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Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Phillies vs. Brewers on July 18, 2023. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, July 18th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Brewers vs. Phillies
The Brewers take on the Phillies on Tuesday, July 18th 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (52-42) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (51-42)
- Date: Tuesday, July 18th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Brewers vs. Phillies
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Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Milwaukee Brewers enter play ranked 1st in the NL Central with an overall record of 52-42. On the season, the Brewers have an above .500 road record, at 26-21.
Despite being the favorite in 49 of their 94 games, Milwaukee's record against the runline is only 44-50. The team has an over/under record of 41-50, with an average betting line of 9.
Julio Teheran gets the start for the Brewers with a below .500 record at 2-3. So far, Julio Teheran has put together an ERA of 3.64 across his eight outings. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .213. So far, Teheran has given up seven home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .277. Teheran's WHIP of 1.02 comes along with a total of nine walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Milwaukee, as they are the 25th-ranked scoring team, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Brewers' combined batting average currently sits at .232, placing them 17th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 101 times, good for 17th in the league. Throughout the season, Milwaukee is ranked 16th in OBP (.312).
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers, they have a record of 51-42, placing them 3rd in the NL East. On the season, the Phillies have an above .500 home record, going 25-17 at Citizens Bank Park.
Being the favorite in 56 of their 93 games has not helped Philadelphia improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 40-53. The team has an over/under record of 39-47, with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola takes the mound with an overall record of 8-6. Heading into action, Aaron Nola has an ERA of 4.39. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .225. Aaron Nola has given up 21 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .292. With a total of 30 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.11.
Philadelphia's offense comes into this game averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. The Phillies have combined to hit .259, which ranks 6th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 105 times this season, placing them 14th in the league. Throughout the season, Philadelphia's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 10th best OBP of .322.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Brewers vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and the Brewers, the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -203 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 67.0%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Philadelphia on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Brewers to cover the runline at +1.5.
Recommended Betting Pick: Brewers +1.5
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