NFL Underdog Fantasy Predictions - Week 4 DFS Prop Picks (Sunday Late Slate)

September 29, 2023

Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 Sunday Late Slate (October 1st, 2023). Use Shaun's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Underdog Fantasy.

Hello everybody, and welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 - Sunday Late Slate! The 2023 NFL season is finally underway, and that means our friends over at Underdog Fantasy have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.

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Underdog Fantasy Over/Under DFS Props Contests

Underdog Fantasy is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.

On the standard play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the insured play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.

Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.

If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.

NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 4

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

Keenan Allen MORE than 7.0 receptions

Keenan Allen could see another large workload for the Los Angeles Chargers. Fellow Chargers receiver, Mike Williams, is out for the season due to an ACL injury. In Week 3, Allen had 20 targets after seeing 10 in Week 2. Each week seems to be bringing a larger role for him. On top of that, Allen had a target share of 42% with no other player remotely close to that percentage.

Facing the Las Vegas Raiders is a great matchup for any Chargers weapon as they are the 12th worst in defending opposing receivers. While Gabe Davis may be the only receiver to hit seven receptions versus them, Raiders have allowed multiple receivers in the first two weeks to have five or more receptions. Keenan Allen should be ready for a fun Sunday.

Justin Herbert MORE than 279.5 passing yards

Using the Proptimizer, Justin Herbert has an implied -103 (50.74% chance) to hit the over of 280.5 passing yards. Underdog Fantasy has him at 279.5. As mentioned above with Keenan Allen, the Las Vegas Raiders struggle against opposing receivers.

Besides Week 1, Herbert has crushed the passing total. In Week 2, he threw for 305 passing yards versus the Tennessee Titans in a loss. In Week 3,  he recorded 405 passing yards versus the Minnesota Vikings. Mike Williams's injury is a huge blow to the Chargers receiving core but Joshua Palmer and Quentin Johnson will be ready to step up, giving Herbert the same support.

Michael Wilson MORE than 24.5 receiving yards

The Arizona Cardinals rookie receiver, Michael Wilson, has been stepping up in the past two weeks. In Week 1, Wilson only recorded two catches for 19 yards. Since then, he has increased receiving yards in Week 2 and 3. Versus the New York Giants, he had three targets, all of which he caught, for 56 yards. In Week 3, he once again went perfect as he caught both targets but for 88 yards.

Looking at the Props Tool, there is a 15.84% edge to hitting the over. Making this one of the best plays on Underdog Fantasy. The San Francisco 49ers defense may be good but as we have seen in the past weeks, they give up big play opportunities.

Brandin Cooks LESS than 43.5 receiving yards

Another top play in the Proptimizer, Brandin Cooks less than 43.5 has a -119 implied total to hit. In two of the three weeks of this season, Cooks's highest receiving yard game was Week 1 versus the New York Giants. He recorded just 22 yards off of two catches. In Week 2, he was inactive but in Week 3, he had 17 yards off of two catches even though he saw 17 targets.

Dak Prescott has been targeting Cooks as he has a total of 11 targets through the two games but he just hasn't been able to turn it into anything more. On top of that, New England isn't a team that struggles heavily against opposing receivers and will make this a challenging matchup.

Other Recommendations: Brock Purdy MORE than 1.5 passing touchdowns, Rhamondre Stevenson MORE than 18.5 receiving yards

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