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Doug's best MLB player prop bets for today (5/19/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery, and others!
I love writing for Tuesday slates because we almost always get all 30 teams to pick and choose from. There are several strong starters on the docket tonight, but there are also so many pitchers playing poorly that we can pick on. We have games in Arizona, Colorado, Anaheim, and Philadelphia, all of which are good parks for bats.
One bat that almost found its way into the article, and is still worth a wager, is Samuel Basallo of Baltimore. He is currently riding a 10-game hitting streak, eight of which have also seen him score a run. I’m throwing a small bet on him for a longball, and a slightly larger bet on him to go over 1.5 H/R/RBI; ride that streak!
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (5/19/2026)
Munetaka Murakami OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+300 DraftKings)
I pride myself on being the King of Value (Drew Romo is in a great spot for a home run tonight), but sometimes it’s fun to take the gift looking you in the face rather than trying to look like the smartest guy in the room (serious, Romo is a tasty bat even if you’re just looking at an RBI or H/R/RBI bet).
Munetaka Murakami is the second-leading home run hitter in the majors, and he’s been brutalizing right-handed pitchers all season long.
In 141 plate appearances, he has a .586 SLG, a .345 ISO, and 13 home runs; one home run every 10.8 at-bats. More impressively, he’s been incredible on the road, blasting a home run once every 8.1 at-bats and producing a .654 SLG.
Luis Castillo has looked nowhere near the top-of-the-line pitcher he’s been in the past, posting a 6.34 ERA with seven home runs allowed, all in his prior seven starts. He’s allowed three or more earned runs in five of those seven starts, giving up nearly as many fly balls as ground balls.
Castillo has been particularly awful against left-handed batters, surrendering a .543 SLG and a 46.6% Hard%, the second-highest number on the slate against lefty bats.
Colson Montgomery OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+370 DraftKings)
On that note, let’s do something I never do and go for a double dip (triple dip if Romo starts at catcher) with Colson Montgomery. As good as Murakami has been this year, Montgomery is currently the hotter bat. He’s hit three home runs over his past four games, posting a .438 AVG in 16 at-bats.
This isn’t a new phenomenon for Montgomery, as he’s hit 13 home runs this year, showing the kind of power that made him a top prospect for the White Sox prior to this season. Much like Murakami, Montgomery has been outstanding against right-handed pitching this year.
Colson Montgomery goes deep!
It's all @WhiteSox so far 👀 pic.twitter.com/EuFDh8K38H
— MLB (@MLB) May 16, 2026
His power numbers are behind only Murakami on the team, with a .530 SLG, a .287 ISO, and a home run every 14.7 at-bats. Seattle is playing more hitter-friendly in 2026, ranking as the 11th best park for home runs after being 19th over the prior three seasons. If you want to hedge this bet, parlay both Murakami and Montgomery for O1.5 H/R/RBI.
