X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2018 Early Bullpen Outlooks - American League Central

Bullpen outlooks and depth charts for the AL Central. David Marcillo analyzes each team's main relievers to give a sense of ADP value for 2018 fantasy baseball drafts.

The American League Central comes second in our series of 2018 Early Bullpen Outlooks. Check out the first of the series, on the American League East, right here.

The AL Central doesn't have bullpens with anywhere near the firepower of the AL East, but there are still some solid arms that can contribute to fantasy teams in 2018. The Cleveland bullpen is always interesting to follow since Andrew Miller, the best reliever in the division, isn't even his team's closer. The Twins will be fun to watch this year (more so for the rest of the division than for Twins fans, maybe) with Fernando Rodney working their ninth inning.

Let's take a look at the American League Central and see what teams are employing relief pitchers that could have fantasy relevance this season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Juan Minaya?

Volatility Rating: Extremely Volatile

Other Relevant RPs: Joakim Soria, Nate Jones

The Chicago White Sox ended last season with 27-year-old rookie Juan Minaya working as their closer. He was okay, posting a 4.53 ERA with 10.51 K/9 while saving nine games. He had some pretty concerning numbers as well. He walked 4.12 per nine innings pitched and allowed a 1.44 HR/9 rate. Both numbers don't bode well for his continued success.

Add to that the fact that the White Sox acquired veteran reliever Joakim Soria and are getting high-upside reliever Nate Jones back for Spring Training, and it seems unlikely that Minaya will retain his closer job going into Opening Day. Soria would be the steady, somewhat boring choice. If he wins the job, he would be worth a look in the last round of drafts if only because the White Sox won't win many games this season, but the ones they do will be close. Soria would be a decent source of saves, and should rack up a decent amount of strikeouts as well (10.29 K/9 last season.)

Much more exciting, though, is the prospect of Nate Jones locking down the closer's role. Jones missed almost all of 2017, pitching just 11.2 innings before missing the rest of the year after undergoing a nerve re-positioning procedure in his elbow. He's expected to be fully ready for the start of Spring Training and should have a chance to compete for the ninth inning. Jones has a lot of upside, he posted a sparkling 2.29 ERA and 10.19 K/9 in 2016, his most recent full season. He's only saved three games in his career, so it might be an uphill battle for him against the more experienced Soria, but Jones has the better "stuff" and is the better pitcher. If he wins the job, he'd be worth owning in most formats.

Fantasy Must Own: Too hard to make this call now, but if Jones wins the ninth inning job, he has excellent fantasy upside. Soria or Minaya would be much less exciting, but probably still worth owning in deeper mixed leagues.

 

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Cody Allen

Volatility Rating: Solid

Other Relevant RPs: Andrew Miller, Dan Otero

The Cleveland Indians feature one of the strongest one-two punches in baseball at the end of their bullpen. Cody Allen is a legitimately good closer, but he's overshadowed in his own bullpen by Andrew Miller. Miller is widely considered one of the best relievers in baseball. He posted a pristine 1.44 ERA last season, with 13.64 K/9. He worked as the team's closer for a bit when Allen had to basically go on a break, but Allen is the Tribe's closer, and Miller is the bullpen Swiss army knife. Allen saved 30 games last season, posted a 2.94 ERA, and struck out 12.30 per nine innings pitched.

Allen is a must-own in all formats, and Miller is very much worth owning in most formats as well. He's one of the best assets in holds leagues and posts such great ratios, he's even worth owning in standard leagues with deeper rosters.

Fantasy Must Own: Cody Allen (all formats), Andrew Miller (AL-only, all holds leagues, deeper mixed leagues)

 

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Shane Greene

Volatility Rating: Solid

Other Relevant RPs: Alex Wilson, Joe Jimenez

The Detroit Tigers won't enter the 2018 season with a particularly strong bullpen, but they will enter the season with a bullpen that has set roles. Former starter Shane Greene found a home in the bullpen over the past two seasons and worked his way into the ninth inning. Last year, he saved nine games and posted a 2.66 ERA to go with a solid 9.71 K/9. His walk rate was a bit high, a concerning 4.52 BB/9, and some other stats were a cause for concern as well, including a 3.84 FIP/4.24 xFIP. Still, barring a disastrous Spring Training, Greene will enter the year as the team's closer, and that gives him value in most formats.

Alex Wilson could be next in line to take the ball in the ninth in case Greene struggles. Some reports state that Wilson will have the chance to compete for a rotation spot in Spring Training, which would obviously knock him out of the running for the closer's role. But still, Wilson has some late-game experience from last season, and that might give him a slight edge over Joe Jimenez.

Speaking of Joe Jimenez, he's the "closer of the future" in Detroit, and in a season the Tigers are expected to struggle through, they might want to take a look at what the future holds. Jimenez struggled in his first taste of the big leagues in a small sample size last year, pitching 19 innings and putting up a painful 12.32 ERA. The 23-year-old was excellent in Triple-A though, posting a 1.44 ERA and 12.96 K/9. Jimenez has plenty of upside and is worth grabbing in any dynasty or keeper formats. There's a decent chance he gets some ninth inning action this season too, so he could be worth the last bench spot in a deeper redraft league as well.

Fantasy Must Own: Shane Greene (AL-only and deeper mixed leagues), Joe Jimenez (deep leagues and dynasty/keeper formats)

 

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Kelvin Herrera

Volatility Rating: Volatile

Other Relevant RPs: Brandon Maurer

The Kansas City Royals are heading into a rebuilding season. Despite that, they have two closers in their bullpen with ninth inning experience. Kelvin Herrera is the incumbent and the presumed favorite to enter 2018 with the job. He struggled quite a bit in 2017, but has a track record of success prior to that. Herrera's 2017 featured a 4.25 ERA, 26 saves in 31 opportunities, and a 8.49 K/9 to go with a 3.03 BB/9. Compare that to his excellent 2016, when he put up a 2.75 ERA and 10.75 K/9 with a 1.50 BB/9, and it's easy to see not only why 2017 was disappointing, but also why 2018 could be a make-or-break year for Herrera. Several teams have reportedly shown interest in acquiring the righty, but for now he is projected to start the season as the Royals closer. He can likely be had late in drafts and might be worth a shot in case he can return to his previous form. If he is traded, however, he almost certainly would be working in a setup role and not in the ninth inning, killing any standard league fantasy value.

Brandon Maurer had an even worse 2017 than Herrera on paper, but he was kind of a statistical marvel last season. He saved 22 games in 26 chances, posting a 6.52 ERA and 8.95 K/9 along with a 2.95 BB/9. Numbers beyond ERA show that Maurer was way better than one might think: his 3.93 FIP shows signs of a solid pitcher. He's not a ground ball guy at all though, and doesn't get the huge strikeout numbers that you'd want to ideally see in a closer. Maurer could win the job from Herrera and likely do a decent job, but he would be somewhere in the bottom tiers of closers. Still, if he does indeed take over the ninth inning, either because he outperforms Herrera or because Herrera gets traded, Maurer would be worth adding in deep leagues and in AL-only, and because of that awful ERA last season, he'll go undrafted in a lot of leagues.

Fantasy Must Own: Kelvin Herrera (deep mixed leagues and AL-only, assuming he gets the job), Brandon Maurer (same as Herrera, assuming he gets the job instead)

 

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Fernando Rodney

Volatility Rating: Solid

Other Relevant RPs: Addison Reed, Taylor Rogers

Fernando Rodney's Wild Ride is being relocated to Minnesota this year. The 41-year-old closer signed a one year deal with the Twins this offseason, with an option for 2019. Rodney was atrocious in April last season, which made his overall season numbers look average at best: 39 saves in 45 chances, a 4.23 ERA, 10.57 K/9, and 4.23 BB/9. After April though? 2.38 ERA and 52 strikeouts to go with just 19 walks. Rodney proved that he still has "it" and can pitch at a high level. Despite the team signing Addison Reed as well, manager Paul Molitor has already confirmed that Rodney will start the season as the team's closer. He likely won't have an endless rope, but Molitor seems like the type to give him a few chances to fix things before removing him from the role. Rodney is worth owning in all formats, and perhaps his awful April last season will allow him to slip well into the last rounds of drafts.

Despite Rodney's post-April success, Addison Reed is still the best pitcher in the Minnesota bullpen. Reed split 2017 between the Mets and Red Sox, totaling a 2.84 ERA to go with 19 saves and exactly one strikeout per inning pitched (9.00 K/9). He only walked 1.78 per nine, showing his elite control. Reed will work as the primary setup man in Minnesota and is a must-own in all holds leagues. If Rodney falters, Reed would be the next man up, and would return excellent value as a closer. He should be considered for a final roster spot even in non-holds leagues if only because his path to saves might be a bit clearer than other similarly-talented setup men.

Fantasy Must Own: Fernando Rodney (all formats), Addison Reed (all holds leagues and some deeper leagues)

 

More 2018 Player Outlooks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cameron Champ

the Ultimate Wild Card at Procore
Cameron Young

Looks to Extend Momentum in Napa
Davis Thompson

Searching for a Spark at Procore
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Reignite Form at Procore
Mackenzie Hughes

Aims for Another Strong Showing at Procore
Luke Clanton

Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Napa
Seamus Power

Looking to Overcome Poor Course History at Procore
Joe Highsmith

Hoping to Find Form in Napa
Jadeveon Clowney

Visiting With the Cowboys on Wednesday
Masyn Winn

Will Require Offseason Knee Surgery
Kristaps Porzingis

Reportedly Still Not Completely Healthy
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Reportedly on the Trade Block
Andre Drummond

Future in Philadelphia in Doubt
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Helps Greece Reach Semis at EuroBasket
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Posts Historic Triple-Double
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For 15 at Wyndham Championship
Bud Cauley

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied for Seventh at Tour Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 25th at Tour Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 19th at Tour Championship
Keith Mitchell

Misses Cut at Wyndham Championship
Ben Griffin

Finishes Tied for 10th at Tour Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for Second at Tour Championship
Gary Woodland

Could Hang Around at Procore Championship
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 12, Earns 12th Win on Tuesday
Karl Vilips

Ready for Napa Valley This Weekend
Taylor Montgomery

Heating Up at the Right Time
Jackson Koivun

May Be a Little Rusty at Procore Championship
Doug Ghim

Looking to Rise Up at Napa Valley
Christian Watson

Agrees to One-Year Contract Extension
Josh Giddey

Re-Signs With Bulls for Four Years
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Joins Informal Skate
William Eklund

Skates With Sharks
Owen Power

Back at 100 Percent
Tyler Seguin

Cleared for Action
Mathew Barzal

Good to Go for Season Opener
Will Smith

Returns to Dodgers Lineup on Tuesday
Dustin Wolf

Signs Seven-Year Extension
Kyle Stowers

Dealing With Strained Side
Kyle Tucker

Placed on Injured List With Calf Strain
Jauan Jennings

Considered Day-to-Day, has a Chance to Play in Week 2
Jalen Carter

Receives One-Game Suspension, Will be Eligible for Week 2
Bo Bichette

Goes on Injured List With Knee Sprain
George Kittle

Placed on Injured Reserve
Tyreek Hill

Accused of Domestic Violence
Jauan Jennings

Avoids Serious Shoulder Injury
Garrett Crochet

Shuts Out the Athletics
Royce Lewis

Launches Two Homers Monday Night
NBA

Mason Jones Takes His Talents to Australia
NBA

Talen Horton-Tucker Joins Reigning EuroLeague Champions
New York Knicks

Malcolm Brogdon on Knicks' Radar
Andrew Wiggins

Attracting Interest From Lakers
Miami Heat

Heat Interested in Reunion With Precious Achiuwa
Tyler Glasnow

Fans 11 in Seven No-Hit Innings Monday
Slade Cecconi

Takes No-Hitter Into Eighth Inning Monday
Max Muncy

Batting Cleanup in Return to Dodgers
New York Knicks

Ben Simmons Reportedly Declined Knicks' Contract Offer
Younghoe Koo

Falcons Auditioning Kickers, Could Replace Younghoe Koo
Denver Broncos

Sean Payton Says Broncos Need to be Better With Run-Pass Balance
Tank Bigsby

Eagles Acquiring Tank Bigsby From Jaguars on Monday
George Kittle

Likely Out 3-5 Weeks, Could Land on Injured Reserve
Chase Burns

to be Activated on Friday
Brock Purdy

Dealing With Multiple Injuries, Could Miss Week 2
Tyler Glasnow

Cleared to Start on Monday
Logan O'Hoppe

Placed on Concussion Injured List
Christian Yelich

Returning on Monday
Elias Pettersson

Feeling "Good" Ahead of Season
NHL

Alex Formenton Rejoins Swiss Team
NHL

Grigori Denisenko Heads Back Home
CAR

Kevin Labanc Joins Hurricanes for Tryout
Ross Colton

Healthy for Start of Season
Daniel Palencia

Cubs Place Daniel Palencia on Injured List With Shoulder Strain
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Returning on Monday
Sean Murphy

Done for the Year With Hip Labral Tear
Alec Bohm

Lands on Injured List With Cyst in his Shoulder
Trea Turner

Going on Injured List, Phillies Hope to Have him Back for Playoffs
Brock Bowers

Considered Day-to-Day With Knee Injury
Jonathan Taylor

is "Good" After Taking a Hit to his Neck in Week 1
Caio Borralho

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Kyle Stowers

Suffers Setback on Rehab Assignment?
Nassourdine Imavov

Extends Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy

Gets Submitted
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Taps Out Mauricio Ruffy
Russell Wilson

Remains the Giants Starter
Paul Craig

Retires After UFC Paris Loss
Denny Hamlin

Earns his First Cup Victory at Gateway
Kyle Larson

Damage Ruins Kyle Larson's Chance At a Top Finish at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Scores his Third Top-10 Finish at Gateway
Joey Logano

Maintains his Perfect Top-Five Streak at Gateway
Ryan Blaney

Struggles and Recovers for a Top-Five Finish at Gateway
Modestas Bukauskas

Scores First-Round Knockout
Bolaji Oki

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Xavier Worthy

Week-to-Week with Dislocated Shoulder
Mason Jones

Scores Comeback Win
Rhys McKee

Suffers Third-Round TKO Loss
Axel Sola

Successful In His UFC Debut
Robert Ruchała

Robert Ruchala Unsuccessful In His UFC Debut
William Gomis

Bounces Back In The Win Column
Derrick Henry

Scores Twice but has Costly Fumble on Sunday
Lamar Jackson

Shines With Three Total Touchdowns in Loss to Bills
Keon Coleman

Leads the Team With 11 Targets on Sunday
Josh Allen

Totals Four Touchdowns in Win Over Ravens
Chase Elliott

Gets Lucky but Still Has Best Run at Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wins Stage 2, but Was Let Down by Strategy
Tyler Reddick

Despite Bad Luck, Tyler Reddick Does What he Needed to Do
Chase Briscoe

Recovers from Incident with Daniel Suarez to Finish Second
William Byron

Late Caution Foils William Byron's Shot at Gateway Victory
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates Targets in Seattle, Records 124 Receiving Yards in Week 1
Jayson Tatum

"Moving Around Way Better"
Ryan Blaney

Should Contend at Gateway
Denny Hamlin

Fastest in Qualifying, the Favorite to Win at Gateway
Christopher Bell

Looking for Redemption at Gateway
Joey Logano

Has Been Elite at Gateway
Austin Cindric

Should Be On Your Radar at Gateway
AJ Allmendinger

Could Be a Sleeper Again at Gateway
Tyler Reddick

Southern 500 Near-Miss Makes Tyler Reddick a Stronger Option for Gateway
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace a Likely Gateway Contender
Alex Bowman

a Long Shot to Advance in Playoffs
Austin Dillon

Richard Childress Racing Looks Slower at Gateway, Which Will Hurt Austin Dillon
Shane Van Gisbergen

Starts 18th in Gateway Debut
Jeremy Swayman

Ready to Get Back on Track
Connor McDavid

Aiming for More Goals
NJ

Luke Glendening Signs Tryout Deal With Devils
Dylan Harper

Hoping to be Ready for the Opener Versus Dallas
EDM

Derek Ryan Retires From Hockey
Connor Zary

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Flames
Carey Price

Canadiens Trade Carey Price to Sharks
Caio Borralho

Set For A Title Eliminator Bout
Nassourdine Imavov

Looks To Earn A Title Shot
Mauricio Ruffy

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set For UFC Paris Co-Main Event
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Paul Craig

In Dire Need Of Victory
Mason Jones

Set for Main-Card Bout
Bolaji Oki

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Rhys McKee

Set To Open Up UFC Paris Main Card

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP