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The 2021 NBA season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 11th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Nicolas Batum OVER 10 Points - We go back to the Clippers tonight as they take on the Miami Heat, who are on a back-to-back. Batum has had at least 11 points in each of his last five games, and while the Heat are just about average at allowing points against the forward positions, my early projections have Batum scoring 12.7 points tonight. This gives him solid value and a nice anchor play here.
Donovan Mitchell OVER 4.5 Assists - This number feels too low for Mitchell, and the early Vegas odds reflect this. DraftKings Sportsbook has this line at -148, and for good reason as Mitchell has hit this number in four out of his last five games and seven out of his last eight games. My early projections have Mitchell at 5.7 assists, so this is another good number and I'll be taking this one on the sportsbook as well.
Rudy Gobert OVER 13.5 Rebounds - My final play tonight is one of my favorites, and likely another that I'll be hitting on the sportsbook. My early projections have Gobert at 17.4 rebounds, giving us nearly +4 rebounds in value. It's not often you catch inefficiencies like this, and you have to take them when you see them. On top of projection value, Gobert has hit this number in four of his last five games as well as eight of his last ten games.
Other Recommendations - Paul George OVER 7.5 rebounds, Bojan Bogdanovic OVER 1.5 Threes Made, OG Anunoby OVER 18.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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