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PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1)

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the Fortinet Championship (Round 1). The PGA Tour season is already back for its 2024 campaign, and to celebrate, PrizePicks has an extensive selection of PGA props to take advantage of! PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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This week, we're at Silverado Resort and Spa for the 2023 Fortinet Championship! This pristine venue in the heart of Napa Valley has hosted this Championship since 2014, and in that time, we've seen winners ranging from 14-1 to 200-1 on the closing line. With the last few coveted spots in 2024's Signature Events on the line, the 2023 Fall Swing carries even more weight than in a traditional year. I'd expect plenty of big-time names making appearances we'd never have expected in years past. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, September 14.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

 

Max Homa LESS than 69.0 Strokes

2023 has been a life-changing year for Max Homa, as the UC Berkeley alum reached a career-high World Ranking of 6th, captured a landmark win at Torrey Pines, and earned his first-ever invitation onto the U.S. Ryder Cup team. His ascent to the top of the golfing world has been remarkably swift, but you cannot discount the part that Silverado has played in his expeditious rise.

Homa himself credited this tournament in 2021 as a landmark moment in his attitude shift, as for the first time, he felt whole-heartedly as though he was the man to beat on Sunday in contention. He closed the deal on the day, and proceeded to defend his title in dramatic fashion the very next year - chipping in from off the green on the 72nd hole to edge out Danny Willett.

It should come as no surprise that Homa comes into this week as the odds-on favorite to complete the three-peat, and statistically, there aren't a lot of holes to poke in Max's game at the moment. Homa ranks inside the top 10 in virtually every key category (Total Driving, Wedge Proximity, Par 5 Scoring, Birdie or Better Percentage, Poa Annua Putting), and enters the new season on the back of four consecutive Top 10's dating back to the Open Championship. The California kid has surpassed this line of 69.0 in six of his last eight competitive rounds in Napa Valley, and there's nothing in the numbers to indicate those trends are in danger of ending this week.

 

Sahith Theegala LESS than 69,5 Strokes

I've historically been behind the market when it comes to Sahith Theegala, but if there were ever a venue I'd back the Pepperdine alum to break through on the PGA Tour, it'd be right here at Silverado. Theegala has historically been let down by his inefficiencies off the tee, but luckily for him, there isn't another venue on Tour where missing the fairway provides such little consequence.

Silverado features a Missed Fairway Penalty comparable to that of Augusta National or TPC Craig Ranch, and concedes the fourth-most birdies from drives out of the rough. With Theegala's biggest weakness mitigated, I expect the rest of his game to shine though. Sahith is already one of the Tour's most prolific birdie-makers despite his wayward driver, and he's proven to be sizably more dangerous on Silverado's tricky Poa Annua complexes.

In fact, two of the seven best-putting performances of Theegala's career have come right here in Napa Valley (+7.9 in 2020, +4.7 in 2022), and since 2020, only 11 players in this field have gained more strokes on a per-round basis on Poa Annua greens. Couple this history with the momentum he carries in off of back-to-back Top 15's in last month's playoffs, and I'd be very surprised if Sahith isn't right there in the running for his first ever PGA Title this weekend.

 

Other Recommendations

  • Akshay Bhatia LESS than 70.5 Strokes
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout MORE than 70.5 Strokes
  • Chez Reavie LESS than 70.5 Strokes

 

Overall recommendation for this play: Power Play

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John Konchar

Will Undergo Thumb Surgery
Zach Edey

Out at Least Four Weeks
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Mike Evans

Expected to Play Thursday, But Only on Key Downs?
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
Josh Jacobs

Calling Himself Day-to-Day
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Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CeeDee Lamb

on Track to Play on Sunday Night
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Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
T.J. Watt

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Trey Hendrickson

Moved to Injured Reserve
Josh Jacobs

Likely to Miss a Second Straight Practice
De'Von Achane

to Start the Week as Limited in Practice
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Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody
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Joe Klanderman Joining Baylor Coaching Staff
Alex DeBrincat

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Dylan Guenther

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Kentucky Hiring Jay Bateman as Next Defensive Coordinator
Sam Bennett

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Vince Dunn

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Spencer Knight

Stops Rangers From Scoring Wednesday
Simon Edvinsson

Makes Early Exit Wednesday
Jared McCann

Injured in Wednesday's Win
Donovan Clingan

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Jrue Holiday

Still Out Thursday
AJ Green

Iffy for Thursday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Likely to Remain Out Thursday
Zach LaVine

Out Thursday With Thumb Injury
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Back From Two-Game Absence Thursday
Stephen Curry

on Track to Return Friday
Si Woo Kim

Closes 2025 With Strong Finish Among Putting Woes
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Robert MacIntyre

Closes Out a Steady 2025 Campaign
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Chip Kelly Interviews for Georgia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
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Louisville Receiver Chris Bell has a Torn ACL
Davante Adams

in Good Spot for Week 15 Despite Hamstring Soreness
Devin Booker

Won't Play Against OKC
Jordan Poole

Considered Questionable for Thursday
Maxi Kleber

Sidelined for Wednesday's Matchup With Spurs
Dakota Mermis

to Miss a Month
Jake Evans

to Miss Thursday's Matchup
Elias Pettersson

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
Nick Bjugstad

to Miss at Least Three Games
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Connor Hellebuyck

Returns to Practice
Pelle Larsson

Sidelined at Least One Week
John Carlson

Could Return Thursday
Andrei Kuzmenko

Sits as Healthy Scratch Wednesday
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
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Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
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Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
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Turns Back the Clock in 2025
Mike Evans

Officially Questionable for Thursday Night Game
Geno Smith

Unlikely to Play in Week 15
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"Good to Go" for Week 15
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Practice Window Still Hasn't Opened
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Out on Wednesday With Knee Soreness
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Jayden Daniels

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Cade Otton

Considered Doubtful for Thursday Night
Trey Benson

Will Not Be Activated in Week 15, Will Not Return in 2025
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Injured Tuesday
Frank Vatrano

Makes Early Exit Against Penguins
Colten Ellis

Enters Concussion Protocol
Scott Wedgewood

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Victor Hedman

Suffers New Injury Blow
Bobby McMann

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Jordan McLaughlin

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Maxi Kleber

Questionable Wednesday
Marcus Smart

Ready to Face Spurs Wednesday
Luguentz Dort

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Alex Caruso

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

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Bo Bichette

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Jason Zucker

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Ronald Acuña Jr.

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Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
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Kyle Schwarber

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Ranger Suárez

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Gerrit Cole

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Anthony Hill Jr. Declaring for 2026 NFL Draft
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