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Trey Mancini 2022 Player Outlook: Overvalued For His Low Upside
Mancini came out hotter than anybody in 2021, slashing .278/.344/.515 in the season's first two months. During that time he posted an elite barrel rate at 14% all while striking out at a very low clip as well (21%). He was looking like an early MVP candidate at that point. However, things went south fast for Mancini and over his next four months he slashed just .243/.296/.387 to finish the year as a mediocre fantasy player (.255/.326/.432 with 21 homers and no steals). It is probably too soon to write him off and say he will never eclipse those first two months again, but it does seem more likely that he is just not going to be a significant fantasy contributor now as he enters his thirties. The ADP does give the Mancini believers an out, as he is currently getting drafted at pick 185 on average. While a 30 homer, .280 batting average is not outside of the range of outcomes for Mancini, fantasy managers would be better served chasing more upside at this point in the draft. Let someone else take a shot on Mancini this year.
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