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The hot streak ended yesterday as I went 1-2 in props. Over the last four weeks, in my articles at RotoBaller, I am now 22-4. As always, I have a few pitcher props for you today and my to-get-a-hit parlay. I want to get back on track today and start a new win streak. Hopefully, we can reach double digits again.
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I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, June 22, 2023, in this article. I will continue to hone in on K props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with some total base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice.
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Blake Snell OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-145 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Blake Snell will square off against the San Francisco Giants this afternoon. On the season, Snell has a 29.2% K and a 13.8% SwStr. He has been tremendous over his last four starts. Snell has a 42.4% K and a 16.8% SwStr over that time frame. In his previous two starts, he pitched in Coors, faced Tampa Bay, and struck out 12 batters in both outings.
Today he will face the Giants at Oracle Park. The Giants have a 25.7% K against left-hand pitching. That mark is the fifth worst in baseball. Snell gets his best strikeout matchup over his last five starts and has achieved seven or more strikeouts in each. I expect him to eclipse that mark this afternoon against the Giants.
Mitch Keller OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-145 DraftKings SporIt'sok)
It's Mitch Keller Day. You know what that means over at RotoBaller. The site favorite gets another line that we need to smash. Keller has a 28.3% K and a 9.6% SwStr on the season. Keller has struck out six or more in 12 of his 15 starts this season. I have no idea why this line is set at 5.5 strikeouts, but you better jump on in quick, as I expect it to get to 6.5 by the first pitch.
The Marlins are an average matchup for strikeouts against right-hand pitching. They own a 22.3% K against the split. The one pause for concern here is how good Keller has been against left-hand hitters. He holds a 31.9% K against lefties compared to a 24.2% K against righties. The Marlins should only send three lefties to the plate today. I still like the 5.5, but I would pass if it gets to 6.5.
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MLB HitToday'sp Bets - Today's Betting Picks
SGP Esteury Ruiz + Brent Rooker to record a hit (-105 DraftKings SportsBook)
Over the last few weeks, I provided you with some hit parlays. Honestly, it's been a blast betting and has been very profitable. I will make this a constant theme in my articles for the rest of the season. I like giving you guys different looks on how to bet instead of writing up the everyday props like always. You can always take either of the two guys below for their total bases prop to get a better line.
Logan Allen will get the ball for the Guardians against the Athletics. Allen has a .339 wOBA and a .156 ISO against right-hand hitters this season. He has a .275 BAA and a 4.31 SIERA on the season. Over his last eight starts, he allowed seven or more hits in six outings. He has been getting hit for a .333 BAA over that period, and right-handed batters have been doing the damage.
Ruiz and Rooker are the best two right-handed bats for the A’s this season. Ruiz is hitting .311 against lefties and has a .358 wOBA on the season against the split. He has hits in 12 of his last 15 games. Rooker is hitting .279 against lefties this season with a .413 wOBA and a .279 ISO. He has hits in eight of his previous 15 games. I like the chances of both getting hits against the struggling Logan Allen today at Progressive Field.
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