X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

2018 NFL Draft Class Preview - Tight Ends

An in-depth preview of 2018 NFL Draft rookies for the tight end position (part one). Matt Wispe's top TEs for fantasy football dynasty league rookie drafts.

Today we'll continue to evaluate the 2018 NFL draft class by taking a look at the tight end position. Typically, tight ends take a little extra time to develop into contributing members of the offense, but 2017 proved that some can make an immediate impact.

While this class has some high-caliber talent, the expectation should still be a longer development time. But that's neither here nor there. It's time to look at the prospect groups.

To see the previous iterations of this series on incoming NFL rookies, check out our analysis on quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Pre-Combine TE Evaluations

Before we jump into the individual player previews, I want to preface this by emphasizing the combine process as a part of this position's evaluations. In addition to factors such as market share, age, and draft positions, several combine drills have a track record for predictiveness, including speed score and bench press. Today, I'll discuss the pre-combine aspects of a prospect evaluation, but, similar to the RB position, much of the process will be completed at the combine.

 

Mark Andrews, Oklahoma

Andrews has been a walking mismatch at the collegiate level. Currently the top projected TE in the class, Andrews has a chance to transition his complete skill-set to the NFL.

Mark Andrews G Rec Yds Avg TD
2015 FR TE 9 19 318 16.7 7
2016 SO WR 12 31 489 15.8 7
2017 JR TE 14 62 958 15.5 8
Career 112 1765 15.8 22

Andrews never put up elite receiving yardage which will hinder his evaluation slightly, but consistent usage in the redzone provides a clear indication of his potential usage in the NFL. The biggest point in his favor is his size and history of being a high caliber prospect. Not only was Andrews the consensus top TE prospect entering this season, but he was also a four-star high school prospect, albeit at the WR position.

Name School Height Weight Birthday Age Career MS Yards Final Season MS Yards Final Season MS TDs
Andrews, Mark Oklahoma 6'6'' 253 9/5/95 22.4 0.13 0.19 0.17

At only 13 percent career market share, there's reason to be concerned with Andrews' usage rates at the collegiate level. It's clear that he was never the top receiving option in the Oklahoma offense, but he owned at least a 16 percent market share of the receiving TDs during each of his seasons with the team.

Despite being the clear number one TE in the class, Andrews will have some questions to answer at the combine.  There will be no questions about Andrews' size at 6-foot-6 and 253 lbs, but he will need to run a strong forty time and have a good showing on the bench press to truly cement himself atop the class. He currently projects as a first round pick and that's unlikely to change barring a disastrous performance. If that happens, Andrews rookie draft ADP will likely end up in the second round.

 

Mike Gesicki, Penn State

Over the next few months, Gesicki is going to be compared with the top redzone TEs and, after his final season, it's probably a deserved comparison.

Mike Gesicki G Rec Yds Avg TD
2014 FR TE 10 11 114 10.4 0
2015 SO TE 8 13 125 9.6 1
2016 JR TE 14 48 679 14.1 5
2017 SR TE 13 57 563 9.9 9
Career 129 1481 11.5 15

Gesicki appears to be a specialist. He's a pure receiving TE and he never managed a season over 700 receiving yards. But what stands out is his nine touchdown final season. Pairing that with his size, his role could become very clear once he joins the league.

Name School Height Weight Birthday Age Career MS Yards Final Season MS Yards Final Season MS TDs
Gesicki, Mike Penn State 6'5'' 252 10/2/95 22.3 0.11 0.15 0.28

For most positions, an 11 percent career market share would look like a disaster, but for the young prospect with ideal size, it's less of a disaster because he also demonstrated an ability to score touchdowns.  For this group, Gesicki has the clear lead in final season TD share with eight percent more than the next closest.

The best-case scenario for Gesicki is that he has a strong showing at the combine, earns himself a late-first round pick, and immediately becomes a team's redzone lead. If his usage matches a guy like Cameron Brate or, ideally, Tyler Eifert, then he could become a valuable asset for years. The worst case scenario would be joining a team that selects him to primarily block. If he is a first or second round pick, Gesicki will likely be a late second round pick in rookie drafts. Situation will determine whether that's a value or a disaster.

 

Dallas Goedert, South Dakota St.

Goedert is becoming the darling of this TE class. Whether the comparisons are to Rob Grokowski or fellow FCS product, Adam Shaheen, Goedert is slowly working his way into the conversation for best in the class.

Dallas Goedert G Rec Yds Yd/Rec TDs
2014 FR TE 14 8 100 12.5 0
2015 SO TE 12 26 484 18.6 3
2016 JR TE 13 92 1293 14.1 11
2017 SR TE 14 72 1111 15.4 7
Career 198 2988 15.1 21

After back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons, it's clear to see why scouts are interested in Goedert as a receiving option. Adding in his yardage efficiency and 21 career touchdowns and there's plenty of reason to be excited about what he'll be in the NFL.

What's largely holding Goedert back is his FCS competition level and the fact that he was not a largely coveted high school prospect. Goedert received zero Division one scholarship offers and wound up walking onto the South Dakota State team. He's added a significant amount of weight since joining the team.

Name School Height Weight Birthday Age Career MS Yards Final Season MS Yards Final Season MS TDs
Goedert, Dallas South Dakota St 6'3'' 255 1/2/95 23 0.21 0.30 0.20

From a market share perspective, Goedert appears to be the most productive member of the class. And while that is a positive, there's a point of diminishing returns for a potential top prospect playing against perceived lower talent. Based on talent evaluator's film studies, Goedert has done enough to warrant day two discussions, but he'll need to prove that he's the athlete many perceive him to be. If he can add on a great combine, Goedert could be a top three TE in draft position which would likely be in the second round.

If you were in rookie drafts in 2017, you likely experienced high variability between the ADPs of smaller school prospects such as Adam Shaheen and Jonnu Smith. If there's an eager drafter, Goedert could be a late second round pick in rookie drafts, but, assuming he's a second or third round NFL draft selection, his ADP will likely wind up in the middle of the third round. He's a prospect worth paying close attention to at the combine. If he performs as expected, he might be worth a slight reach. If he under performs, let him pass on by.

 

Troy Fumagalli, Wisconsin

Fumagalli has been used consistently in a lower volume offense, but his draft stock is largely dependent upon his blocking capabilities.

 

Troy Fumagalli G Rec Yds Avg TD
2014 FR TE 13 14 187 13.4 0
2015 SO TE 9 28 313 11.2 1
2016 JR TE 13 47 580 12.3 2
2017 SR TE 12 46 547 11.9 4
Career 135 1627 12.1 7

From a fantasy perspective, Fumagalli's numbers are underwhelming, but with back-to-back seasons over 45 receptions, he performed up to the expectations for a low-volume TE. Wisconsin has long been a run first offense and with a near 2 to 1 run/pass ratio, that was definitely the case in 2017. Since I'm not a film analyst, I won't speak to Fumagalli's blocking abilities other than to say that he was consistently on the field for a run-first team and that, despite the lower receiving volume, Fumagalli is projected to be selected in the top 3 rounds.

Name School Height Weight Birthday Age Career MS Yards Final Season MS Yards Final Season MS TDs
Fumagalli, Troy Wisconsin 6'5'' 249 2/16/95 22.9 0.16 0.20 0.16

Driving home the lower pass volume is his final season market share and career market share of receiving yards. His 16 percent is on par with everyone but Goedert, in this group, and despite only managing 547 yards, he was responsible for 20 percent of the team's passing yardage. None of his numbers stand out but from a market share perspective, he's near the top of the class.

Since Fumagalli is considered a strong blocking TE prospect, his draft hopes will be tied to drills and workouts to show the necessary speed and strength to earn a spot on the field. Blocking TEs aren't super valuable assets, so Fumagalli's dynasty value will be largely tied to the offense he joins and where he's ultimately selected. If he's a second round pick to an offense without a clear receiving TE, he'll be worth a fourth round pick in rookie drafts. If his draft position falls to day three, he's probably a complete pass in rookie drafts.

 

Hayden Hurst, South Carolina

As a former baseball draft pick, Hurst is an older prospect that has a large range of draft position outcomes. If he performs well at the combine, he has a chance to become a day two selection.

Hayden Hurst School Pos G Rec Yds Avg TD
2015 FR TE 5 8 106 13.3 0
2016 SO TE 13 48 616 12.8 1
2017 JR TE 13 44 559 12.7 2
Career 100 1281 12.8 3

At a glance, Hurst's receiving numbers don't jump off the screen. Failing to eclipse 650 yards or 3 TDs in a season would be a massive concern in most cases, but he's at a program that historically never uses the TE in the passing game. His 48 reception sophomore season set the South Carolina record for TE receptions. While there's still concern about his capabilities as a consistent receiving option, he can help alleviate them by performing well in workouts and drills.

Name School Height Weight Birthday Age Career MS Yards Final Season MS Yards Final Season MS TDs
Hurst, Hayden South Carolina 6'4'' 253 8/23/93 24.4 0.16 0.20 0.11

Hurst is an old prospect. He'll turn 25 during his rookie season and since age is a factor is TE evaluations, that will likely hinder his draft ceiling, but he can put aside that criticism by running well. Taking a look from a positive perspective, Hurst was clearly held back by a low-volume passing offense. His 1281 career yards represents 16 percent of the team's 8058 yards from 2015 to 2017. Over the same stretch, all four of the other prospects' teams passed for more.

Hurst probably owns little to no fantasy value in 12-team or smaller dynasty leagues unless he substantially increases his draft stock. In a TE-premium league, he might be worth a flier in the fourth round if he's a top three round selection in the draft. It's unlikely he's provide significant production in his first season, but he should have a secure place on an NFL roster and then all he needs is a chance.

 

More 2018 Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering for DFS at Phoenix?
Connor McDavid

Records Three Assists in Saturday's Win
Michael McDowell

Is an Easy Recommendation for DFS at Phoenix
Vladimir Tarasenko

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Nick Suzuki

Collects Two More Apples
Timothy Liljegren

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Nick Cousins

Injured on Saturday
Sam LaPorta

Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta Approaching Contract Extension Territory
Christopher Tanev

Leaves on Stretcher Saturday
Jauan Jennings

Several Teams Interested in Trading for Jauan Jennings
Calvin Ridley

Emerging as a Potential Trade Target
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Don't Intend to Trade Trey Hendrickson
Kevon Looney

Questionable Versus OKC
Chase Briscoe

Probably Won't Win the Title
Joey Logano

Could Play Spoiler in Championship Battle at Phoenix
Tyler Reddick

Seeking to End Winless Drought, but Probably Won't Have the Speed
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looks to Protect Top-10 Points Finish at Phoenix
Brad Keselowski

Hasn't Been Fast at Phoenix With RFK Racing
Daniel Suarez

With Nothing at Stake, Expect Little From Daniel Suarez
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well, but Will Probably Finish Worse Than he Starts
Chris Buescher

Ryan Preece has a Shot to Overtake Chris Buescher as RFK Racing's Lead Driver
Austin Dillon

Looks to Avoid Finishing Last in NASCAR Playoffs
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Might be a Worthy DFS Option
Cooper Kupp

Not Expected to Play Vs. Washington
Alvin Kamara

Saints Expect Alvin Kamara to Play Vs. Rams
Travis Hunter

Optimism Surrounding Travis Hunter's Knee Injury
Jakob Poeltl

to Remain Sidelined Sunday
Jakobi Meyers

Raiders "Set a High Price" on Jakobi Meyers
Walker Kessler

Out on Sunday
Mitchell Robinson

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Trey Benson

Moving Closer Toward a Return
Dillon Brooks

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Sunday
Jalen Green

Unavailable Against Spurs
Norman Powell

Questionable to Suit Up Against Lakers
Jaylen Waddle

Miami "Highly Unlikely" to Trade Jaylen Waddle
Jeremy Sochan

Remains Absent Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Still Out Sunday
Daniel Gafford

Makes Season Debut With Minutes Restriction
D'Angelo Russell

Cleared to Play Saturday
Deandre Ayton

Listed as Probable for Sunday
Paul George

Unavailable Sunday
Joel Embiid

to Sit Out Sunday's Action
Sam Merrill

May Skip Another Contest Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Questionable for Sunday
Darius Garland

to Remain Out Sunday
Donovan Mitchell

Could Miss Another Game Sunday
Chet Holmgren

Not Ready to Return Sunday
Trae Young

to Be Re-Evaluated in Four Weeks
Payton Pritchard

Ready to Face Rockets
Tua Tagovailoa

Benching "Not off the Table"
Connor Brown

Won't Play on Saturday
Dylan Strome

Ready to Return Saturday
Sean Couturier

Out on Saturday
Ilya Mikheyev

Set to Return Saturday
Warren Foegele

Kings Place Warren Foegele on Injured Reserve
TOR

Chris Tanev Cleared for Action
William Nylander

Remains Out Saturday
Shohei Ohtani

to Start Game 7 of World Series
Kyler Murray

Making Progress, but Won't Start on Monday Night
Tony Pollard

Titans Fielding Trade Calls on Tony Pollard
Chris Olave

Saints Expected to Retain Chris Olave Through Trade Deadline
Joe Flacco

Planning to Play Through Shoulder Injury in Week 9
Alejandro Kirk

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Alejandro Kirk's Hand
Alejandro Kirk

Goes for X-Rays After Being Hit on the Hand
Mackenzie Blackwood

Set for Season Debut Saturday
Ryan Reaves

Remains Under Evaluation
Trevor Moore

Expected to Return Saturday
Zach Benson

Placed on Injured Reserve
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Friday
Jacob Markstrom

Devils Sign Jacob Markstrom to Two-Year Extension
Connor Brown

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Gleyber Torres

Undergoes Sports-Hernia Surgery
Dylan Strome

Remains Out Friday
Bo Bichette

Not Expecting to Need Offseason Knee Surgery
Nico Collins

Officially Cleared to Face Broncos on Sunday
Brock Purdy

Questionable to Play, but Won't Start in Week 9
Travis Hunter

ACL is Intact
Alvin Kamara

Questionable for Week 9, Trending Toward Playing
George Springer

Back in Leadoff Spot for Game 6 of World Series
Michael Penix Jr.

Not Listed on Injury Report For Week 9
Drake London

Practices in Full on Friday, Will Play in Week 9
David Onama

Set For UFC Vegas 110 Main Event
Steve Garcia

Returns At UFC Vegas 110
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Set For Co-Main Event
Ante Delija

In Search For His Second UFC Win
Themba Gorimbo

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 110
Jeremiah Wells

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Arizona State Quarterback Sam Leavitt Out for the Season
Isaac Dulgarian

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Frunza

Looks For His First UFC Win
Charles Radtke

Looks To Bounce Back
Allan Nascimento

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 110 Main Card
Cody Durden

In Dire Need Of Victory
George Springer

"Strong Possibility" That George Springer Returns in Game 6 of World Series
Bryce Miller

Not Expected to Need Elbow Surgery
Washington Nationals

Nationals Finalizing a Deal to Hire Blake Butera as Next Manager
CFB

Arch Manning Listed as Questionable for Vanderbilt Matchup
CFB

Arion Carter Listed as Questionable Ahead of Oklahoma Matchup
Minnesota Twins

Twins Name Derek Shelton as Their New Manager
CFB

Jordyn Tyson Questionable for Iowa State Matchup with Hamstring Injury
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
George Springer

Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Baltimore Orioles

Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
Kyle Larson

Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
Ryan Blaney

Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
CFB

Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State
CFB

Lane Kiffin Says Money Won't Impact his Decision-Making
CFB

Arch Manning in Concussion Protocol, Misses Practice Monday
Christopher Bell

Eliminated From Championship 4 After a Too Conservative Season
Joey Logano

Lack of Championship-Caliber Speed Leads to Elimination
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Last at Martinsville
Denny Hamlin

Don't Think Denny Hamlin's Engine Failure Affects his Championship Prospects

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP