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Logan Allen 2024 Player Outlook: Promising Rookie Campaign Set To Be Improve Upon
1 year agoLogan Allen doesn't have overpowering stuff, but that didn't stop him from having a very productive rookie campaign. In 24 starts (125.1 IP), Logan had a 7-8 W-L record, 3.81 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 119 Ks. Allen has had trouble with his control over the last two years. He had a 10.6% BB% in Triple-A (80.0 IP) and that manifested in the Majors with an 8.9% BB% last year. That contributed to an elevated WHIP, but so too did a .314 BABIP which should maintain in 2024. With a fastball that averaged 91.4 MPH, Allen needs to be more careful with his location which will likely ensure his walk-rate is never better than average. After striking out 346 batters in 265.1 IP, Allen may have room to improve his 22.2% K% from last year, increasing his fantasy value. Allen did have a 4.28 xFIP and 4.49 SIERA which suggests we see regression in his ERA moving forward. That will be linked to whether or not Allen can get more strikeouts and his projections have him with a ~4.20 ERA. Assuming Allen can make improvements in his sophomore campaign, there's potential to be a top-50 starting pitcher in 2024.
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