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Round 4 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship

Hello beautiful people, we are finally back to our regularly scheduled program after a multiweek hiatus with vacations and the weirdness of last week's tournament schedule. The start of the FedEx Cup Playoffs is a round away from completion as Hideki Matsuyama commands a strong five-shot lead going into Sunday's final round.

Approach play has been king at TPC Southwind, as everyone in the top five is inside the top 10 in strokes gained on approach. Conditions could not have been more perfect this week, and with much of the same slated for tomorrow's round, catching Matsuyama is a definite possibility, especially if he doesn't keep the hammer down as he has over the first three days.

Showdown, unlike typical golf DFS that spans the entire tournament, is a contest that focuses on each round as an individual event. Finding guys performing well on approach is king, but, roster decisions that give you ownership leverage from taking riskier players on the board that haven't played their best but present a high likelihood of a bounce-back round is also important. In other words, this is a sprint, not a marathon.

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Weather, Course Conditions, and Tee Times

Given the time of year and location, players couldn't ask for better weather to create some momentum for a deep playoff run or to better their seeding position for the Tour Championship in a few weeks. It's interesting to note that the lowest score in two of the three days came from the early morning start times, which may be something to keep in mind as we go along.

 

Round 4 Strategy

The mindset to have for final-round showdowns is not to pull any punches. Taking guys who have a knack for hammering down the gas pedal on Sunday and have at least shown flashes of form over the first three rounds is a great starting point. Remember that ownership levels will continuously drop the closer you get to the morning's first tee time, so finding the guys who will bounce back is paramount to winning big.

 

$10,000+

Favorite Play: Xander Schauffele had a sluggish second round, which axed his chance to win tomorrow. However, he has turned in modest scores of 66 and 67 in rounds one and three that have both ranked inside the top 15 in strokes gained on approach (R1: +0.99 | R3: +1.74) and top 10 in strokes gained tee to green (R1: +2.08 | R3: +2.93).

Other Options: If anyone can chase down the lead, it's Scottie Scheffler.

 

$9,000+

Favorite Play: Tommy Fleetwood has shown up to Memphis with the same level of ball striking he displayed at his silver medal performance in France a couple of weeks ago, however, the putting has not. He's currently the 3rd ranked player in the field in strokes gained on approach (+1.74) with complimentary play off the tee and around the green. In 32nd place on the FedEx Cup points list, he still has some ground to make up if he wants to play at East Lake and is in prime position to do that here.

Other Options: Russell Henley, Aaron Rai

 

$8,000+

Favorite Play: Corey Conners may seem like a reach given that he's struggled to get much going in any round so far this week, but, given his iron play prowess, the 20th-ranked player in fourth-round scoring average (68.95) is one to watch tomorrow if he can manage to keep a double bogey off the card--something he hasn't done yet through three rounds.

His strengths haven't been up to his normal standard, though a horrendous second round is mostly to blame. The good news is that he has historically performed better on the greens at TPC Southwind than most other tour stops, and he has the talent to reel in the ball striking at a moment's notice.

Other Options: Tony Finau, Billy Horschel

 

$7,000+

Favorite Play: It's hard to argue with how well Will Zalatoris plays TPC Southwind. A tie for eighth in 2021 followed by a win the next year is big-time stuff for a guy to lean into while trying to get back to some level of form over the last 16 injury-plagued months. He sits in a tie for sixth with a solid chance to secure quality starts for next season with a solid final round.

He hasn't done anything spectacular this week, but his consistency all-around has put him in the seventh place ranking for strokes gained tee to green (+1.63). Hopefully, the +1.54 strokes gained on approach during Saturday's round is also a sign of even more positive things to come for the 28-year-old.

Other Options: Alex Noren, Davis Thompson, Robert Macintyre

 

$6,000+

Favorite Play: Brendon Todd has made plenty of birdies this week (16), almost as much as anyone in the field through three rounds. The problem is there have been too many mistakes on the other holes, leaving him fighting to stay inside the top 20 on the leaderboard. However, tomorrow's final round is do or die for the 39-year-old if he plans on extending his season.

He currently ranks as the eighth-best player in the field in strokes gained putting (+0.98) and 14th in strokes gained on approach (+0.63). Holding the 66th spot in the FedEx Cup points race, Todd may not be anywhere close enough to challenge the leaders, but he undoubtedly still has a lot to play for.

Other Options: Jhonattan Vegas, Harris English

Showdown Optimizer

The optimizer works nicely with the projected ownership from the model. If you are unsure how to work it, at the top of the "PGA Lineup Optimizer" page, there is a video on how to get my projected ownership and/or projected points into your optimizer.

Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor.

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Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Demarcus Robinson

Sentenced to Three Years of Probation
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
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