RADIO
Expert Week 13 Thursday Night Football bets, anytime TD scorer, and player prop predictions. Free TNF betting picks, anytime TD scorer, and player props for Week 13.
Thursday Night Football heads to Baltimore, Md., this week for an AFC North showdown on Thanksgiving night between the 6-5 Baltimore Ravens and the 3-8 Cincinnati Bengals. Joe Burrow makes his return for the Bengals after missing the previous nine games with a Grade 3 turf toe injury, while the Ravens have won five in a row since their Week 7 bye.
Ja'Marr Chase also returns for the Bengals after being suspended one game for spitting on Pittsburgh Steelers defensive back Jalen Ramsey in Week 11. However, Tee Higgins will miss Thursday night's game due to a concussion. Lamar Jackson has battled multiple injuries over the past few weeks, but he will be good to go.
Can Burrow and the Bengals pull off the upset to keep their playoff hopes alive, or will the Ravens make it six straight wins? Let's get to the picks!
Editor's Note: The FFPC Playoff Challenge is back with a massive $500,000 grand prize and $1.35 million total prize pool, paying down to 800th place. Here's the deal: no salary cap, no draft, no pickups, no subs. Choose 10 players, and as NFL teams get knocked out so will your players, so choose your team wisely. The 7,250 entries will sell out quickly, and registrations will close on Saturday January 10th at 4:30 pm ET . Don't wait - get your team now and end your fantasy football season with a shot at $500,000! Sign Up Now!Clear the table, cue the chaos 😈
CINvsBAL– Thanksgiving Day 8:20pm ET on NBC
Stream on @NFLPlus + Peacock pic.twitter.com/KJaKoEXRw6— NFL (@NFL) November 26, 2025
Thursday Night Football Odds and Spread
Cincinnati Bengals +7 (+280 ML) at Baltimore Ravens (-350 ML)
Over/Under (51.5)
Baltimore has defeated Cincinnati in four straight meetings, with the Bengals' most recent win against them coming in the 2022 playoffs on the infamous 98-yard fumble return touchdown by Sam Hubbard. Their two matchups last season were among the most entertaining games of the season, with the Ravens winning 41-38 in overtime in Week 5, and then 35-34 on Thursday Night Football in Week 10.
#Ravens S Kyle Hamilton a full go today and no game status. Same with QB Lamar Jackson and WR Rashod Bateman, who was upgraded to full today. All set to go tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/y2jI15Evrr
— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) November 26, 2025
Burrow and Chase went ballistic in those games. Burrow threw for a combined 820 passing yards with nine touchdowns on 95 pass attempts and one interception, while Chase caught 21-of-29 targets for 457 yards and five touchdowns in the two games. Not to be outdone on the other side, Jackson threw for a combined 638 yards and eight touchdowns on 75 pass attempts.
Jackson has faced the Bengals 11 times in his career and owns a 10-2 record. He and Burrow have faced off seven times in their careers, and Jackson has owned that head-to-head matchup with a 6-1 record straight up and 4-3 against the spread.
With an over-under of 51.5 in this matchup, it is the second-highest total of the week. The Baltimore offense has struggled recently, and the defense has excelled, but any game involving the 2025 Bengals defense should feature plenty of points.
2025 Betting Trends:
- Against the Spread: BAL 4-7, CIN 4-7
- As Home Team ATS: BAL 2-4
- As Away Team ATS: CIN 1-4
- Over Game Total: BAL 7-4, CIN 7-4
Thursday Night Football Game Picks
As mentioned earlier, the Ravens defense has been outstanding since the Week 7 bye and as it has gotten healthier. Over that six-game span, Baltimore ranks third in EPA/play (-0.167) and third in success rate (37.7%), and then first in rush EPA (-0.294) and sixth in dropback EPA (-0.105), per RBSDM.com. The opposing schedule plays a part in that, but it has been impressive regardless.
It's a tough spot for Burrow to be thrown back into in his return, and he's notoriously been a slow starter to open seasons. It could be a similar story in his first game back against a defense that is playing elite ball. Plus, without Higgins, the Ravens could look to devote more resources to stopping Chase and preventing the massive blowup games that he is arguably the best in the game at. That's easier said than done, of course, but they could learn from their mistakes last year.
It's a perfect get-right spot for Jackson and the Ravens offense, who haven't gotten going since he returned in Week 9. They faced two of the best defenses and most ferocious pass rushes in the past few weeks in the Vikings and Browns, and it's safe to say the Bengals are a far cry from that territory defensively.
Jackson still clearly doesn't look healthy and isn't moving at the same speed as in previous years, and that's impacted his performance under pressure.
Lamar Jackson: “I feel better in some areas” physically.
Says he doesn’t let the injuries frustrate him. pic.twitter.com/DexkZ2we6J
— Ryan Mink (@ryanmink) November 25, 2025
According to Aaron Schatz's DVOA metric, the 2025 Bengals are the worst defense ever recorded (since 1978) through 11 games. Derrick Henry hasn't had much running room behind a struggling offensive line, but he should find more opportunities on the edges, where the Bengals have allowed a league-leading 102.8 rushing yards per game, per NFL Pro.
Despite a reasonable day against the Patriots, the #Bengals were able to barely hold on to their "lead" as the worst defense ever tracked by DVOA.
I'll be writing about this a bit for ESPN this week. pic.twitter.com/2O0hi2U5PV
— Aaron Schatz 🏈 (@ASchatzNFL) November 24, 2025
Since 2004, favorites are 51-9 straight up and 40-20 against the spread on Thanksgiving. We'll back the Ravens at home to cover and the under with Burrow and the Bengals offense not hitting their full stride in his first game back. Ravens 26, Bengals 17.
The Picks: Baltimore Ravens -7 (-112), Under 51.5 (-105)
Thursday Night Football Player Props
All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Derrick Henry 100+ Rushing Yards (+128)
Henry should have a field day against this Bengals defense. The 31-year-old hasn't had the production we're accustomed to seeing from him this season, but he still excels on outside runs, gaining the fourth-most yards (523) on runs outside the tackles this season, per NFL Pro.
That's an area where Cincinnati has been vulnerable. You can take this at his standard line of 90.5 at -114, or chase 100+ yards for plus money.
KING HENRY BREAKS FREE FOR THE BIG GAIN!
BALvsCLE on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXnxV pic.twitter.com/6U9WQxACtw
— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2025
Chase Brown 4+ Receptions (+116)
Brown is one of the better pass-catching backs in the league, though he has had a handful of bad drops this season. He's caught 16 passes over his last three games with Joe Flacco under center, but his activity as a receiver was a key part of the offense last season.
Over the final eight games of 2024, when he became the workhorse, Brown averaged 5.5 targets and 4.8 receptions per game, as Burrow frequently looked for him as a checkdown. With the Bengals projected as seven-point underdogs, the trail script could lead to some dump-off passes for the speedy back.
Joe Burrow Under 251.5 Passing Yards (-114)
I'm expecting some rust from Burrow in his first game back. In the season opener against a good Cleveland defense, he threw for just 113 yards. Since the Ravens' Week 7 bye, they have allowed just 169 passing yards per game.
We're also expecting Baltimore to be run-heavy and limit the total number of possessions and plays. It's a dangerous game to play with Burrow as he's crushed the Ravens historically and in their previous two meetings, but we'll ride against him in this spot.
Thursday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Bets
Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown (+130)
The Bengals are dreadfully bad against opposing tight ends. They've allowed an average of 6.9 catches and 87.5 receiving yards per game to go with 13 total touchdowns this season.
Last week, the Bengals allowed Hunter Henry to go for a career-high 115 receiving yards and a touchdown. All Andrews has done this season is score touchdowns, with six total in 11 games, including a 35-yard rushing score in Week 11 against the Cleveland Browns. He leads the Ravens with 10 targets inside the red zone, with Zay Flowers being the next closest with six.
More Picks and Analysis
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
