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PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1)

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1). The PGA Tour season is already back for its 2024 campaign, and to celebrate, PrizePicks has an extensive selection of PGA props to take advantage of! PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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This week, we're at Silverado Resort and Spa for the 2023 Fortinet Championship! This pristine venue in the heart of Napa Valley has hosted this Championship since 2014, and in that time, we've seen winners ranging from 14-1 to 200-1 on the closing line. With the last few coveted spots in 2024's Signature Events on the line, the 2023 Fall Swing carries even more weight than in a traditional year. I'd expect plenty of big-time names making appearances we'd never have expected in years past. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, September 14.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

 

Max Homa LESS than 69.0 Strokes

2023 has been a life-changing year for Max Homa, as the UC Berkeley alum reached a career-high World Ranking of 6th, captured a landmark win at Torrey Pines, and earned his first-ever invitation onto the U.S. Ryder Cup team. His ascent to the top of the golfing world has been remarkably swift, but you cannot discount the part that Silverado has played in his expeditious rise.

Homa himself credited this tournament in 2021 as a landmark moment in his attitude shift, as for the first time, he felt whole-heartedly as though he was the man to beat on Sunday in contention. He closed the deal on the day, and proceeded to defend his title in dramatic fashion the very next year - chipping in from off the green on the 72nd hole to edge out Danny Willett.

It should come as no surprise that Homa comes into this week as the odds-on favorite to complete the three-peat, and statistically, there aren't a lot of holes to poke in Max's game at the moment. Homa ranks inside the top 10 in virtually every key category (Total Driving, Wedge Proximity, Par 5 Scoring, Birdie or Better Percentage, Poa Annua Putting), and enters the new season on the back of four consecutive Top 10's dating back to the Open Championship. The California kid has surpassed this line of 69.0 in six of his last eight competitive rounds in Napa Valley, and there's nothing in the numbers to indicate those trends are in danger of ending this week.

 

Sahith Theegala LESS than 69,5 Strokes

I've historically been behind the market when it comes to Sahith Theegala, but if there were ever a venue I'd back the Pepperdine alum to break through on the PGA Tour, it'd be right here at Silverado. Theegala has historically been let down by his inefficiencies off the tee, but luckily for him, there isn't another venue on Tour where missing the fairway provides such little consequence.

Silverado features a Missed Fairway Penalty comparable to that of Augusta National or TPC Craig Ranch, and concedes the fourth-most birdies from drives out of the rough. With Theegala's biggest weakness mitigated, I expect the rest of his game to shine though. Sahith is already one of the Tour's most prolific birdie-makers despite his wayward driver, and he's proven to be sizably more dangerous on Silverado's tricky Poa Annua complexes.

In fact, two of the seven best-putting performances of Theegala's career have come right here in Napa Valley (+7.9 in 2020, +4.7 in 2022), and since 2020, only 11 players in this field have gained more strokes on a per-round basis on Poa Annua greens. Couple this history with the momentum he carries in off of back-to-back Top 15's in last month's playoffs, and I'd be very surprised if Sahith isn't right there in the running for his first ever PGA Title this weekend.

 

Other Recommendations

  • Akshay Bhatia LESS than 70.5 Strokes
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout MORE than 70.5 Strokes
  • Chez Reavie LESS than 70.5 Strokes

 

Overall recommendation for this play: Power Play

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Zion Williamson

Considered Questionable for Wednesday
Bam Adebayo

Could Return to Action Wednesday
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Jalen Brunson

Questionable for Wednesday
Jerami Grant

Picks Up Late Questionable Tag
Kyle Anderson

Cleared for Action Against the Lakers
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out Tuesday
Taylor Hendricks

Returning on Tuesday
Kyle Filipowski

Won't Suit Up Versus the Lakers
LeBron James

Will Play on Tuesday Night
Luke Clanton

Looking For a Solid Finish in Year's Final Event
Daniel Berger

Making Start in Season Finale at This Week's RSM Classic
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Keegan Murray

Expected to Make Season Debut Thursday
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
Alexandre Sarr

Uncertain for Wednesday's Game in Minnesota
Ausar Thompson

Returning Versus Atlanta
Cade Cunningham

Active on Tuesday Night
Jabari Smith Jr.

Questionable with Knee Issue Ahead of Meeting Versus Cleveland
Domantas Sabonis

to Miss Wednesday's Game
Paul George

Won't Play Wednesday Night
Onyeka Okongwu

Available on Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Listed as Doubtful for Wednesday
Jalen Suggs

Available Tuesday
Zaccharie Risacher

Ruled Out With Hip Contusion vs. Pistons
Odell Beckham Jr.

Officially Reinstated by NFL Commissioner
Kristaps Porzingis

Ruled Out on Tuesday Night
Matt Murray

to Miss Six Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
Ilya Lyubushkin

Out on Tuesday
Jamie Benn

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Evgenii Dadonov

on Track to Return Tuesday
Dougie Hamilton

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Anthony Cirelli

Expected to Return Against Devils
Victor Hedman

Questionable for Tuesday
Auston Matthews

to Miss at Least Two More Games
C.J. Stroud

Expected to Return in Week 13 Against Colts
C.J. Stroud

to Miss Another Game
Joe Mixon

Uncertainty Remains Around Joe Mixon's Return Timeline
Jaylen Warren

Mike Tomlin Optimistic About Jaylen Warren's Availability for Week 12
C.J. Stroud

Not Expected to Play on Thursday Night
Aaron Rodgers

Won't Need Surgery on Fractured Wrist, Could Play in Week 12?
Davis Mills

Prepping for Third Straight Start in Week 12?
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Mason Rudolph

Could Make His First Start of 2025 in Week 12
Brock Wright

Sets Career-High in Targets; Lined Up for More Work?
Kimani Vidal

Struggles Again and Faces Role Uncertainty After Bye
Dak Prescott

in Full Command Monday Night With Four Touchdown Passes
Quentin Johnston

Posts Zero Catches During Offensive Collapse
George Pickens

Erupts for 144 Yards, Touchdown in Monday Night Win
CeeDee Lamb

George Pickens Benched for First Drive
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Alex Singleton

Broncos Optimistic Patrick Surtain, Alex Singleton Will Return After the Bye
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful Again in Week 12
Shedeur Sanders

Expected to Make First Career Start in Week 12
Josh Jacobs

Dealing With Knee Contusion
Mikael Granlund

Unavailable Monday
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?
Conor Garland

Misses Monday's Game
Eetu Luostarinen

Out on Monday
Drake London

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Drew Doughty

Listed as Week-to-Week
Ja'Marr Chase

Being Suspended for One Game for Unsportsmanlike Conduct
John Carlson

a Game-Time Call Monday
Viktor Arvidsson

Out Week-to-Week
Charlie McAvoy

Out Against Hurricanes
CFB

James Franklin to be Virginia Tech's Next Head Coach
CFB

Fernando Mendoza the Clear Heisman Trophy Favorite?
CFB

Beau Pribula Has Chance to Face Oklahoma on Saturday
Mitchell Marner

Establishes Vegas Record Sunday
Mats Zuccarello

Logs Two Assists in Overtime Victory
Lucas Raymond

Leads Red Wings to Victory at MSG
Quinn Hughes

Delivers Four Assists in Sunday's Win
Conor Garland

Limited to Handful of Minutes Sunday
Ryan Hartman

Suffers Lower-Body Injury
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Michael Morales

Remains Unbeaten
Leon Edwards

Suffers Second-Round Knockout Loss
Leon Edwards

Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
Beneil Dariush

Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
Beneil Dariush

Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
Josh Naylor

Mariners Finalizing Five-Year Contract
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
CFB

Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

Named AL Reliever of the Year
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever of the Year
Justin Thomas

Will Miss Start Of 2026 After Undergoing Back Surgery
Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set To Open Up UFC 322 Main Card
Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Says There's a "50-50" Chance he Returns to Mets
Shohei Ohtani

Wins his Fourth MVP Award
Aaron Judge

Wins AL MVP Award Again
Raisel Iglesias

Dodgers Interested in Signing Raisel Iglesias
Pete Alonso

Orioles Could be in the Mix to Sign Pete Alonso

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