle Larson

Fades to Seventh Despite Leading Laps Early at Las Vegas
Justin Fields

Chiefs Acquiring Justin Fields From Jets
Andre Fili

Jose Delgado Edges Andre Fili in Split-Decision Win
Oumar Sy

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Ion Cutelaba

Returns To The Win Column
CFB

CJ Carr Enters Sophomore Season as Heisman Favorite
CFB

Aaron Philo Not a Lock to be Florida's Starting QB?
CFB

George MacIntyre the Favorite to Win Tennessee Quarterback Battle?
CFB

Keelon Russell, Austin Mack Battling for Alabama QB1 Duties
Connor McDavid

Records Three Assists Sunday
Bo Groulx

Makes Big Impact Sunday
Drake Batherson

Pots Two Goals in Sunday's Win
Bobby McMann

Continues Dream Start in Seattle
Kirby Dach

Injured on High Hit
Alexander Wennberg

Without Timeline for Return
Leon Draisaitl

Exits Early with Injury Sunday
Harold Fannin Jr.

Officially Steps Into the Top Role
Troy Franklin

Ready to Take on an Even Larger Role?
Troy Terry

Adds Three Points in Return to Lineup
Leo Carlsson

Picks Up Trio of Points on Sunday
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez is Day-to-Day with Shoulder Inflammation
Brendan Gallagher

Rejoins Canadiens Lineup Sunday
Daniil Tarasov

Starting Against Kraken
Ty Emberson

Remains Out Sunday
Bobby Brink

Questionable Sunday
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Unavailable Against Wild
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

a Game-Time Call Sunday
Corbin Carroll

to Resume Playing Defense This Week
John Carlson

Set for Ducks Debut
Francisco Lindor

Non-Committal About Status for Opening Day
Nathan Eovaldi

Named Rangers' Opening Day Starter
Hayden Birdsong

Diagnosed with Grade 2 Forearm Strain and UCL Sprain
Marcelo Mayer

Scratched With Left-Knee Soreness
Zach Neto

Tests Come Back Negative, Dealing With Sprained Hand
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption, Wins Pole at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

Should Contend for Another Vegas Win
Chase Briscoe

Qualifies 18th Despite Toyota Dominating at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

May Fly Under the Radar at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Ross Chastian Has Been As Solid As They Come at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Finally Break Through With a Win at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski

a Solid DFS Pick at Las Vegas
Francisco Lindor

is Making Spring Debut on Sunday
Carter Verhaeghe

Anton Lundell Expected to Return Sunday
Kyle Larson

Should Kyle Larson be Considered A Favorite for Las Vegas?
Sam Bennett

Considered Day-to-Day
William Byron

Could Compete for a Top-Five Finish at Las Vegas
Sam Reinhart

Not Traveling on Four-Game Road Trip
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering in Tournament DFS Lineups for Las Vegas?
Michael Rasmussen

Ruled Out for One Week
Tyler Reddick

Could Continue his Top-10 Streak at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Should DFS Managers Underestimate Joey Logano for Las Vegas?
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Las Vegas DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Risky DFS Option Who Could Pay Off at Las Vegas
Josh Berry

Has Plenty of Upside for Las Vegas DFS Lineups
Ryan Preece

Scores his First Las Vegas Top-10 Starting Spot in Qualifying
Seiya Suzuki

Leaves WBC Game on Saturday With Right-Knee Discomfort
Zach Neto

is Removed After Suffering Hand Injury
Joe Ryan

Won't Pitch in the World Baseball Classic
Zack Wheeler

Throws First Live BP Session on Saturday
Merrill Kelly

Expected to Open Season on the Injured List
Kevin Gausman

Named Toronto's Opening Day Starter
Kyle Stowers

Back in Grapefruit League Lineup
Kevin Vallejos

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Josh Emmett

In Dire Need Of Victory
Gillian Robertson

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 114
Amanda Lemos

Set For Co-Main Event
Oumar Sy

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Ion Cutelaba

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Hideki Matsuyama

Brings Strong Course History to TPC Sawgrass
Adam Scott

in Strong Form Ahead of The Players
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF