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Randy Arozarena 2023 Player Outlook: A Top 50 Pick Lacking Upside
The Rays' speedy outfielder's primary attribute is steals, but he's shown the ability to hit enough homers and drive in enough runs to be a solid fantasy contributor across the board. In 2022, he drove in 89 while hitting 20 homers and swiping 32 more bags. The lack of raw power and high ground-ball rate keep the batting average down a bit more than we'd like (.263 last season), but his speed and decent strikeout rate keep him out of the danger zone there. The Rays lineup is far from a juggernaut, and it doesn't profile all that well for 2023 right now. That's a downside for Arozarena, but we at least know his playing time is secure. Another 30-steal season is very likely here, and he's unlikely to really crater a fantasy team in other categories. The risk in 2023 is that steals blow up across the board, making the "steals specialist" less valuable, but that's all a bit of speculation. The ADP here makes Randy a top 50 player, and that takes away a lot of opportunity here. He does not profile with league-winning upside, giving him plenty of paths to failure as a fourth or fifth-round pick. He should be downgraded quite a bit in points leagues, but you're unlikely to really regret the pick in roto even with the lack of upside here.
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