5 years agoWillie Calhoun took a step forward in 2019, but his production at the new Globe Life Field may disappoint. In 2019, his .524 SLG at one of baseball’s best parks for hitters was backed by just a .452 xSLG. That spells trouble for Calhoun’s ability to repeat a 40-home run pace, as 21 home runs in 83 games was. Given how much better his results were than his contact in 2019—he also only barreled up 16 baseballs, which should produce closer to 11 home runs than 21—even 30 homers could be difficult. Another issue is that if the Rangers decide to close their roof on hot days, balls will carry less than they did last year. The home run outlook is especially important because Calhoun offers nothing in stolen bases, little in batting average (even with 2019's improvement, he’s a .258 career hitter with a .251 xBA), and doesn’t have a great lineup around him as the Rangers put together a team wRC+ of just 88 last year. Some good news is that the trade of Nomar Mazara to the White Sox should mean fairly safe playing time for Calhoun. Nonetheless, with an ADP of 155, Calhoun isn’t coming at much of a discount for someone with a mere half-season of success under his belt. If he falls a round or two below that, you can start considering him, but give someone else the chance to be overly aggressive first.--Nathaniel Green