TGL Match 12 Preview: Jupiter Links vs. The Bay

TourPicks offers a preview of TGL Match 12 of the season between the Jupiter Links and The Bay Golf Club, includes course setups, stat profiles, and his picks to win!

It's win or go home for the Jupiter Links team as they are in danger of missing the inaugural TGL Playoffs if they can't pull off a victory tonight against the 1st place team in the league, The Bay Golf Club. On paper, this is about as lopsided as a matchup gets, but we have already seen Jupiter play the underdog role to perfection this season when counted out once before.

Here is everything you need to know before you watch Match 12 of the TGL season tonight:

Match 12 : 9 PM ET - ESPN

The Bay (3-0)

Player 1: Min Woo Lee

Player 2: Shane Lowry

Player 3: Wyndham Clark

Jupiter Links (1-2)

Player 1: Tom Kim

Player 2: Kevin Kisner

Player 3: Max Homa

No Tiger, no playoffs?

Must win match for Jupiter tonight to stay alive. pic.twitter.com/ZeRuSQ5QJ4

— TGL (@TGL) February 25, 2025

The Rundown

We have ourselves a pretty straightforward rundown in our third matchup of week 7. The Bay has been the best team in the TGL and the Jupiter Links are the worst team in the league.

Tiger Woods, after a rough showing last week, will sit this one out as the Links get Max Homa back in the lineup. Meanwhile, The Bay will compete in their first match without Genesis Invitational winner and PGA Tour money leader Ludvig Aberg, who has unsurprisingly also been a stud in TGL.

There's always a chance in TGL and we have seen upsets before because so much comes down to success putting on the greens. That said, Jupiter has so much ground to make up off the tee and this course setup is long. The first two holes total nearly 1,100 yards right out of the gate with the tee shots for Jupiter hit by Tom Kim and Kevin Kisner, two of the shortest drivers in the TGL.

The Course Setup

We'll once again get to see Alpine tonight, which is quickly becoming one of the more intriguing holes in TGL. We have seen three players hit the ball 360 yards off the tee on this hole thus far, all accounting for the three longest drives of the season on Alpine. Tonight it will be played in singles by Min Woo Lee, who ranks 2nd in driving distance average, and Tom Kim. I really like the collection of risk/reward holes in play tonight during the Singles portion where we have seen the majority of hammers thrown since the rules update last week.

The Betting Line

The Bay -165 vs. Jupiter Links +135 (betonline)

I bet this line hard as soon as it came out. I think the sportsbooks are hesitant to post a big number on an underdog in this relatively new format, and they definitely got exposed a few weeks back when Jupiter Links beat Boston at +220 odds. The Bay has proven to be too good to overlook and worthy of the juice.

The Bay Golf Club Ranks this season @TGL :

-1st place in Standings
-1st in Avg. Driving Distance (318 yards)
-1st in Driving Accuracy (77%)
-1st in GIR (78%)
-1st in short putt percentage (92%)
-1st in scrambling (77%)

This team is a wagon.

Bay -165 (🔨) pic.twitter.com/jB7DWHpPgz

— Joe I (@TourPicks) February 25, 2025

A literal hammer on The Bay -165

Thanks for reading and enjoy TGL tonight!

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