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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Picks - Today's Free MLB Best Bets, Odds, Predictions (8/11)

Corbin Carroll - MLB Prospects Rankings, Fantasy Baseball Rookies Sleepers

Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Diamondbacks vs. Padres on August 11, 2023. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.

Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, August 11th 2023.

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In addition to all of our other betting content and advice, we have now added daily betting analysis articles and betting recommendations for each MLB game. Every single game on the MLB schedule will have its own betting analysis, betting breakdown and betting picks, every single day! We hope you enjoy, and good luck RotoBallers.

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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Diamondbacks

The Padres take on the Diamondbacks on Friday, August 11th 2023 at Chase Field, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.

  • Matchup: San Diego Padres (55-60) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (57-58)
  • Date: Friday, August 11th 2023
  • Time: 9:40 ET
  • Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix

 

Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Diamondbacks

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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

The San Diego Padres take on the Arizona hoping to improve on their record of just 55-60, placing them 4th in the NL West. Heading into play, the Padres have won half of their 57 road games, sitting at 25-32.

San Diego's record against the runline stands at 55-60, even though they have been favored in 88 of their 115 games. The team has an over/under record of 46-61, with an average betting line of 9.

The Padres will send Blake Snell to the mound with an overall record of 8-8. So far, Blake Snell has put together an outstanding ERA of 2.61. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .190. So far, Snell has given up 12 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .278. With a total of 72 walks, Snell has a WHIP of 1.30.

Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.6 runs per game. Through 115 games, the Padres have the 14th-ranked batting average at .239. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 10th in home runs, with a total of 148 deep shots. Throughout the season, San Diego's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 8th best OBP of .326.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

Heading into today's game against San Diego, the Diamondbacks have a record of just 57-58. This places the team 3rd in the NL West. Arizona has yet to take advantage of playing at home, going just 28-30.

Despite being favored 51 times in 115 games, Arizona has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 48-61.

Ryne Nelson gets the start for the Diamondbacks with a below .500 record at 6-6. Compared to other starting pitchers, Ryne Nelson has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 5.16. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .288. Ryne Nelson has given up 20 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .350. Nelson's WHIP of 1.43 comes along with a total of 36 walks allowed.

Arizona enters play averaging 4.7 runs per game, placing them 11th in the MLB. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting a healthy .253, placing them 10th in the league. So far, the team is the 19th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 126 long balls. Arizona's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 10th with an OBP of .322.

 

Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Arizona, the Padres are the betting favorite at -162 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. The MLB predictive model shows the Padres pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take San Diego on the runline.

Recommended Betting Pick: Padres -1.5


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