Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 17

January 2, 2021

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for NFL Week 17. Drew finished the 2020 season with over 20 units in winnings and is 95-52 in 2020 for over 57 units.

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Welcome back and Happy New Year to all the RotoBallers.  Unfortunately, I was hit with a case of the 'Rona on the final day of 2020 so it still feels very much like 2020 to me.  With that being said, there is still NFL week 17 tomorrow and playoff football nears.  As I said in the DFS preview video, even if I'm feeling awful, the grind doesn't stop as long as I plan to submit a DFS lineup or bet.  If I can do that, I can get the article and content out to all of you.

As I anticipated, the card is smaller than usual this week with it being week 17.  I will definitely re-evaluate one more time in the morning and add any additional plays.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 17 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 17 betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+57.75u) 95-52 Total [3-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record: 62-42
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 30-10
• 4-5U Risk Record: 3-0

As I anticipated, the card is smaller than usual this week with it being week 17.  I will definitely re-evaluate one more time in the morning and add any additional plays.  

Last Updated: Saturday 9:15 ET

• Cowboys ML vs Giants - Risk 2.4u to win 2u
• Jets +3 vs Patriots  - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
• Vikings/Lions Under 54 - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
• Bucs/Titans 6pt Teaser (Bucs -1, Titans -1 - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
• Bucs/Seahawks 6pt Teaser (Bucs -1, Seahawks -1) - Risk 1.1u to win 1u
• Seahawks/Titans 6pt Teaser (Seahawks -1, Titans -1) - Risk 1.1u to win 1u

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