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Hello RotoBallers and welcome back to Break The Slate, our DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Week 11! I appreciate you joining me in our season-long quest to find the best plays at each position for every DraftKings Main Slate.
Another interesting Main Slate with very tough pricing that's become typical fare over the last few weeks. Similar to last week, this slate features just a small number of games that are enticing from a DFS perspective. As we grind into Week 11, this will serve as another stern test for DFS regulars.
These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected DK points and ownership, overall upside/talent levels, and opportunity, as well as factors such as Vegas odds, home-field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available on DK for Week 11. Also, be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups – let's Break The Slate together!
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DraftKings Quarterbacks - Week 11 DFS Picks
Justin Fields - CHI @ ATL ($7,600)
We can’t not talk about Justin Fields, I suppose. If you’re a regular reader of this article, congratulations because Fields has been included here each of the last two weeks. The second-year Bears QB has paid off handsomely for us too, dropping slate-breaking DK totals of 45.7 & 43.4 over Chicago’s last two.
While I was auto-locking Fields in lineups the last two weeks, there is at least a little more to consider in Week 11 due to DraftKings raising his price tag yet again. He now comes in at a not-insignificant $7.6k for this week’s matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.
Despite the salary increase, he remains in serious consideration due to his fantasy floor, as well as a tempting matchup against an Atlanta defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in Total Defense DVOA and stands dead last in the league in passing yards allowed (2,898).
Joe Burrow - CIN @ PIT ($6,800)
Joey B hasn’t exactly thrived with Ja’Marr Chase out of the lineup, as he’s put forth just middling fantasy totals in a tough spot against Cleveland (15.5 DK points) and a game Joe Mixon dominated against Carolina (19.9 DK points) since Chase was sidelined with a hip injury.
Despite those underwhelming numbers, this feels like a nice spot to grab Burrow, as the Bengals head into a Week 11 matchup against Pittsburgh fresh off their bye. The Boy King tallied 26.2 DK points against the Steelers in Week 1, throwing for 338 yards and a pair of TDs.
Pittsburgh has continued to struggle against the pass throughout the season and has allowed the NFL’s seventh-most passing yards (2,480) and third-most passing TDs (17) this year. And though it's been a while since we've seen it, Burrow still possesses legitimate tournament-winning upside.
DraftKings Running Backs - Week 11 DFS Picks
Jonathan Taylor - PHI @ IND ($7,800)
The Colts’ star finally looked healthy last week en route to a monster 147-yard rushing performance against the Raiders. With Nyheim Hines shipped to Buffalo and Deon Jackson injured, Taylor should continue to get all the work he can handle for this fledgling Indy squad.
Though his DK price is up a bit from $7.5k last week, we’re getting a lot of bang for our buck here at less than $8k. As Taylor reminded us in Week 10, he still possesses plenty of talent and DFS upside.
Many will shy away from this tough-on-the-surface matchup with an 8-1 Philly squad, though despite ranking fifth in the NFL in Total Defense DVOA, the Eagles have been leaky on the ground. They are the definition of a funnel defense, as they effectively shut down the pass, but have now allowed 125 or more rushing yards in four straight and stand just 28th in Run Defense DVOA. Things are so bad for this Philly run defense that they've resorted to signing veteran d-linemen Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh off the street this week.
David Montgomery - CHI @ ATL ($6,100)
If you can't afford – or simply can't stomach – Justin Fields at $7.6k, David Montgomery represents an interesting pivot from Fields in tournament environments.
Montgomery has spent the last several weeks as Chicago's 1A backfield option, while Khalil Herbert has played the 1B role. After injuring his hip in last week's loss to Detroit, Herbert has been placed IR and will miss this Week 11 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. As a result, Montgomery will be the Bears' every-down workhorse in what should be a terrific environment against an Atlanta squad that's 25th in the league in Rush Defense DVOA.
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DraftKings Wide Receivers - Week 11 DFS Picks
CeeDee Lamb - DAL @ MIN ($7,500)
Dallas' alpha receiver comes into Week 11 off his best game of the season – an 11/150/2 gem – in a loss to Green Bay last week.
Lamb has been a volume monster throughout 2022 and his 33% team target share is the highest in the NFL among receivers that have played five or more games. As demonstrated last week, his ceiling is exponentially higher with Dak Prescott back in the lineup. Since Prescott returned from an injury absence, the Cowboys have now averaged 34.7 points per game over their last three.
This matchup sports a healthy 47.5 O/U and it isn't tough to imagine Lamb finding success against this soft Vikes secondary. Minnesota has allowed the second-most receiving yards in the NFL this year (1,764) and the third-most DK points to the WR position (374.80).
Terry McLaurin - WAS @ HOU ($5,900)
Terry McLaurin has been unlocked since Taylor Heinicke entered the lineup for Washington in Week 6. While the Commanders’ WR1 was averaging just 61.1 receiving yards per game with Carson Wentz at the helm of this offense, McLaurin has averaged 92.5 receiving yards per game in Heinicke’s four starts. With Heinicke already the confirmed starter for a Week 11 tilt against the Houston Texans, I’m happy to grab F1 at this sub-$6k price point.
Houston is, of course, a pitiful squad, and one we want to target every chance we get. The Texans are a bit of a statistical outlier, as they have allowed an NFL-low 86 receptions this season. But, that’s a skewed stat because they are so easy to run against. In reality, Houston ranks dead last in the league in yards allowed per target to opposing wideouts - a massive 9.62 - and McLaurin should feast in this matchup.
DraftKings Tight Ends - Week 11 DFS Picks
T.J. Hockenson - DAL @ MIN ($5,300)
Volume is our friend in DFS and Hockenson has been the poster boy for quantity over the last two weeks. In his two games since joining the Vikings, Hockenson has seen target counts of 10 and nine. He's produced a combined 16 catches and 115 receiving yards from those opportunities.
It's not exactly a matchup we want to go out of our way to target, as Dallas has successfully contained opposing TEs this season, but we can feel really optimistic about both this game environment and Hockenson's projected volume in it.
Dalton Schultz - DAL @ MIN ($4,300)
After a dreadful, injury-plagued start to the season, things are coming together for Dallas' Dalton Schultz, a TE that had a true breakout season in 2021.
Schultz and Prescott have both gotten healthy at the same time, and their results of the last two weeks are pretty eye-opening. Prescott has targeted his big TE 15 times over the Cowboys' last two and Schultz has hauled in 12 of those looks for 128 yards and a TD.
DraftKings finally has his price over $4k, but his salary still hasn't caught up with his role and production in an offense that's starting to roll again. The beat should go on for Schultz in Week 11 against a Minnesota defense that's relinquishing over eight yards per catch to opposing tight ends this season.
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