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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, April 5th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Kings @ Mavericks
The Kings take on the Mavericks on Wednesday, April 5th at American Airlines Center, Dallas. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings (48-31) vs. Dallas Mavericks (37-42)
- Date: Wednesday, April 5th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Kings @ Mavericks
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
- BetMGM Sportsbook NBA Odds
- DraftKings Sportsbook NBA Odds
- PointsBet Sportsbook NBA Odds
- FanDuel Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!Kings & Mavericks Key Injuries
Kings
- Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
Mavericks
- Kyrie Irving (Probable) Foot
- Luka Doncic (Probable) Thigh
Sacramento Kings - NBA Betting Analysis
The Kings enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 121-103 win over the Pelicans. De'Aaron Fox and his 23 led the way for the Kings. Sacramento was the 4.0-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 48-31, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-17 at home and 25-14 on the road. This season, Sacramento's ATS record sits at 43-35.
Through 79 games, the Kings have put together one of the top-scoring offenses (1st) at 121.4 points per game. Not only that, but they enter today's game averaging 125 points per game over their last five games. A key to the team's offensive success is their ability to push the pace while not sacrificing efficiency. This year, the Kings are 8th in possessions per game, while also hitting 37.2% of their three-point field goal attempts. Currently, Sacramento's overall effective field goal percentage of 57.6% is 1st in the NBA.
De'Aaron Fox doing his thing again in the clutch!
This tough jumper forced OT 🔥
Watch on the NBA Apphttps://t.co/1pomQZMAZK pic.twitter.com/maTw8qIBK2
— NBA (@NBA) April 3, 2023
At 115.8 points allowed per game, the Kings' defense is just 26th in the league. The unit has had a tough time generating turnovers, averaging 13.2 per game, which is 17th overall. This season, opposing teams have shot 48.1% from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc. Yet, Sacramento has been solid on the glass, with a defensive rebounding average of 9th per game in the NBA.
Dallas Mavericks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Mavericks enter today's game having lost three straight, including a 132-130 loss to the Hawks. Kyrie Irving led the team in scoring with 41 points on 59.3% shooting. Despite the straight up loss, Dallas covered the spread as they were 3.0-point underdogs going into the game.
Now, the Mavericks' overall record sits at 37-42, placing them 11th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 22-16 and 15-26 on the road. Dallas' record against the spread is below .500 at 31-46.
With a scoring average of 114.1 points per game, the Mavericks rank 16th among the league's offenses. In their last five games have picked up their production, with an average of 118 points scored per contest. Dallas' three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 9th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.1%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.0 possessions per game, which is just 27th. Their current field goal percentage of 47.6% is 14th in the league.
The Mavericks will be looking for a better defensive effort in today's game, as they are currently just 26th in the league at 115.8 points allowed per game. This figure comes despite ranking well in both defensive rebounds and turnovers forced. So far, Dallas is 9th in defensive rebounds per game while also turning opponents over an average of 11.8 times per contest (2nd). In terms of three-point shooting, the Mavericks have allowed teams to hit 37.1% of their looks from deep and 48.1% of their overall field goal attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Kings vs. Mavericks
This year's head-to-head series between the Kings and Mavericks is currently all even at 1-1. The previous time these two teams faced off resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Mavericks. Going into the game, Dallas was the 4.5-point underdog. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 232.5 points.
In the Kings' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 3-0 ATS and 3-0 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 234 points per contest.
Across Dallas' last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the favorite, the Mavericks are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of -4 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 234 points per game and an over/under mark of 4-6.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: SAC +5.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 244.5
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