Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

MLB Betting Expert Picks (7/23/19): Moneylines, Totals


Welcome to the Tuesday, July 23rd edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.

  • Saturday's Picks: 3-2 (60.0%) +30
  • Year-to-Date: 20-17 (54.1%) +142

In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.

Here are my picks for Tuesday, July 23rd. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays (+150)

O/U: 7.5

Red Sox LHP Chris Sale has had a strange season. On one hand, his 1.08 WHIP is right in line with his career numbers, and he is already up to 172 strikeouts over 117 2/3 innings, putting him on pace for 276 Ks, which would be the second-most of his career. However, he also has a dismal 4-9 record, putting him on target for a career-high 14 losses, which would match his mark from the 2013 season. He also has a 2.0 WAR through 20 starts, lowest for Sale across a full season.

For the Rays, RHP Yonny Chirinos actually has double the victories of Sale, going 8-5 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 14 starts and six relief appearances. He dominated the Red Sox in his most recent outing against the division rivals, spinning eight scoreless inning with just two hits, two walks and six strikeouts in a victory at Fenway Park on June 7. While the Rays are just 1-6 across his past seven outings, Tampa is a nice value at home against Sale, who has struggled in the win-loss department.

My Pick: Rays (+150)

 

New York Yankees (-130) @ Minnesota Twins

O/U: 10

The Yankees have been fantastic behind RHP Domingo German this season, as he is 12-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 95 strikeouts over just 88 innings in 15 starts and one relief showing. The Yankees are 8-2 over his past 10 outings, too. While he has been a little more hittable on the road as opposed to home, he is 6-1 with a 4.53 ERA and sparkling 1.07 WHIP in his 45 2/3 innings on the road this season.

For the Twins, RHP Kyle Gibson is looking to join the double-digit wins club, but it will be a tall order against a team which has handled him well over the years. In fact, the Twins are 0-5 in his past five starts at Target Field against the Yankees, and 0-7 in his past seven tries overall against the Evil Empire. The Twins are just 2-3 across his past five appearances at home, too. The Twins bashed their way past the Yankees in the series opener, but look for the Bronx Bombers to even the score in this one.

My Pick: Yankees (-130)

 

San Diego Padres @ New York Mets (+115)

O/U: 8.5

The Mets are awfully attractive as short 'dogs at home, as they look to rally behind LHP Jason Vargas on Tuesday night.

The Padres have struggled against southpaws, going 17-39 in the past 56 against left-handed starting pitchers, and they have won just two of their past nine games overall while going 1-7 in the past eight games against National League East foes. While they're 4-1 in RHP Chris Paddack's past five when working on five days of rest, they're also 0-5 in the past five Game 1s of a new series.

The Mets have rattled off 11 victories in the past 13 at home against teams with a losing record, and they're 4-1 in the past five vs. RHP. New York is also an impressive 4-0 in the past four starts by Vargas against teams with a losing record, and 5-1 in his past six overall against sub-.500 teams.

If you're looking for a nice parlay, consider this game. The under is 3-1-1 in Paddack's past five on the road, and 6-1 in his past seven on five days rest. The under is also a perfect 6-0 in San Diego's past six vs. LHP, including 5-0 in their past five on the road against 'paws. The under is also a ridiculous 12-0-1 in Vargas' past 13 outings at home, and 8-3-3 in his past 14 starts overall.

My Pick: Mets (+115) and Under 8.5 (-115)

 

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants (-105)

O/U: 7.5

The Cubs and Giants square off in a solid pitching matchup, with RHP Yu Darvish facing LHP Madison Bumgarner on the shores of San Francisco Bay. The wind will be blowing out to straightaway center field from 10-13 mph, so the over is in play at Oracle Park on Tuesday.

While the under is 6-0-1 in Chicago's past seven overall, 5-1 in the past six against winning teams and 6-0 in Darvish's past six road outings against winning teams, the over is 7-2-1 in Chicago's past 10 on the road against teams with a losing home mark.

The over is 15-5-4 in San Francisco's past 24 against NL Central foes, and 17-6-4 in the past 27 against winning teams. The over is also 5-1-1 in the past seven at home against winning teams, and 14-3 in the past 17 on a Tuesday, for whatever that's worth. With MadBum on the hill, the over is 9-4-1 in San Francisco's past 14 overall, and 4-1-1 in his past six against winning sides. The over is a strong play catching even money.

My Pick: Over 7.5 (+100)

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs is in the books, and hopefully you're still writing another chapter in it. Week 14 was absolutely brutal from an injury perspective, with several big name players getting carted off the field and burying multitudes of fantasy teams in the process. Mike Evans, Calvin Ridley, Devante Parker, Alshon... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 15 Le'Veon Bell (flu) is back at practice and should return for TNF. Bilal Powell (ankle, flu) is likely... Read More


Week 14 Surprises? We Must Overreact Immediately!

In Week 14, the quarterback position was littered with surprises. Drew Brees dropped over 40 fantasy points on a 49ers Defense that's given up the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season and Jameis Winston hung 456 yards and 5 touchdowns on a Colts Defense that's been solid against the pass all year. Mitch... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 15)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 15-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Still doing things a little differently this week--for those of you who are still alive. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Week 15 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 15 is here and for those of you that won the first week of your fantasy playoffs, congratulations. If you had a bye week, good luck to you this week. Kicker lives still matter, and three different kickers had 15 or more points last week. Three different kickers outscored Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick... Read More


FAAB Bidding - Week 15 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

You have to love fantasy football. You have to, otherwise you would have given up by now. In a week that most likely represented the first matchup of the fantasy playoffs or a must-win in some form for the vast majority of players, we were treated to the following: Alvin Kamara netting three fantasy points,... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

It is almost inconceivable that we are progressing into the second week of fantasy postseason matchups. Congratulations to those of you whose teams are still competing in the playoffs. Your meticulous planning during the draft process and the regular season has been rewarded with an opportunity to win your leagues' championships. This critical week provides the opportunity to... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

Week 15 is upon us, which means that even the holdovers who play in leagues with four team playoffs and no byes are now in fantasy playoff mode. This is it: the home stretch. Are there any wide receivers left on the waiver wire who can help you in the playoffs? Let's look at some... Read More


Week 15 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football season is over, either because you did not make your league’s playoffs or because you have had enough of failing in DFS contests, then this column is not for you. Congratulations if you HAVE qualified for your fantasy league’s playoffs! To reach the postseason you must have received some decent play... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs in almost in the books, and if you're fortunate enough to have advanced then it's already time to start thinking about Week 15 lineups, especially for those who stream quarterbacks. Luckily, there are plenty of viable options available as eliminated owners have stopped making moves, and if you... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More