Patrick Mahomes 2021 Outlook: Worth an Early Pick?
4 years agoPatrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL and in fantasy football. This is not a bold statement. We get it, Mahomes is good… like really good. Since this is fairly straightforward, here are some unique statistics that describe how amazing he is: across his last three seasons (45 games) he has been a top 12 QB 70% of the time and has been the #1 QB on the week 16% of the time. Think about that: 16% of the time he plays. he posts the best score of the week. Over the last three seasons, Mahomes has an average of 24 ppg. To put this in perspective, there were only two QBs who played more than six games and averaged more fantasy points per game in 2020. Those QBs were Josh Allen (24.7) and Patrick Mahomes (25). He is the perfect QB for fantasy, as he is a consistent producer with an almost unmatched ceiling. But where should he be drafted? Many experts preach the late-round QB approach in redraft as there are many QBs that you can acquire later and only sacrifice a few points a week. While that is accurate, Mahomes truly is an exception and, much like his teammate Travis Kelce, is a positional advantage. If you miss out on the elite tight end, I believe Mahomes provides a similar advantage at the QB position. If you like the players available in the third round, I have no issue taking Mahomes in the mid-late second-round.