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Who should I start or sit for fantasy football in Week 11 of the 2025 season? Andrew's potential fantasy football busts to avoid in Week 11 fantasy football lineups.
There are four weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, and then the real fun begins. It's crunch time.
Lineup decisions are crucial in the home stretch. One bad decision could make or break your playoff chances.
Below, we sort through the stats and find 10 fantasy football busts, or players that may disappoint, for Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season. Good luck, RotoBallers!
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Kyren Williams (RB, LAR) vs. Seattle
Kyren Williams has a Blake Corum problem. It just hasn't impacted him yet.
Blake Corum is picking up 1.70 Yards before contact per carry which ranks 6th among RBs min. 50 carries.
— LaQuan Jones (@RealDealFantasy) November 13, 2025
Corum, the second-year back, has 12, 13, and 13 carries in the last three games, respectively, on approximately a third of the offensive snaps. Williams, on the other hand, has 12, 25, and 14 attempts. Yes, that's a lot of rush attempts for one team.
The Rams have built two-touchdown (or more) leads in all of those games, so the team has had the luxury of running out the clock. Corum has done some damage, but Williams has his fair share of late-game antics as well. This isn't a situation where the backup got all of his touches in mop-up duty.
Again, all of this developed in blowout wins. What happens when that's not the case?
Las Vegas oddmakers expect the matchup with Seattle to be a close contest. The Rams are three-point favorites at the time of this writing.
Seattle is a great team, in part, because of their defense. For fantasy purposes, the front seven has been outstanding against the run. They've given up the second-fewest ground yards this season (66.7 per game) to running backs. Williams will have to have more involvement in the passing game to make his mark on Sunday.
For Williams' fantasy managers, the hope is that Corum's recent bump in usage won't take Williams off the field much. Limited opportunities could lead to a down game for Los Angeles' lead back.
Derrick Henry (RB, BAL) at Cleveland
The last time Derrick Henry faced the Cleveland Browns, he carried the ball 11 times for 23 yards, and, if you don't remember, that was before Lamar Jackson missed multiple games with a hamstring injury.
This selection isn't solely based on Henry's previous stat line, but it's hard not to think about it when looking ahead to Week 11. The Browns, in a similar fashion to shutting down Henry, have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to running backs this season. Henry is still rarely used in the passing game, and the Browns particularly excel in that area, so it's up to the ground game again.
It's mostly turned Henry into a touchdown-or-bust option. Sure, we're fine with 11 PPR fantasy points, but it's not winning weeks and underwhelming for a first-round pick. There's been an abnormal number of pass attempts in goal-line situations from Baltimore this season. The Browns have also only surrendered three rushing touchdowns to running backs.
John Harbaugh on Keaton Mitchell usage thus far in 2025:
"We were kind of intentional. We wanted to do more. For whatever reason, we didn't get to it. Definitely want to see more of Keaton. It's hard to take plays off Derrick Henry's plate. That's a challenge. ... I think he… pic.twitter.com/mQiaSPGmAQ
— Bobby Trosset (@bobbybaltim0re) November 10, 2025
There's also the quote above from head coach John Harbaugh about using backup running back Keaton Mitchell more. That will directly come at Henry's expense. Justice Hill will remain the third-down and two-minute running back.
Henry isn't coming out of fantasy football lineups, but don't be surprised if there's another dud week on the horizon.
RJ Harvey (RB, DEN) vs. Kansas City
We all love a shiny new toy. For fantasy managers who have been stashing RJ Harvey all season, it appears to be paying off finally.
J.K. Dobbins (foot) is reportedly a candidate to land on injured reserve. Although Tyler Badie has been involved on third downs, there have only been three running back carries (seven if you count fullback Adam Prentice) outside of Dobbins and Harvey. All signs point to Harvey taking the lead back role, but this is a Sean Payton team, and we've seen him pull the Uno reserve card on the fantasy community before, despite what he publicly says.
RJ Harvey will have a bigger role on Sunday, per Sean Payton. “He’s built to last”
(Payton did not provide injury update on J.K. Dobbins. “Nothing has been decided”) pic.twitter.com/2RQW2Obmon
— Romi Bean (@Romi_Bean) November 12, 2025
Let's, for argument's sake, say that Harvey handles a starter-level 15 touches against the Chiefs. What does that look like against the Kansas City defense, which allows the seventh-fewest points per game to running backs?
Much like TreVeyon Henderson, many of Harvey's runs end in marginal gains. He had a 50-yard run against the Titans in Week 1 and a 40-yard touchdown run in Week 8 versus the Cowboys. Take those runs away, and he's averaging 2.5 yards per attempt.
It's not to say we don't like an explosive running back. It can work in the right circumstances, mainly when said running back is controlling the majority of the backfield touches against a weak run defense. We can't say for sure that the former will be the case, and we know for a fact that the Chiefs can slow down running backs.
I'd rather wait and see how this pans out. There are plenty of opportunities (in softer matchups no less) to start Harvey if Dobbins does, in fact, miss the required four games.
Nico Collins (WR, HOU) at Tennessee
Davis Mills has stepped under center and done what any backup quarterback should do: Hyper-target the number-one receiver.
Six of Davis Mills’ 14 first-half targets (42.9%) went to Nico Collins
— Adam Koffler (@AdamKoffler) November 2, 2025
Nico Collins hasn't excelled with C.J. Stroud this season, with one exception. Collins topped 100 yards and scored on 11 targets against Jacksonville back in Week 3. He also surpassed the century mark against the Jaguars last week. He had two more 100-yard outings against the Jags in 2024. Those are his only four games over 100 yards since he dropped 135 yards on the Bears in Week 2 of the '24 season.
Unfortunately, there aren't any more dates with Jacksonville scheduled until 2026.
The Titans aren't a better pass defense than the Jaguars. In fact, they give up more fantasy points per game both on the season and in the last four weeks. It's not a matchup to dodge, and it's why Collins isn't being benched in fantasy lineups.
However, the Titans are also dreadful against the run and may not be able to score on an outstanding Houston defense. The Titans have the lowest implied point total (15.5), which is 15.5 more points than they scored against the Texans in Week 4. A game script like that won't call for many pass attempts.
Tetairoa McMillan (WR, CAR) at Atlanta
It's fair to say that Tetairoa McMillan's rookie season has been a disappointment, even though he's currently the PPR WR22. The touchdowns are rare; he scored only against the Dallas Cowboys (albeit twice). There aren't explosive yardage outings either; he's hit the century mark once, against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2.
Fantasy managers have just been able to pencil in about 10-12 PPR points. It's a nice floor, but floors can be dropped in tough matchups.
The Falcons have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers. Star cornerback A.J. Terrell Jr. didn't play in the first matchup between these two teams, and McMillan only caught three catches for 48 yards. In case you forgot, the Panthers scored 30 points in that game.
Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN) vs. Kansas City
Bo Nix isn't leaning on his WR1 in recent weeks. It's been his college teammate dominating targets.
Troy Franklin has out-targeted Courtland Sutton 41 to 29 since Week 5. He's caught six more balls and has more than doubled (13 to 6) Sutton's redzone targets over the course of the season.
Sean Payton explained why Troy Franklin is leading the Bronco in targets recently.
“He’s explosive”
Added later that teams are giving more attention to Courtland Sutton. pic.twitter.com/wP12xG0u7u
— Zac Stevens (@ZacStevensDNVR) November 12, 2025
Sutton is the WR48 since Week 5, with Franklin just outside the top 24. Sutton hasn't scored 11 or more points in three straight games. The bounce-back likely won't happen this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs allow the sixth-fewest points to opposing wide receivers this season. They've been even better the last four weeks, ranking first in that metric. It hasn't been a murderer's row of good receiving teams: Detroit (good), Las Vegas, Washington, and Buffalo. Then again, Denver mostly falls into that category this season.
Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR, WAS) at Miami (Madrid)
Deebo Samuel isn't getting the ball downfield. His average target distance is 5.7 yards, 95th among wide receivers. That is reflected in his stat lines with Marcus Mariota under center.
- Week 3 vs. Las Vegas: three targets, two catches, 11 yards
- Week 4 at Atlanta: six targets, six catches, 72 yards, one touchdown
- Week 8 at Kansas City: six targets, three catches, 11 yards
- Week 10 vs. Detroit: five targets, four catches, 29 yards, one touchdown
That's fewer than 30 yards in three of four Mariota starts. In essence, he's a touchdown-or-bust wide receiver with most of his targets at or near the line of scrimmage.
Well, there have been just two touchdowns scored by wideouts against Miami in the last four games, and they're allowing the fourth-fewest points to wide receivers on the season. Samuel may be the de facto WR1 for his team, but he should be viewed as a WR3, at best, for fantasy this week.
Baker Mayfield (QB, TB) at Buffalo
The Buffalo Bills usually bounce back after getting embarrassed, and they were just that in the surprise loss to the Miami Dolphins. Las Vegas oddsmakers believe that to be the case. The Buccaneers have an implied point total of 21 points, a low number for what is considered a good Tampa Bay offense.
Whether the Bills win or lose, it hasn't been because the opposing quarterback has been dicing up the secondary. Buffalo's run defense has been its Achilles heel thus far, and it doesn't leave much room for quarterbacks to rack up yardage. Lamar Jackson was outstanding back in Week 1. Since then, no quarterback has scored over 16 fantasy points against the Bills. That list includes Drake Maye and Patrick Mahomes, the current QB1 and QB2 this year.
Oddly, Mayfield hasn't run the ball in three straight games. His rushing was the bonus that made him the QB4 last season and QB3 through the first five weeks this season. That may be a product of opposing defenses being able to spy Mayfield and not worry as much about the receivers with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Jalen McMillan sidelined.
Jared Goff (QB, DET) at Philadelphia
Passing touchdowns are hard to come by against the Philadelphia defense. Two quarterbacks have thrown for more than one touchdown against the Eagles this year. Both of those instances came before Week 5.
In the last three weeks, it's two total touchdowns (one rushing and passing from Jaxson Dart) to two interceptions. Jordan Love, with a captivated national TV audience, couldn't complete a pass downfield.
Philly brings the pressure to force the fumble and they recover!
PHIvsGB on ESPN/ABC
Stream on @NFLPlus and ESPN App pic.twitter.com/hZsgtvFZ5s— NFL (@NFL) November 11, 2025
Jared Goff is a much better passer than Love, Dart, or Carson Wentz, but it's still fair to be concerned about how he will perform against a top-tier defense on the road. Consider Goff as a fringe QB1 this week, probably just outside that range in what appears to be a strong week for fantasy football quarterbacks.
Cade Otton (TE, TB) at Buffalo
Cade Otton has successfully filled the role of target monster with the majority of Tampa's wide receivers out with injuries. He has nine, five, and 12 since Evans hurt himself in the Monday night matchup with the Detroit Lions. The 12 targets against the Patriots were far and away a season-high, with Tampa Bay taking advantage of a plus matchup.
The matchup against Buffalo is not a plus. In fact, it's statistically the worst matchup.
The Bills have surrendered the fewest catches, yards, and touchdowns to tight ends this season. Of course, that also means they've given up the fewest fantasy points.
As discussed in the Mayfield blurb of this article, the way to beat the Buffalo defense is on the ground. Otton is still a low-end TE1, but his volume could take a hit this week.
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