Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge

scottie scheffler PGA DFS lineup picks daily fantasy golf draftkings

Scottie Scheffler has not shot under par in his last three Saturday rounds. A very peculiar pattern is starting to emerge for the World No. 2. Meanwhile, he still sits in T10, behind Adam Schenk and Harry Hall who continue to play well above their baselines. Harris English sits a shot back of the two leaders and 3 shots clear of 4th place, making tomorrow very interesting from a showdown perspective.

The general logic for showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. We will also be using my DFS Showdown Model which is available for premium members on the website and in our discord.

You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and at times, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. In this article, we are going to break down the tournament's Ballers and Crawlers and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 50% off. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

Finishing Position Points vs. Ownership

Round 4 showdown adds the element of finishing position points to the mix. It provides an immense leverage opportunity for those of us brave enough to click on names with a T30 associated with them. There is a five-point difference between second place and 15th place, the points equivalent of one extra birdie in a player's round. If somebody sitting outside the top 20 entering Round 4 has an amazing day, making only one extra birdie than the guys in the top five, they essentially nullify the finishing position advantage. Did we mention that they will also come in at a quarter of the ownership?

Ownership in DFS is king. If you are part of the 2% of the field that has John Huh shooting -9, 98% of the field is missing out on those points. This is where money is made in DFS and if we ignore finishing position points for the most part, there is a decent chance that one of the top points scorers is sitting outside the top 10 entering Round 4. There will be instances where the leaders continue to play well, and that is not ideal, but how many times have we seen a 45% owned overnight leader have his nerves get the better of him and shoot over par? In this scenario, you have a major edge over half the field.

Now, as much as we preach to avoid chasing ownership points, there are always exceptions to the rule and the beast that is Oak Hill CC is just that. Time for some quick math. The average points scored in R3 of the Byron Nelson was 41. Today, the field average was 21 points, on the easiest of the 3 days played so far.

So, we have a 20-point difference in average points between the two tournaments. The average of the points available for top 10 finishes is 8, which is 16% of the total points scored at the Byron and 28% of the available projected points in R4 tomorrow. A 12% increase across six roster spots is 72% which is basically 3/4 of a 7th roster spot. We are probably going to want to try roster as many guys who have a legitimate shot at making it into the top-10 tomorrow. More on this below.

Round 4 Strategy

We have the usual Texas warm temps in the afternoon that is going to affect the afternoon scoring a little as the course bakes out and gets crusty.

Early tee times and low owned golfers late in the afternoon will be our predominant targets heading into R4.


Round 4 Power Rankings

The Power Rankings for Round 4:

These are the golfers I will be looking to slot into my lineups for round 4. The ownership numbers are projected for R4 of $5 PGA SHOWDOWN $12K CADDIE [SINGLE ENTRY] (ROUND 3), which is important to note, as contest size and entry fee impacts the ownership numbers of different golfers across the contests. Click here for a full field power rankings that is part of the DFS Showdown Model on RotoBaller's website.



Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!



Scottie Scheffler luckily had the dub we predicted yesterday in R3 and we will now be jumping on the World No. 2's bandwagon heading into R4. He is a spendy $12,00 but we will find some value in the price ranges.

Max Homa is our 2nd and last $10K golfer in our lineups as he has been playing average golf with a big round in the chamber heading into R4.


Can Justin Rose maybe, just maybe, putt to his potential??? Sheesh!!! The 5th best Bentgrass putter in the field is losing the 2nd most strokes putting through 3 rounds, yet leads the field in approach play. VERY frustrating.

Rickie Fowler, Si Woo Kim, and Russel Henley will be some other $9k golfers we look to target in R4.



Tom Hoge is one of the best iron players in the world and can have a course record breaking round at any minute. Stephan Jaeger and Christiaan Bezuidenhout are both due for a low round with Bez continuing to underperform on the greens.


Brian Harman, Kurt Kitayama, Robby Shelton, Alex Smalley, Mark Hubbard, Carson Young, Patrick Rodgers and Andrew Novak are all going to be our $7k guys we rely on to get the bottom of our rosters popping.


Michael Kim, Justin Lower and Luke Donald  are going to be rounding out the bottom of our rosters in tomorrow's R4 slates.

Good luck tomorrow, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!


Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts




Jon Berti34 mins ago

Starting At Shortstop On Tuesday
Alex Newhook37 mins ago

Expected To Be In Canadiens Lineup To Start Regular Season
Nick Fortes43 mins ago

Catching In Game 1
Evan White51 mins ago

Should Be Ready For Spring Training
Tommy Pham59 mins ago

Still Dealing With Injury
Joel Armia1 hour ago

Expected To Be Available For Start Of Season
Cristian Pache1 hour ago

In The Lineup For Game 1
Rhys Hoskins2 hours ago

To Stay Ready In Florida
Luis Arraez2 hours ago

Returns For Game 1 Of Wild-Card Series
Sal Frelick2 hours ago

Batting Fifth In Postseason Debut
Jameson Williams2 hours ago

Says He's "Ready To Go"
Ja Morant4 hours ago

Permitted To Travel, Practice During Suspension
Kristaps Porzingis4 hours ago

"Ready To Go" For Training Camp
Jordan Lyles4 hours ago

Expected To Remain In Royals Rotation In 2024
James Harden4 hours ago

Expected To Join 76ers In Colorado
Jay Jackson4 hours ago

Expected To Remain With Blue Jays, Could Pitch In Playoffs
Corbin Carroll5 hours ago

Returning To Leadoff Spot Tuesday
Matt Chapman5 hours ago

Hitting Eighth Again Tuesday
Carlos Correa5 hours ago

Moved To Sixth In The Batting Order Tuesday
Pat Freiermuth6 hours ago

"Doubtful" To Play In Week 5
Kenny Pickett6 hours ago

Scheduled To Practice Wednesday
Jordan Lawlar6 hours ago

Makes Wild-Card Roster
Royce Lewis7 hours ago

Hitting Third In Return To Twins Lineup
Robbie Grossman7 hours ago

Hitting Third In Game 1 On Tuesday
Michael Lorenzen7 hours ago

Left Off Roster, Orion Kerkering Included
Jonathan Hernández7 hours ago

Jonathan Hernandez Out With Shoulder Injury
Cole Perfetti7 hours ago

Returns To Action With An Assist
Milwaukee Brewers7 hours ago

Garrett Mitchell Doesn't Make Wild-Card Roster
Byron Buxton7 hours ago

Left Off Roster For Wild-Card Series
Jakub Vrana7 hours ago

Enjoying Good Preseason With Blues
Tampa Bay Rays7 hours ago

Jose Siri Makes Playoff Roster, Luke Raley Left Off
Torey Krug7 hours ago

Logs Over 24 Minutes In Preseason Debut
Jesper Bratt8 hours ago

Totals Four Points Versus Islanders
Joonas Korpisalo8 hours ago

Shuts Out Penguins With 40 Saves
New England Patriots8 hours ago

Matthew Judon To Have Surgery, Expected To Miss At Least Two Months
Pavel Francouz8 hours ago

Ruled Out For Start Of Season
Jameson Williams8 hours ago

To Debut In Supporting Role
Mike Evans8 hours ago

Undergoing MRI Exam
Anthony Davis10 hours ago

Aims To Play In All 82 Regular-Season Games
Larry Nance10 hours ago

Pelicans Hope To Have Larry Nance Jr. Ready For Season Opener
Zion Williamson11 hours ago

Worked On Being "Unguardable" In Offseason
Kenrich Williams11 hours ago

Fully Healthy Ahead Of New Season
Cameron Johnson11 hours ago

Misses Start Of Training Camp
Christian Koloko11 hours ago

Ruled Out Indefinitely
Geno Smith18 hours ago

Avoids Serious Injury
Pat Freiermuth18 hours ago

Likely Out 2-3 Weeks
Darren Waller19 hours ago

Has Another Dreadful Performance In Week 4
Javonte Williams19 hours ago

Shouldn't Miss Much Time
Daniel Jones19 hours ago

Sacked 11 Times In Blowout Loss
Geno Smith21 hours ago

Returns In The Second Half
Geno Smith22 hours ago

Questionable To Return With Knee Injury
Bones Hyland22 hours ago

Likely To Be Backup Point Guard
Seattle Seahawks22 hours ago

Jamal Adams Will Not Return On Monday Night
Trey Murphy22 hours ago

III Could Be Back In November
Domantas Sabonis22 hours ago

Is Fully Healthy
Bryce McGowens23 hours ago

Dealing With Minor Injury
Gordon Hayward23 hours ago

Healthy Entering Camp
Matthew Stafford23 hours ago

"Should Be Good" For Week 5
Kyren Williams23 hours ago

Dealing With Hip Contusion
Saquon Barkley24 hours ago

Officially Inactive On Monday Night
Radim Simek24 hours ago

Opening Night Availability In Doubt
Ivan Miroshnichenko1 day ago

Getting Strong Opportunity With Capitals
Jansen Harkins1 day ago

Claimed Off Waivers By Penguins
Trevor Zegras1 day ago

Ducks Agree To Three-Year Deal
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Cowboys Not Concerned With Micah Parsons' Injury
Josh Manson1 day ago

Expected To Be Ready For Opening Night
New England Patriots1 day ago

Matthew Judon, Christian Gonzalez Out Indefinitely
Buffalo Bills1 day ago

Tre'Davious White Done For The Year
Kenny Pickett1 day ago

Dealing With Bone Bruise
Evan Mobley1 day ago

Adds Seven Pounds Of Muscle
Max Strus1 day ago

Expects To Start This Season
Devin Vassell1 day ago

Spurs Agree To Extension
Devin Vassell1 day ago

Wants To Remain With The Spurs
Keldon Johnson1 day ago

Ready To Show He's A Good Defender
Isaiah Livers1 day ago

Out 6-8 Weeks With Ankle Sprain
Jonathan Isaac1 day ago

Expected To Fully Participate In Training Camp
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

. Finishes 19th At Talladega
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Starts Strong But Finishes Poorly At Talladega
Drake Batherson1 day ago

Racks Up Four Points In Preseason Win
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Underwhelms At Talladega
Matthew Knies1 day ago

Shining In Preseason
Filip Chytil1 day ago

Progressing From Upper-Body Injury
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

Earns Crucial Stage Win At Talladega
Daniil Tarasov1 day ago

Doubtful For Start Of Season
Kyle Palmieri1 day ago

Has Started Skating But Remains Absent For Islanders
Samuel Savoie1 day ago

Undergoes Successful Surgery
Kevin Harvick1 day ago

Has Runner-Up Finish Stripped Due To DQ
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Championship Hopes In Great Shape After Talladega
Ryan Blaney1 day ago

Wins Talladega, Advances To Round Of Eight
Cole Sillinger2 days ago

Might Start Campaign In AHL
2 days ago

Brandon Sutter Announces Retirement
NASCAR3 days ago

J.J Yeley Tries To Duplicate Spring Talladega Magic
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Begins Fourth At Talladega On Sunday
Erik Jones3 days ago

Contends Well At Talladega And It Shows
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Could Use A Little Luck At Talladega
Austin Dillon3 days ago

Starts 14th At Talladega On Sunday
Brennan Poole3 days ago

Could Move Up On Sunday
Daniel Suarez3 days ago

Keeps Improving At Talladega
Harrison Burton3 days ago

Has Some Good News Sunday
Austin Cindric3 days ago

Cracks Top Ten In Qualifying
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Likes To Lead Laps At Talladega
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace Runs Well At Talladega
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Starts 13th At Talladega On Sunday Again
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Worth A Shot At Talladega
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Will Start 20th At Talladega