RADIO
Spencer Aguiar digs into the first-round leader market at the Sanderson Farms Championship, providing some of his favorite targets on the slate.
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First-Round Leader Options To Consider:
Seamus Power 55/1 (Bet365)
One of the biggest movers in my model when comparing upside versus safety, Seamus Power is an ideal fit inside the first-round leader market to try and attack some of that potential as a cheap dart throw. Power's current form leaves a ton to be desired, missing two cuts and finishing 65th out of 67 golfers at the BMW Championship, but the high-end metrics set up nicely for the Country Club of Jackson.
My model ranks Power first at easy scoring courses over the past year, first in a recalculated par-four category to mimic this week's venue and first at the five critical holes this week, where 27% of daily chances account for nearly 60% of the meaningful totals towards a score.
Has the form turned around? I am not sure. But there isn't a better market in the space to take a cheap chance on the possibility of everything coming together.
Gary Woodland 65/1 (DraftKings)
I don't necessarily trust Gary Woodland over four days, but when we look at his recent strokes gained data and try to incorporate how it fits into the Sanderson Farms, we see a golfer that has earned shots in all five critical categories over the last three tournaments but has failed to put more than two of those metrics together at once. To me, that means Woodland is still struggling to find everything at the same time, and the most natural way to use that information is to hope he does it in spurts, meaning a one-day sample size of dominance would be an excellent place to start.
Woodland's fourth-place grade in total driving and eight-spot increase in projected proximity when I run the data to highlight the Country Club of Jackson is encouraging, and while I don't know if he is explosive enough as a golfer to keep it going from start to finish, my model does like the Bermuda putting increase that he gets versus his baseline projection.
Dean Burmester 65/1 (DraftKings)
You will notice Dean Burmester is the first negative trajectory upside player we have talked about so far, but my model was able to overlook some of the concerns regarding his explosiveness when we focused on how his first-round leader number still provided value at 65/1.
Even when I ran his watered-down version inside of my model, Burmester graded as a 50/1 golfer in this market, stemming from his ball-striking and par-five scoring outputs that ranked him inside the top 15 of the field. Like Woodland, the Bermuda putting splits did give us a 31-spot improvement in my projected creation of strokes gained data versus his baseline total, and the fact that he graded as a top five golfer when looking at the complete picture and not just a sprint on Thursday means an outright ticket is also a necessity for us to grab.
Alex Smalley 75/1 (Bet365)
At this point, the Webb Simpson and Jason Day conversations that I have might be in place to mask the weekly wagers that I place on Alex Smalley. My model LOVES him on pretty much any course because of his pristine ball-striking acumen, and I have reasons to believe that his Bermuda putting might be able to enhance some of his par-five scoring - a category he sometimes underachieves at because of his short game.
Smalley's total driving and long iron play are too good for the par-five scoring to stay down forever, and whenever he fixes his short game and adds value in those areas, the sky is the limit for what he might be able to accomplish on tour. Smalley ranks 89th in putting on all surfaces but does jump to 44th on this exact Bermuda texture, giving us an opening for him to get hot for a day on Thursday.
Rory Sabbatini 110/1 (Bet365)
One of the things I always note during these pieces is why I run my model towards mimicking a course above all else. We saw it last weekend at the Presidents Cup when a golfer like Kevin Kisner was incorrectly included on the USA team and forced to take on a course that was too long for his skills, and it is why certain players sometimes slip through the cracks at venues when the market doesn't adjust to their potential.
Sure, we have a ton of course history baked into totals that will shift prices, but not every golfer receives the same drift on similar information. Sabbatini is the second-ranked player in my model when looking directly at Ross-designs over the past 50 rounds, and the short game and recalculated scoring totals for all 18 holes will set up nicely for him to find success at a course he has recorded two top-20 finishes at during the last three attempts. While Sabbatini does get the more complex end of the draw by going off in the afternoon, the price is overly inflated at 110/1.
Vincent Whaley 125/1 (Bet365)
I am surprised we haven't gotten better results from Vincent Whaley at the Country Club of Jackson in the past. Three made cuts in the last three years isn't anything to scoff at from an outlook perspective, but the fact that he has failed to record a top 40 finish does come as a surprise when I look into how he fits the track.
Whaley ranks 17th in my model when given easy scoring conditions, eighth on the five most accessible holes on the course and second in his Bermuda putting + par-five scoring combination. Whaley has a real shot at a longer price.
Joel Dahmen 130/1 (DraftKings)
Joel Dahmen hasn't finished better than 69th-place during his last six starts on tour, which, contrary to popular belief, is not nice, but I will not let that stop me from taking a shot on him for a day at 130/1.
Dahmen's long-term stats place him inside the top 10 of the field in short-par/par-five scoring, and while this shouldn't be considered anything more than a shot in the dark, I like his pairing with J.T. Poston and Sepp Straka at 7:22 in the morning. Dahmen should get the greens at their most ideal settings, generating more birdie opportunities if he can stay accurate off the tee.
Official Card
| Odds | Risk | Win | |
| Joel Dahmen | 130 | 0.025 | 3.25 |
| Seamus Power | 55 | 0.06 | 3.3 |
| Gary Woodland | 65 | 0.05 | 3.25 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 110 | 0.025 | 2.75 |
| Vincent Whaley | 125 | 0.03 | 3.75 |
| Alex Smalley | 75 | 0.04 | 3 |
| Dean Burmester | 65 | 0.05 | 3.25 |
2022 Top Head-to-Head Record (11-5-0)
+6.96 Units Year-To-Date From Premium H2H Bets
|
Tournament
|
H2H Bet
|
Risk Units | W | L | T | TP | Percentage | Profit/Loss |
| 21.73 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 68.75% | 6.96 | ||
| BMW Championship | Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston | 1.44 | 1 | 1 | 1.31 | |||
| Rocket Mortgage | Cameron Davis -120 over Kevin Kisner | 1.44 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | |||
| Open Championship | Tommy Fleetwood -118 over Tyrrell Hatton | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | |||
| Travelers | Brendan Steele -115 over Denny McCarthy | 1.45 | 1 | 1 | 1.26 | |||
| U.S. Open | Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley | 1.40 | 1 | 1 | 1.33 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Aaron Rai -112 over Hank Lebioda | 1.40 | 1 | 1 | 1.25 | |||
| Memorial | Sungjae Im -136 over Davis Riley | 1.36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Chris Kirk -120 over Kevin Kisner | 1.44 | 1 | 1 | 1.36 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Patton Kizzire -110 over Kevin Kisner | 1.40 | 1 | 1 | 1.27 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Ian Poulter -110 over Cameron Young | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | -1.3 | |||
| Valero | Keegan Bradley -110 over Jason Day | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | 1.18 | |||
| Valero | Sahith Theegala +102 over Ryan Palmer | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | -1.3 | |||
| API | Sergio Garcia -110 over Tommy Fleetwood | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | -1.3 | |||
| Honda Classic | Jhonattan Vegas -115 over Mito Periera | 1.30 | 1 | 1 | -1.3 | |||
| Genesis | Cameron Smith -115 over Viktor Hovland | 1.35 | 1 | 1 | -1.35 | |||
| Waste Management | Keegan Bradley +100 over Pat Perez | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | 1.25 |
Year-To-Date Pre-Tournament Head-To-Head Results (43-25-3)
+14.64 Units Year-To-Date From Pre-Tournament H2H Bets
|
Tournament
|
H2H Bet
|
Risk Units | W | L | T | TP | Percentage | Profit/Loss |
| 80.10 | 43 | 25 | 3 | 68 | 63.24% | 14.64 | ||
| Fortinet Championship | Rickie Fowler -110 over Joel Dahmen | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Tom Hoge -120 over Chez Reavie | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Patrick Rodgers -120 over Brendon Todd | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Gary Woodland -120 over Matt Kuchar | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Brendan Steele -127 over Denny McCarthy | 1.27 | 1 | 1 | -1.27 | |||
| Tour Championship | Billy Horschel -115 over Brian Harman | 1.15 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| BMW Championship | Shane Lowry +100 over Max Homa | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Sungjae Im -120 over Collin Morikawa | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Emiliano Grillo -110 over Denny McCarthy | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Rory McIlroy -120 over Patrick Cantlay | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| St. Jude | Will Zalatoris -115 over Cameron Young | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| St. Jude | Shane Lowry -120 over Tyrrell Hatton | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| St. Jude | Scottie Scheffler -120 over Justin Thomas | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
|
Wyndham Championship
|
Brian Harman -110 over Denny McCarthy | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Rocket Mortgage | Adam Hadwin +100 over Denny McCarthy | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Open Championship | Tony Finau -125 over Louis Oosthuizen | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Open Championship | Tiger Woods +145 over Bryson DeChambeau | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Travelers | Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | -1.05 | |||
| U.S. Open | Aaron Wise -105 over Cameron Young | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| U.S. Open | Xander Schauffele -110 over Cameron Smith | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| U.S. Open | Daniel Berger -110 over Billy Horschel | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| U.S. Open | Luke List -110 over K.H. Lee | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Memorial | Rickie Fowler -110 over Stewart Cink | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Viktor Hovland -120 over Will Zalatoris | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Tommy Fleetwood -120 over Maverick McNealy | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Webb Simpson -110 over Marc Leishman | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Rory McIlroy -135 over Viktor Hovland | 1.35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Aaron Wise -110 over Jhonatthan Vegas | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Charles Howell III -120 over Nick Taylor | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Si Woo Kim -120 over Christian Bezuidenhout | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Wells Fargo | Cameron Davis -120 over Dylan Frittelli | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Mexico Open | Charles Howell +100 over Brendon Todd | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Mexico Open | Anirban Lahiri -115 over Andrew Putnam | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Mexico Open | Alex Smalley -115 over Greyson Sigg | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Mexico Open | Patrick Rodgers -110 over David Lipsky | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Tommy Fleetwood +100 over Jason Kokrak | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Tom Hoge -120 over Mito Pereira | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Charles Howell III -110 over Mackenzie Hughes | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Erik Van Rooyen -110 over Dylan Frittelli | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Masters | Rory Group Winner +330 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 1.16 | |||
| Masters | Rory McIlroy -120 over Collin Morikawa | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Masters | Cam Young -110 over Luke List | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Masters | Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Bubba Watson | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Valero | Jordan Spieth -102 over Hideki Matsuyama | 1.02 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Valspar | Joel Dahmen -112 over CT Pan | 1.12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Valspar | Jason Kokrak -118 over Gary Woodland | 1.18 | 1 | 1 | -1.18 | |||
| Valspar | Alex Noren -120 over Jason Day | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Valspar | Mito Periera -120 over Francesco Molianri | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Valspar | Pat Perez -120 over Carlos Ortiz | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Players | Daniel Berger -120 over Cameron Smith | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Players | Brendon Todd -115 over Troy Merritt | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| Players | Paul Casey -110 over Gary Woodland | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Players | Russell Henley -110 over Max Homa | 1.10 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| API | Cam Young -120 over Tom Hoge | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| API | Sahith Theegala -110 over Andrew Putnam | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Honda Classic | Sepp Straka -127 over Dylan Frittelli | 1.27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Genesis | Jordan Spieth -105 over Brooks Koepka | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Genesis | Dustin Johnson -125 over Collin Morikawa | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | -1.25 | |||
| Genesis | Rory McIlroy -115 over Collin Morikawa | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| Genesis | Sahith Theegala -120 over Francesco Molinari | 1.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Waste Management | Luke List -115 over Tony Finau | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Farmers Insurance | Talor Gooch -110 over Corey Conners | 1.10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| American Express | K.H. Lee -105 over Michael Thompson | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| American Express | Gary Woodland -115 over Cameron Champ | 1.15 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Sony | Billy Horschel +110 over Seamus Power | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Sony | Si Woo Kim +100 over Seamus Power | 1.00 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Sentry | Patrick Cantlay -108 over Viktor Hovland | 1.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Sentry | Jon Rahm -127 over Viktor Hovland | 1.27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Sentry | Justin Thomas -132 over Viktor Hovland | 1.32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Sentry | Bryson DeChambeau -112 over Collin Morikawa | 1.12 | 1 | 1 | -1.12 | |||
| Sentry | Jordan Spieth -105 over Hideki Matsuyama | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | -1.05 |
2022 In-Tournament Head-to-Head Record (65-37-10)
+24.13 Units Year-To-Date From Premium In-Tournament H2H Bets
|
Tournament
|
H2H Bet
|
Risk Units | W | L | T | TP | Percentage | Profit/Loss |
| 126.93 | 65 | 37 | 10 | 102 | 63.73% | 24.13 | ||
| Presidents Cup | Christiaan Bezuidenhout +100 over Kevin Kisner (R5) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Presidents Cup | Finau/Kisner -115 over Im/Munoz (R4) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| Presidents Cup | Davis/Scott +165 over Spieth/Thomas (R2) | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | -0.8 | |||
| Presidents Cup | Day 1 Winner Team USA -195 (R1) | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | 0.64 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Rickie Fowler -110 over Mackenzie Hughes (R4) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Rickie Fowler -114 over Matthias Schwab (R3) | 1.14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Fortinet Championship | Adam Svensson -105 over Zac Blair (R3) | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Tour Championship | Sungjae Im -115 over Joaquin Niemann (R3) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Tour Championship | Tom Hoge -115 over Sepp Straka (R2) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Tour Championship | Aaron Wise -110 over Sahith Theegala (R1) | 1.44 | 1 | 1 | 1.31 | |||
| BMW Championship | Will Zalatoris -110 over Sam Burns (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Russell Henley -110 over Tyrrell Hatton (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Sungjae Im -110 over Sam Burns (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| BMW Championship | Taylor Pendrith -118 over Marc Leishman (R2) | 1.18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| BMW Championship | Brendan Steele -110 over Matt Kuchar (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| St. Jude | Hayden Buckley -110 over Dylan Frittelli (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| St. Jude | Max Homa -120 over J.T. Poston (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| St. Jude | Scottier Scheffler -115 over Cameron Smith (R1) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| Wyndham | Sungjae Im -125 over Will Zalatoris (R2) | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | -1.25 | |||
| Wyndham | Sungjae Im -115 over Will Zalatoris (R1) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Rocket Mortgage | Sam Ryder -110 over Zach Johnson (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Rocket Mortgage | Cameron Tringale -120 over Kevin Kisner (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Rocket Mortgage | Cameron Tringale -105 over Kevin Kisner (R1) | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3M Open | James Hahn -110 over Danny Willett (R4) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3M Open | Doug Ghim -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3M Open | Tom Hoge -120 over Dylan Frittelli (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3M Open | Emiliano Grillo -110 over Cameron Champ (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3M Open | Tom Hoge +105 over Dylan Frittelli (R1) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.05 | |||
| Scottish | Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Scottish | Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Travelers | Aaron Rai -110 over Maverick McNealy (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Travelers | Aaron Rai -129 over Wyndham Clark (R1) | 1.29 | 1 | 1 | -1.29 | |||
| U.S. Open | Scottie Scheffler -115 over Jon Rahm (R4) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| U.S. Open | Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R2) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| U.S. Open | Talor Gooch -120 over Kevin Na (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| U.S. Open | Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R1) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Emiliano Grillo +115 over Brendon Todd (R4) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Ryan Armour -120 over Matt Wallace (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Tyler Duncan +100 over Robert Streb (R3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Stephan Jaeger -115 over Rasmus Hojgaard (R2) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| RBC Canadian Open | Brice Garnett +100 over Matt Wallace (R2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Memorial | Charles Howell III -120 over Beau Hossler (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Memorial | Corey Conners -+150 over Jon Rahm (R3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Memorial | Marc Leishman -105 over K.H. Lee (R1) | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | -1.05 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Lucas Glover +100 over Denny McCarthy (R4) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Lucas Glover -110 over Nick Taylor (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Sam Burns -105 over Talor Gooch (R2) | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Joel Dahmen -125 over Talor Moore (R2) | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Charles Schwab | Davis Riley -120 over Denny McCarthy (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Kramer Hickok +145 over Francesco Molinari (R4) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |||
| PGA Championship | Louis Oosthuizen +100 over Billy Horschel (R3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Adam Scott -115 over Dylan Frittelli (R4) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Lanto Griffin -110 over Matthias Schwab (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Adam Scott -115 over Davis Riley (R3) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Alex Noren -110 over Christian Bezuidenhout (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.1 | |||
| Byron Nelson | Aaron Wise -125 over Ian Poulter (R2) | 1.25 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Byron Nelson | Sahith Theegala -110 over Taylor Moore (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| Wells Fargo | Kurt Kitayama -120 over Adam Schenk (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.2 | |||
| Wells Fargo | Austin Smotherman -120 over Kevin Chappell (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Wells Fargo | Max Homa -115 over Jason Day (R2) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Wells Fargo | Brian Harman -105 over Troy Merritt (R2) | 1.05 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Wells Fargo | Lucas Glover -120 over Zach Johnson (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.20 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Tom Hoge -120 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| RBC Heritage | Alex Noren -115 over Ian Poulter (R2) | 1.15 | 1 | 1 | -1.15 | |||
| RBC Heritage | J.J. Spaun -110 over Luke List (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Masters | Tony Finau -110 over Sergio Garcia (R4) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.10 | |||
| Masters | Robert McIntyre -125 over Lee Westwood (R3) | 1.25 | 1 | 1 | -1.25 | |||
| Masters | Harry Higgs -105 over Hudson Swafford (R3) | 1.05 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Masters | Tyrrell Hatton +140 over Jon Rahm (R3) | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.00 | |||
| Masters | Rory McIlroy -120 over Brooks Koepka (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Masters | Tyrrell Hatton -120 over Billy Horschel (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.20 | |||
| Masters | Patrick Reed -120 over Lee Westwood (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Masters | Dustin Johnson -120 over Collin Morikawa (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Valspar | Adam Svensson -115 over Grayson Sigg (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Valspar | Sahith Theegala -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Valspar | Stewart Cink -110 over Brice Garnett (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Valspar | Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.05 | |||
| Valspar | Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Valspar | Brian Harman -110 over Bernd Wiesberger (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| API | Adam Schenk -125 over Stephan Jaeger (R3) | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | -1.25 | |||
| API | Maverick McNealy -110 over Tommy Fleetwood (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.10 | |||
| API | Cam Young -120 over Taylor Pendrith (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| API | Gary Woodland -110 over K.H. Lee (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| API | Ian Poulter -120 over Andrew Putnam (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Honda Classic | Nick Taylor -120 over Kevin Tway (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Honda Classic | Sepp Straka -115 over Vincent Whaley (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Genesis | Rickie Fowler -115 over Harry Higgs (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Genesis | Carlos Ortiz -115 over Francesco Molinari (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Genesis | Adam Hadwin -120 over Scott Stallings (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.20 | |||
| Genesis | Paul Casey -110 over Abraham Ancer (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Genesis | Russell Henley -110 over Corey Conners (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Waste Management | Luke List -120 over Francesco Molinari (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -1.20 | |||
| Waste Management | Max Homa -115 over Kevin Kisner (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Waste Management | Brooks Koepka -120 over Gary Woodland (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Waste Management | Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 over Aaron Wise (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Pebble Beach | Russell Knox -115 over Brendon Todd (R2) | 1.2 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Pebble Beach | Jason Day -110 over Matthew Fitzpatrick (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Farmers Insurance | Joaquin Niemann -110 over Billy Horschel (R3) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.10 | |||
| Farmers Insurance | Matt Jones -110 over Hudson Swafford (R1) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | -1.10 | |||
| Sony | Keegan Bradley -120 over Hayden Buckley (R4) | 1.2 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Sony | Adam Svensson +165 over Seamus Power (R4) | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | -0.80 | |||
| Sony | Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sony | Corey Conners -125 over Seamus Power (R2) | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sony | Keegan Bradley -110 over Harry Higgs (R2) | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sony | Michael Thompson +112 over Erik Van Rooyen (R1) | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.12 | |||
| Sony | Keegan Bradley -115 over Harry Higgs (R1) | 1.0 | 1 | 0.00 | ||||
| Sentry | Abraham Ancer -145 over Branden Grace (R4) | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | -1.45 | |||
| Sentry | Sungjae Im -115 over Hideki Matsuyama (R3) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sentry | Marc Leishman -130 over Lucas Herbert (R2) | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sentry | Lucas Herbert -115 over Matt Jones (R1) | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sentry | Patrick Cantlay -135 over Harris English (R1) | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | |||
| Sentry | Brooks Koepka +125 over Viktor Hovland (R1) | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.25 |
2022 Bets That Have Finished Inside The Top-10
| Player | Event | Odds | Finish Position |
| Sam Burns | Charles Schwab | 90 | 1 |
| Joaquin Niemann | Genesis Invitational | 75 | 1 |
| Scottie Scheffler | Waste Management | 30 | 1 |
| Will Zalatoris | St. Jude | 28 | 1 |
| Viktor Hovland | Arnold Palmer | 18 | 2 |
| Rory McIlroy | Masters | 22 | 2 |
| Tony Finau | Mexico Open | 25 | 2 |
| Jordan Spieth | Pebble Beach | 22 | 2 |
| Matt Jones | Valero | 130 | 2 |
| Tony Finau | RBC Canadian Open | 30 | 2 |
| Sungjae Im | 3M Open | 25 | 2 |
| Sungjae Im | Tour Championship | 22 | 2 |
| Jason Day | Farmers Insurance | 110 | 3 |
| Corey Conners | Match Play | Rollover | 3 |
| Cam Davis | RBC Heritage | 180 | 3 |
| Xander Schauffele | Waste Management | 16 | 3 |
| Joaquin Niemann | Memorial | 75 | 3 |
| Scottie Scheffler | BMW Championship | 18 | 3 |
| Daniel Berger | Honda Classic | 16 | 4 |
| Troy Merritt | Valero | 100 | 4 |
| Tom Hoge | 3M Open | 80 | 4 |
| Justin Thomas | Byron Nelson | 14 | 5 |
| Ryan Palmer | Byron Nelson | 120 | 5 |
| Brooks Koepka | Match Play | Rollover | 5 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | PGA Championship | 50 | 5 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | PGA Championship | 110 | 5 |
| Daniel Berger | Memorial | 60 | 5 |
| Russell Henley | Wyndham | 22 | 5 |
| Corey Conners | BMW Championship | 50 | 5 |
| Justin Thomas | Genesis Invitational | 16 | 6 |
| Alex Smalley | Mexico Open | 90 | 6 |
| Billy Horschel | Waste Management | 66 | 6 |
| Dustin Johnson | Open | 40 | 6 |
| Aaron Wise | Tour Championship | 45 | 6 |
| Kevin Na | Charles Schwab | 60 | 7 |
| Chris Kirk | Honda Classic | 70 | 7 |
| Callum Tarren | 3M Open | 130 | 7 |
| Rory McIlroy | PGA Championship | 18 | 8 |
| Patrick Cantlay | Open | 33 | 8 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | Wyndham | 60 | 8 |
| Jon Rahm | BMW Championship | 14 | 8 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | Match Play | Rollover | 9 |
| Brian Harman | Wells Fargo | 75 | 9 |
| J.T. Poston | Tour Championship | 90 | 9 |
| Erik Van Rooyen | RBC Heritage | 110 | 10 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | RBC Heritage | 55 | 10 |
| Keith Mitchell | Waste Management | 110 | 10 |
| Sungjae Im | Memorial | 40 | 10 |
Yearly Record
2017 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (10-2-2) +8.03 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Dustin Johnson Genesis Open (10/1)
Sergio Garcia Masters (50/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open (45/1)
Justin Thomas PGA Championship (35/1)
Dustin Johnson Northern Trust (14/1)
Overall Units Won (+54.26) 194.24% ROI
2018 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (37-18-2) +26.64 Units
Outright Winners (6)
Phil Mickelson WGC-Mexico (22/1)
Bubba Watson WGC- Match Play (45/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open In-Play Wager (14/1)
Dustin Johnson RBC Canadian Open (7/1)
Justin Thomas WGC-Bridgestone (30/1)
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic (66/1)
Overall Units Won (+55.88) 51.70% ROI
2019 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (16-8-2) +8.48 Units
Outright Winners (4)
Corey Conners Valero Texas Open (200/1)
Rory McIlroy RBC Canadian Open (10/1)
Brooks Koepka WGC- St. Jude Classic (12/1)
Rory McIlroy Tour Championship (8/1)
Overall Units Won (+27.743) 40.70% ROI
2020 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (13-14-2) -1.46 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Bryson DeChambeau U.S. Open (33/1)
Dustin Johnson Travelers Championship (30/1)
Sungjae Im Honda Classic (35/1)
Patrick Reed WGC-Mexico (50/1)
Cameron Smith Sony Open (55/1)
Overall Units Won (+37.015) 20.21% ROI
2021 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (17-13-1) +1.97 Units
Outright Winners (10)
Daniel Berger Pebble Beach (18/1)
Max Homa Genesis Invitational (66/1)
Justin Thomas Players Championship (22/1)
Billy Horschel Match Play (150/1)
Cameron Davis Rocket Mortgage (150/1)
Seamus Power Barbasol Championship (20/1)
Kevin Kisner Wyndham Championship (40/1)
Tony Finau Northern Trust (60/1)
Patrick Cantlay BMW Championship (25/1)
Rory McIlroy CJ Cup (20/1)
Overall Units Won (+68.846) 14.22% ROI
Career Record (Excluding 2022 Season Results)
Top Head-to-Head Bets (93-55-9) +43.66 Units
Other Head-to-Head Bets (81-88-9) -4.82 Units
In-Tournament Head-to-Head Bets (125-82-22) +26.27 Units
Outright Winners (30)
Top 5s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 16
2019 - 26
2020 - 19
2021 - 32
Top 10s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 31
2019 - 41
2020 - 41
2021 - 60
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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
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