Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (9/28/23)

Zack Wheeler - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB News, DFS Picks, Betting

We have an 11-game MLB schedule going down this Thursday afternoon and evening and, as you know, there's always plenty of value to be had. It's the best time of the MLB season with playoff races in full flight with several teams playing crucial games each and every night.

Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Thursday, September 28, 2023. We will focus on money line bets, totals, and team totals. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games. Follow me on Twitter @BKemp17.


Today's MLB Betting Picks - Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

O/U: 7 | Moneyline: DET (-110)

KC: Cole Ragans | DET: Sawyer Gipson-Long

The Royals and Tigers complete a three-game set this afternoon. First, they will complete a suspended contest from Wednesday evening and then will play the second half of a twin bill roughly 30 minutes after the conclusion of that contest.

The Royals will send left-hander Cole Ragans to the mound for the second half of the doubleheader and he has been flat-out impressive since donning a Royals uniform. The southpaw has worked to a tidy 2.34 ERA across 11 starts since entering the Royals' rotation following 17 unsuccessful bullpen outings with the Texas Rangers. Ragans owns an 18.6% K-BB% across 89 2/3 innings while his 3.23 FIP and his 3.82 SIERA confirm his solid work to this point.

The Tigers will hand the ball to rookie right-hander Sawyer Gipson-Long who has been excellent through his first three big-league starts. The former Twins farmhand has tossed a 2.40 ERA and a 33.3% K% across 15 frames in the big leagues this season. His 3.48 SIERA does spell some regression but is a fine figure in its own right. He has surrendered just a 20.6% hard-hit rate and a 2.9% barrel rate across 34 batted-ball events, as per Statcast.

Neither offense has hit well again this season. The Royals sit 26th with a .301 wOBA versus right-handed pitching while the Tigers enter this one ranked 22nd with a .310 wOBA off of left-handed pitching.

We will avoid the bullpens here and focus on the starters. The Tigers sit 20th with a 4.33 bullpen ERA on the season while the Royals are 28th with a 5.21 ERA from their relievers. These bullpens could spoil an early low-scoring affair.

Let's look for these starters to keep the game in check early.

Pick: F5 under 3.5 runs (+114, DraftKings sportsbook)

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo Eligible States
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, and WY + ONT (CDN)
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 AZ CO IN IA LA MI NJ NY PA TN VA WV WY
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 AZ CO CT IL IN IA LA MI NJ NY PA TN VA WV WY


Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass





Today's MLB Betting Picks - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: PHI: (-218)

PIT: Luis L. Ortiz | PHI: Zack Wheeler

It's another edition of the battle of Pennsylvania this evening in the City of Brotherly Love as the Philadelphia Phillies play host to the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates will send right-hander Luis L. Ortiz to bump for the series finale and he has some concerning numbers across the board. He sports a 4.96 ERA across 17 outings (14 starts) with the Bucs this season but he also owns a 5.58 FIP, 5.68 SIERA, and a minuscule 2.4% K-BB% across his 81 2/3 innings of work in the big leagues this season. He also tossed a subpar 4.61 ERA/4.75 FIP along with a weak 10.8% K-BB% across 56 2/3 innings at Triple-A this season.

The Phillies will send their best arm to the mound for this one in the form of right-hander Zack Wheeler. The veteran enters this one sporting a 3.64 ERA across 31 starts but he also owns a 3.19 FIP, 3.54 SIERA, and a healthy 21.9% K-BB% on the campaign. His lone outing against the Pirates this season resulted in 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball while allowing all of three hits and one walk against a hefty 11 punchouts back on July 28 in Pittsburgh.

The offensive end of things are not particularly close between these two clubs. While the Phillies have the league's sixth-best offense versus righties, as per their .329 wOBA off of them, the Pirates sit 20th in that department with a .309 wOBA off of right-handed pitching.

The Phils also boast the bullpen advantage. They sit seventh with a solid 3.63 ERA from their relief pitching this season while the Pirates check in at 18th with a 4.29 ERA from their bullpen.

Let's not overthink this one. While the Phillies have clinched a postseason berth, it would be unwise to let their foot off the pedal in the season's final week. They should be able to take care of business with relative ease this evening on their home turf.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 run line (+100, DraftKings sportsbook)

Good luck, Rotoballers! Let's cash some bets and make some money today!

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts


San Diego Padres5 hours ago

Jung Hoo Lee High On Padres' Wish List
Eduardo Rodriguez5 hours ago

Agrees To Four-Year Deal With Diamondbacks
Kyle Higashioka5 hours ago

Padres Acquire Michael King, Kyle Higashioka, Others From Yankees
Trent Grisham6 hours ago

Yankees Complete Trade To Acquire Juan Soto, Trent Grisham
Eduardo Rodriguez6 hours ago

Diamondbacks Are Finalists To Land Eduardo Rodriguez
Daniel Jones7 hours ago

Hopes To Return For Start Of Training Camp
Hayden Hurst7 hours ago

Dealing With Post Traumatic Amnesia
Chris Paul7 hours ago

To Play On Wednesday
Andrew Wiggins7 hours ago

Active For Wednesday
Brandon Boston7 hours ago

Jr. Heads To G-League
Pat Connaughton7 hours ago

To Remain Out Thursday
Jarred Vanderbilt7 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Thursday
Dylan Cease7 hours ago

White Sox "Pulling Back" On Dylan Cease Trade Talks?
Aaron Gordon7 hours ago

Will Play Versus Clippers
Anfernee Simons8 hours ago

To Play On Wednesday
Deandre Ayton8 hours ago

Won't Play On Wednesday
Jamal Murray8 hours ago

To Be Limited On Wednesday
Jalen Suggs8 hours ago

Won't Return On Wednesday
Dante Exum8 hours ago

Makes First Start Of The Season
Nick Richards8 hours ago

Starting On Wednesday
Alex Caruso8 hours ago

Available For Wednesday's Game
Taysom Hill9 hours ago

Dealing With Foot, Hand Injuries
Jonathan Taylor9 hours ago

No Practice For Jonathan Taylor Wednesday
Dallas Goedert9 hours ago

Practicing In Full
Zach Charbonnet9 hours ago

Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet Miss Practice Wednesday
Najee Harris10 hours ago

Optimism That Najee Harris Will Play In Week 14
Derek Carr10 hours ago

Back On The Field Wednesday
Puka Nacua11 hours ago

Listed As Limited For Wednesday's Practice
De'Anthony Melton11 hours ago

Will Play On Wednesday
Dean Wade11 hours ago

Will Return Wednesday In Limited Capacity
Landry Shamet11 hours ago

Will Not Suit Up Against 76ers
D'Andre Swift11 hours ago

Practices On Wednesday
Anthony Edwards11 hours ago

Has Been Upgraded To Active On Wednesday
Grant Williams11 hours ago

Receives Questionable Tag Against Jazz
Justin Jefferson11 hours ago

"On Track" To Return On Sunday
Mark Williams11 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Wednesday
Breece Hall11 hours ago

Unable To Practice Wednesday
Bam Adebayo11 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Dawson Knox11 hours ago

Dalton Kincaid Practicing In Full
DeVante Parker11 hours ago

JuJu Smith-Schuster Both Questionable
Kayshon Boutte12 hours ago

Demario Douglas, Kayshon Boutte Won't Face Steelers
Rhamondre Stevenson12 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out For Week 14
Najee Harris12 hours ago

Questionable To Play Thursday Night
Aaron Judge12 hours ago

Could Be Regular Center Fielder
New York Yankees12 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Expected To Meet With Yankees Monday
Dylan Cease13 hours ago

White Sox Have High Asking Price For Dylan Cease
Trent Grisham13 hours ago

Expected To Be Shipped To Yankees
Bryce Harper13 hours ago

Hoping To Discuss Another Long-Term Deal
Craig Kimbrel13 hours ago

Orioles Agree To One-Year Deal
Mason Plumlee13 hours ago

Not Close To Returning
Dalton Schultz13 hours ago

Returns To Practice
Cleveland Browns13 hours ago

Browns Undecided On Starting QB In Week 14
Dorian Thompson-Robinson14 hours ago

Expected To Practice
Darren Waller14 hours ago

Hopes To Return Next Week
A.J. Puk14 hours ago

To Be Stretched Out As A Starter
Eduardo Rodriguez14 hours ago

Expected To Have Decision By Thursday
DJ LeMahieu15 hours ago

Is The Team's Starting Third Baseman
Jake Cronenworth16 hours ago

Another Trade Candidate For Padres
Juan Soto16 hours ago

To Yankees "Close To Being Finalized"
Nathan MacKinnon17 hours ago

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Tomas Hertl18 hours ago

Posts Sixth Career Hat Trick
Vladimir Tarasenko18 hours ago

Shines In Win Over Rangers
J.T. Miller18 hours ago

Grabs Three Points In Loss Versus New Jersey
Jack Hughes18 hours ago

Continues Tear Versus Canucks
Matt Boldy18 hours ago

Notches Three Points In Tuesday's Win
Gregory Santos1 day ago

Might Not Be Full-Go For Start Of Spring Training
Craig Kimbrel1 day ago

Orioles "Seriously Engaged" With Craig Kimbrel
San Francisco Giants1 day ago

Giants Interested In Jung Hoo Lee
Victor Caratini1 day ago

Astros Reportedly Sign Victor Caratini To Two-Year Deal
Connor Ingram2 days ago

Takes Winning Streak To Five Games With Second Shutout
Clayton Keller2 days ago

Records Hat Trick Of Assists
Travis Konecny2 days ago

Logs Two Assists In Monday's Win
Anthony Cirelli2 days ago

Nets Two Goals As Tampa Bay Ends Slide
Andrei Vasilevskiy2 days ago

Bounces Back In Style On Monday
Nikolaj Ehlers2 days ago

Takes Down Hurricanes
Beneil Dariush2 days ago

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss At UFC Austin
Beneil Dariush3 days ago

Arman Tsarukyan Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 64 Seconds
Jalin Turner3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Bobby Green3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out In The First Round
Punahele Soriano3 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Submits Punahele Soriano
Punahele Soriano3 days ago

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Nathan MacKinnon3 days ago

Pushes Point Streak To Eight Games
Quinton Byfield3 days ago

Pots Two Goals Against Colorado
Alex Tuch3 days ago

Exits With Injury
Artemi Panarin3 days ago

Amasses Four Points In Sunday's Win
Mats Zuccarello3 days ago

Shines As Wild Keep Improving
Brad Marchand3 days ago

Scores First Natural Hat Trick
Clay Guida3 days ago

Falls To .500 In The UFC
Joaquim Silva3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Austin
Kelvin Gastelum3 days ago

Submitted In Welterweight Return
Jordan Greenway3 days ago

Won't Play On Sunday
Sean Brady3 days ago

Returns To Win Column
Rob Font3 days ago

1-4 In Last Five Fights After Loss At UFC Austin
Deiveson Figueiredo3 days ago

Wins Bantamweight Debut
Cale Makar3 days ago

Out On Sunday
Cole Sillinger3 days ago

To Miss Another Game
Beneil Dariush6 days ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Beneil Dariush6 days ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Bobby Green6 days ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Jalin Turner6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Dustin Stoltzfus6 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Punahele Soriano6 days ago

Looking To Return To Win Column