RADIO
John Brubaker's top MLB betting picks and best bets for today's MLB games on 10/16/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and MLB player props.
Happy Sunday RotoBallers, it's Division Series time and we're back for another day of MLB Postseason betting picks. Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 postseason!
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Sunday, October 16, 2022. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.
Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code THANKS. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!
LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks
Playoffs: 7-4-2 (+1.47 units)
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Yankees @ Guardians
O/U: 6.5 | Moneyline: CLE +146
NYY: Gerrit Cole | CLE: Cal Quantrill
We were able to go 1-0-1 again yesterday, hitting the Yankees F5 money line while taking another push on the Astros F5 money line, a game that took 18 innings for a run to be scored. We took the Yankees' F5 money line two days in a row now, so what would a third day hurt?
The Yankees will be sending Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA) to the mound tonight. Cole certainly did his job on Tuesday night, tossing 6.1 innings while allowing just four hits and one run while striking out eight. He projects to a 2.84 xFIP and 26.22% hard contact rate tonight, with a 33.93% strikeout rate. The Guardians have a projected .444 wOBA + ISO against his pitch types as a lineup.
Conversely, the Guardians will be sending their Game 1 starter, Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA), to the mound. Quantrill pitched fine on Tuesday, tossing five innings while allowing five innings and three earned runs, but it wasn't good enough to keep up with Cole. He projects to a 4.46 xFIP and 29.7% hard contact rate against the Yankees tonight, who project to a .486 wOBA + ISO against his pitch types. Quantrill is a better pitcher at home, which gives some cause for concern, but I'm not too worried about it.
FanDuel Sportsbook has this line a bit more juiced than in days past, as the Yankees F5 money line sits at -172. However, my model gives the Yankees the advantage in every major category except for their walk rate (6.85% to Cleveland's 7.67%). With their backs against the wall and their ace on the mound, I expect New York to get it going early and often as they did on Tuesday when they got the F5 win with these same pitchers on the mound.
Pick: Yankees F5 Money Line (-172) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit
Sports Betting Promo Offers
Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code THANKS. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms!
Go Premium, Win More!
Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. See you Tuesday!
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!
