RADIO
We are back with another week of FanDuel DFS for The Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The quality of the field drops off rather drastically once you get outside the top-10 of pricing but we will find some diamonds in the rough.
In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays available on FanDuel for the 2023 American Express. While it's impossible to hit on every player, we'll touch on some different plays across all price ranges, breaking the groups down into "High," "Mid," and "Low" price options that are worth considering.
Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for FanDuel, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!
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FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS)
Before we dive into the FanDuel plays for this week, we are going to be comparing the prices of golfers on the FD slate to that of the DraftKings slate, in order to figure out some value for the respective golfers. We get an extra $10,000 ($60,000 salary limit in FanDuel) to spend on the same six guys, so there is an opportunity to build some really optimal lineups if we find the right guys. The average increase per player should be $1,666.67 ($10,000/6).
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event, including DFS lineup picks for DraftKings/FanDuel, betting advice, DFS prop picks, and course previews.
High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays
Below is the difference in salary between the two DFS platforms using the downloadable research station that is part of our Premium Packages available to you. Use code: "MANIAC" for 10% off an already great deal.
Tom Hoge ($11,400, $1,400 difference)
Since the 2023 season began in September, Tom Hoge has not lost strokes on approach in a single round in the 23 times there was a shot tracker. He gained more than a stroke in 15 of those starts, so he is not just barely gaining strokes. He is regularly knocking irons close. Heading to a course that he has had great success at on the greens, Hoge is of the cheaper of the $11k range and is striking his irons better than anyone in the field. Getting a price discount on the best iron player in the field is all we need to get on the Hoge train in DFS this week.
Matt Kuchar ($10,400, $1,000 difference)
Somebody who is also hitting his irons rather well, relative to what we are used to seeing from him, is Matt Kuchar. He started off his Sony campaign with three straight birdies early in round 1, only to steadily move up the leaderboard and inevitably finish T7. Pebble is another short course that you would imagine Kuchar's rejuvenated ball striking will enjoy. He lacks length off the tee so his gained strokes have been due to his accuracy, which is exactly what this course demands. Pencil Kuchar in for a top-5 this week (figuratively runs off the screen).
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Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays
Mid-priced salary differences. Notice how much more red we see in that difference column in this range versus the high-priced range. Bear that in mind when deciding which players to play on either platform.
Brendon Todd ($9,500, $1,600 increase)
If Brendon Todd were not ranked sixth in my model we probably wouldn't have stomached the price increase here, but a T16 here last year and a T21 at the Sony Open are the combination of decent form and course history that has us excited about Todd. His accuracy off the tee is something that will set him up nicely here, allowing his stellar wedge play to give him ample opportunities to let his putter cook on the greens, which is a customary thing for the Todd Father.
Erik Van Rooyen ($9,300, $1,300 increase)
Erik Van Rooyen is $9,300 coming off a T6 at the American Express. What excites me more than his successful performance last week, is the fact that he did so in a similar environment that we will see this week. A pro-am round is typically 6+ hours, with very little momentum ever gained by players in the first three rounds. EVR proved that is not an issue for him the last time he teed it up, gaining across the board in both of the Stadium Course rounds. He is a rather risky play, though.
Lanto Griffin ($9,300, $1,700 increase)
Although he is one of the more inflated prices relative to his DK salary, look at those three green boxes next to his name. Two top-16 finishes in his last two trips around this scenic venue, and a T37 in his first tournament back after many months off with a back injury. The T37 was at the Farmers Insurance Open, which demands the very best from a golfers game, so we can expect Lanto to play good golf again this week.
Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players
The below golfers are all candidates to round out your player pool based off their track record at Pebble Beach.
Kevin Streelman ($8,800, $1,7000 increase)
Kevin Streelman sees a $1,700 increase from DK to FD and a whopping $2,000 increase from his price that he was listed at for the Farmers last week, finishing 60th but losing strokes each time he played the South Course, which is not anything we will see this week. Streelman has incredible history here, gaining strokes in 16 of the 19 rounds he has played since 2018, finishing MC, 13th, 2nd, T7, and 6th. If you ignore that MC, losing -5 strokes in R2, the rest of his rounds have been exceptional around this venue. He is going to see quite a few of my lineups, particularly on DK where he is super cheap.
Henrik Norlander ($6,800, $1,000 increase)
Two starts, two top-26 finishes for Henrik Norlander at Pebble Beach. Sitting in the $7K range, course history is a little more important to me for these kinds of players. Norlander ranks 27th in my weighted proximity rankings which takes into account a lot of shots inside of 150 yards, which he excels at. He is an accurate driver of the ball which is another reason he has seen success here.
Brian Gay ($7,200, $700 increase)
This was the paragraph that belonged to Peter Malnati last week, also $7,200 and a course history play. Brian Gay had a bad day on Monterey Peninsula, losing 6 strokes in round 3 on the way to a missed cut. Before that, we have four consecutive top-40s, with two of them doubling down as top-10s. We have seen Brian Gay excel at Bermuda which is a great comp course and we should expect nothing less than that this week from the Champions Tour veteran.
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