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PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1)

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1). The PGA Tour season is already back for its 2024 campaign, and to celebrate, PrizePicks has an extensive selection of PGA props to take advantage of! PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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This week, we're at Silverado Resort and Spa for the 2023 Fortinet Championship! This pristine venue in the heart of Napa Valley has hosted this Championship since 2014, and in that time, we've seen winners ranging from 14-1 to 200-1 on the closing line. With the last few coveted spots in 2024's Signature Events on the line, the 2023 Fall Swing carries even more weight than in a traditional year. I'd expect plenty of big-time names making appearances we'd never have expected in years past. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, September 14.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

 

Max Homa LESS than 69.0 Strokes

2023 has been a life-changing year for Max Homa, as the UC Berkeley alum reached a career-high World Ranking of 6th, captured a landmark win at Torrey Pines, and earned his first-ever invitation onto the U.S. Ryder Cup team. His ascent to the top of the golfing world has been remarkably swift, but you cannot discount the part that Silverado has played in his expeditious rise.

Homa himself credited this tournament in 2021 as a landmark moment in his attitude shift, as for the first time, he felt whole-heartedly as though he was the man to beat on Sunday in contention. He closed the deal on the day, and proceeded to defend his title in dramatic fashion the very next year - chipping in from off the green on the 72nd hole to edge out Danny Willett.

It should come as no surprise that Homa comes into this week as the odds-on favorite to complete the three-peat, and statistically, there aren't a lot of holes to poke in Max's game at the moment. Homa ranks inside the top 10 in virtually every key category (Total Driving, Wedge Proximity, Par 5 Scoring, Birdie or Better Percentage, Poa Annua Putting), and enters the new season on the back of four consecutive Top 10's dating back to the Open Championship. The California kid has surpassed this line of 69.0 in six of his last eight competitive rounds in Napa Valley, and there's nothing in the numbers to indicate those trends are in danger of ending this week.

 

Sahith Theegala LESS than 69,5 Strokes

I've historically been behind the market when it comes to Sahith Theegala, but if there were ever a venue I'd back the Pepperdine alum to break through on the PGA Tour, it'd be right here at Silverado. Theegala has historically been let down by his inefficiencies off the tee, but luckily for him, there isn't another venue on Tour where missing the fairway provides such little consequence.

Silverado features a Missed Fairway Penalty comparable to that of Augusta National or TPC Craig Ranch, and concedes the fourth-most birdies from drives out of the rough. With Theegala's biggest weakness mitigated, I expect the rest of his game to shine though. Sahith is already one of the Tour's most prolific birdie-makers despite his wayward driver, and he's proven to be sizably more dangerous on Silverado's tricky Poa Annua complexes.

In fact, two of the seven best-putting performances of Theegala's career have come right here in Napa Valley (+7.9 in 2020, +4.7 in 2022), and since 2020, only 11 players in this field have gained more strokes on a per-round basis on Poa Annua greens. Couple this history with the momentum he carries in off of back-to-back Top 15's in last month's playoffs, and I'd be very surprised if Sahith isn't right there in the running for his first ever PGA Title this weekend.

 

Other Recommendations

  • Akshay Bhatia LESS than 70.5 Strokes
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout MORE than 70.5 Strokes
  • Chez Reavie LESS than 70.5 Strokes

 

Overall recommendation for this play: Power Play

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Byron Buxton

Twins Not Planning to Trade Joe Ryan, Byron Buxton
Patrick Williams

Dalen Terry Available Versus Pacers
Coby White

Returns With Minutes Restriction Friday
Ayo Dosunmu

Out Friday Against Pacers
Zach Collins

Available for Season Debut Friday
Robert Williams III

Donovan Clingan Out, Robert Williams III in for Portland Friday
Evan Mobley

Ready to Play Friday
Kristaps Porzingis

Coming Off the Bench Friday
Spencer Jones

Available Against Hawks
OG Anunoby

Returns to Knicks LIneup Friday
Tre Mann

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Available Friday
LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Available
Brandon Miller

Returns to Action Friday
Steven Adams

Alperen Sengun Out Friday, Steven Adams Starting
Ozzy Wiesblatt

to Miss 8-10 Weeks With Upper-Body Injury
Jalen Johnson

Returning To Atlanta's Lineup On Friday
Pierre-Olivier Joseph

Out With Illness Friday
Evander Kane

Doubtful for Friday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Questionable For Friday Night
Conor Garland

Back From Two-Game Absence Friday
Tyler Herro

Sitting Out Of Friday's Game
Thomas Harley

Could Be an Option Next Week
Daniel Gafford

Out For Friday Night's Game
Mikael Granlund

Returning From 10-Game Absence Friday
P.J. Washington

Won't Suit Up Friday Night
John Carlson

Misses Second Consecutive Game Friday
Rome Odunze

has Fractured Foot, Labeled Week-to-Week
Brandon Miller

Trending Toward A Return To The Court
Paul George

Avoids Injury Report On Friday
Sauce Gardner

Ruled Out for Sunday
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Aaron Jones Sr.

Cleared to Play in Week 14
Chris Olave

Listed as Questionable for Week 14
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out for Sunday
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 14
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Drake London

Ruled Out vs Seattle
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Lamar Jackson

Will Play on Sunday
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
CFB

Emmett Johnson Leaving Nebraska for 2026 NFL Draft
Dalton Kincaid

to be Questionable for Week 14
Tee Higgins

Clears Concussion Protocol, is a Full-Go for Sunday
CFB

Jam Miller Unlikely to Play in SEC Title Game
CFB

Penn State Expected to Hire Matt Campbell from Iowa State
Mike Evans

Not Quite Ready to Return This Week
Jayden Daniels

Will Start Against Vikings
Lamar Jackson

Returns to Practice, on Track to Play on Sunday
Kyler Murray

Won't Return This Year, Cardinals Non-Committal on his Future
Trey Benson

Out in Week 14; Could he Miss the Rest of the Season?
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
CeeDee Lamb

in the League's Concussion Protocol
Brian Branch

Out with Torn Achilles
Detroit Lions

Brian Branch Feared to Have Suffered an Achilles Injury
CFB

Arkansas Targeting Ron Roberts for Defensive Coordinator Job
Jayden Daniels

Tracking Towards a Week 14 Return
Justin Herbert

Trending in the Right Direction to Play Monday Night
Mathew Barzal

Leads Islanders Past Avalanche
Elias Lindholm

Posts Hat Trick of Assists Thursday
Leon Draisaitl

Notches Season-High Four Points in Thursday's Win
Connor McDavid

Nets 13th Career Hat Trick
Teuvo Teravainen

Expected to Be Fine After Thursday's Exit
Shane Pinto

Exits Loss With Injury
Joseph Woll

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Thursday
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
Kirill Marchenko

Returns From Four-Game Absence
Carter Verhaeghe

Ready to Return Thursday
Scott Wedgewood

Skips Thursday's Game
Danila Yurov

Misses Second Straight Game
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Unavailable Thursday
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
David Pastrnak

Still Out Thursday
Ryan McDonagh

Lightning Sign Ryan McDonagh to Three-Year Extension
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job

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