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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Nationals
The Cubs take on the Nationals on Thursday, May 4th 2023 at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (15-15) vs. Washington Nationals (12-18)
- Date: Thursday, May 4th 2023
- Time: 1:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Nationals
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Chicago hosts Washington-ranked 3rd in the NL Central division with a .500 record sitting at NL Central. Heading into today's game, the Cubs will look to pick up a win on the road, as they have gone just 7-7 when playing away from home.
Having been favored in 56.7% of their games, Chicago has an above .500 record against the runline at 17-13. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 13-16.
The Cubs will send Jameson Taillon to the mound with an overall record of 0-2. Jameson Taillon will take the mound with an ERA of 4.50. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .268. With a WOBA allowed of .317, Jameson Taillon has not given up a home run so far this year. Taillon's WHIP of 1.36 comes along with a total of four walks allowed.
On the season, Chicago boasts the 10th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Cubs have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .271 ranks 2nd. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 40 home runs which is 8th. Throughout the season, Chicago's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 3rd best OBP of .342.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals take on the Chicago hoping to improve on their record of just 12-18, placing them 5th in the NL East This season, Nationals is struggling at home, going just 5-12 at Nationals Park.
With a 18-12 record against the runline, Washington has went into every game as the underdog. The team has an over/under record of 13-16, with an average betting line of 9.
Patrick Corbin gets the starting nod for Washington, looking to improve his overall record of 1-4. Against the Cubs, Patrick Corbin is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.75. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.316). Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Patrick Corbin, who has a WOBA allowed of .381. Corbin has a WHIP of 1.66, with nine walks allowed.
Washington has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 27th in scoring with an average of 3.7 runs per game. So far, the Nationals have combined for a team batting average of .252, placing them 14th in the league. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 16 deep shots (30th). Washington's offense currently sits 19th in OBP, coming in at .316.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and the Nationals, the Cubs are the heavy favorite at -219 on the moneyline. Chicago's implied win probability sits at 68.65%. However, we see the Nationals putting together a strong enough fight at the plate to take them to cover at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Nationals +1.5
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