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Nate Duffett's MLB betting picks for 5/25/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Saturday, May 25th edition of Rotoballer's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 16 game slate. Due to a prior commitment, the picks will have an earlier submission. Sorry in advance for any discrepancies in odds due to the timing of this article.
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter @Roto_Nate if you have any questions.
So without any further delay, below are my picks for Saturday, May 25th. Good luck!
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New York Yankees (-152) @ Kansas City Royals
O/U: 10 (Second Game of Doubleheader)
I will be highlighting the second game of this doubleheader tomorrow because of the pitching matchup we see on the mound. The Yankees send Chad Green with his 12.41 ERA, and the Royals send Jakob Junis with his 5.69 ERA. Neither of the pitching matchups in these two games tomorrow are too intriguing, but this one has the most possibility of hitting the over.
The Yankees have shattered the total in each of their last five games by an average of 5.4 runs. The Royals have seen the over hit in 15 of their 24 home games, while the over has hit in 17 of 21 Yankees road games.
My Pick: Over 10
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs (-155)
O/U: TBD
The Cubs are a tough team to go back to after their bullpen blew the lead for us on yesterday's slate. However, Yu Darvish has been looking good his last couple of starts, and the Cubs 17-8 record at home would suggest they don't lose two in a row very often. If the taste in their mouths is as sour as it is for me after yesterday's result, they should have the motivation to get this one back on their home field.
My Pick: Cubs (-155)
Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies (-188)
O/U: 11.5
No one feels comfortable when picking the Orioles, so I will give the facts here and let you guys do with it what you want. I would call this risky pick a lean as I wouldn't hold it against you if you left this one off your betting card. The facts are that Kyle Freeland has struggled mightily in his home ballpark, allowing a 7.36 ERA and his team has lost two of the four games he has started at Coors Field.
One of the games they did win, was a 12-11 final score. The Orioles are 1-9 in their last ten, but they did play the Yankees extremely close in the last series. Let's get freaky and sprinkle some money on the Orioles here. I promise it's the only time I will tell you to do that for the rest of the season.
My Pick: Orioles (+163)
San Diego Padres (-115) @ Toronto Blue Jays
O/U: 9.5
Here is one of the spots where the odds could have changed quickly by the time you read this article. With the way the Blue Jays have been playing, they shouldn't be this close in odds to anyone. Especially, when they are sending Edwin Jackson to the mound. The Padres have won four in a row and counter with Cal Quantrill who makes the start at the ballpark where he grew up watching the game.
If I know anything by living in Canada and watching the Blue Jays, Canadians enjoy coming home to play (i.e. James Paxton's no-hitter last year), so it wouldn't surprise me to see the Padres win one for Quantrill here again today.
My Pick: Padres (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Indians
O/U: 8
The first two games of this series have seen both teams win a game each. Carlos Carrasco has been very inconsistent, having four starts where he allowed zero runs but having six starts where he was chased early and had his ERA raised to 4.30. I find it hard to pick the Indians or a side on the total here with that inconsistency. So, I will side with the much more consistent Charlie Morton, who is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA and facing an Indians team that has lost four of their last five games.
My Pick: Rays (+107)
