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Trent Grisham (OF, SDP) - 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

Trent Grisham - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Picks

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 280

CURRENT ADP: ~330 overall

ANALYSIS: Trent Grisham owned the league's lowest batting average last season, a feat well-known within the baseball community. A .184 mark is hard to ignore, especially when combined with a paltry .284 OBP and .341 SLG, good for a .626 OPS, the fifth-last among qualified hitters. Grisham has been the starting center fielder in San Diego for the past three seasons, where he was an above-average hitter for the first, but it seems the Padres are looking to platoon him in 2023. Although, I still think Grisham will eventually play his way into everyday at-bats.

He's probably not the player we saw in 2020, but he can still be a productive hitter. The former Brewers draft pick still hit 17 homers and compiled 19.9 xHR in 2022. And Grisham’s barrel rate climbed back up to 8.1% after posting a 5.2% rate two years ago. His 88.3 average exit velocity was identical to his mark in the shortened season, and he still walked a ton, managing a 10.9% walk rate. The issues for Grisham were an inflated strikeout and fly ball rate. He struck out 28.6% of the time last season after a 22.6% rate the year prior. Grisham was still extremely patient and only chased pitches at a 20.7% clip but whiffed at a below-average rate. And after back-to-back seasons posting a fly ball rate below 23.4%, it skyrocketed to 30% in 2022. Even small improvements in these areas can bring Grisham's average back up to .230, around his .231 career xBA.

He’s also a solid baserunner. Grisham had an 87th-percentile sprint speed in 2022, but his stolen base total maxed out at just seven. The Texas native stole a combined 23 bases in his previous 191 games, so that should be on the rise this year, especially with bigger bases. Grisham has been better against lefties in his career, posting a .237 average and .732 OPS compared to a .217 average and .704 OPS off of right-handers. Engel is known for his defense, but the former has been right there with him, even winning a Gold Glove last year. I think it's an easy assumption that Grisham will out-hit someone with a career 72 wRC+ and 74 wRC+ against lefties. Everyday playing time doesn't mean he's a fantasy stud, but he'll supply decent power and speed to any team.

 

More Fantasy Baseball Values and Sleepers

Gavin Williams - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Waiver Wire Adds For Week 25

Playoffs! Congratulations to those managers who made the fantasy baseball playoffs. If you are reading this, that is most likely the case. The fantasy season is a (fun) grind, but now is the time to buckle down and push for a league championship. While there may be less competition on the waiver wire with many... Read More

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Ronny Mauricio (SS, NYM) - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 24

BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED IN: 21% of Leagues ANALYSIS: It finally happened; the Mets called up Ronny Mauricio. The 22-year-old top-prospect has been a fixture in the "Prospect Watch" section of this column since May, but Francisco Lindor has blocked him at shortstop. Mauricio has been playing second base and left field... Read More

3 weeks ago

Jasson Dominguez - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Prospects, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Jasson Dominguez- Fantasy Baseball Hitter Waiver Wire Adds for Week 24

BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED IN: 34% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Jasson Dominguez is among the most exciting September call-ups. His big-league arrival came with considerable hype. The 20-year-old wasted no time making an impression with the Yankees, taking Justin Verlander deep in his first career at-bat. His ownership has shot up in the time... Read More

3 weeks ago

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Austin Shenton - Fantasy Baseball Prospects Outlook and Analysis

PROSPECT: Austin Shenton, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays ANALYSIS: A new addition to my prospect rankings this week, Austin Shenton has been quietly raking in the upper minors this season. In 106 games overall, Shenton is slashing .306/.408/.591 with 36 doubles and 24 home runs. That includes a .327/.407/.684 mark over the last 30 days with... Read More

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Robert Gasser - Fantasy Baseball Prospects Outlook and Analysis

PROSPECT: Robert Gasser, SP, Milwaukee Brewers ANALYSIS: Over his last three starts, Robert Gasser has dominated to the tune of a 2.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 41.4% strikeout rate. Neither Wade Miley nor Adrian Houser are pitching poorly enough to lose their rotation spot, but Gasser should be the next man up if Milwaukee needs another starter down the... Read More

1 month ago



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