X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - 3M Open Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (2022)

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 3M Open. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome back to my PGA DFS lineup picks for the 3M Open on DraftKings! Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by a fraction of a percent, so if you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, you can contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports.

Once you are done reading the article, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research. There you will be able to weigh the categories however you see fit once you make a copy. 

Thanks again for all the support, and don't miss out on all our top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles produced by the entire RotoBaller squad. 

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code WIN! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - 3M Open

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you want to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!

 

TPC Twin Cities

7,481 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bentgrass 

Designed by Arnold Palmer and Tom Lehman in 2000, the venue has recently seen a few changes - most notably getting extended by over 300 yards versus its typical Champions Tour layout to prepare for the 2019 iteration of the event. That added distance has allowed golfers to use length as an advantage for taking apart this relatively wide-open yet still claustrophobic test, thanks to the 15 holes with water coming into play, but it is hard to call the track anything more than a ball-striking shootout.

Three of the four par-threes do stretch beyond 200 yards, giving us this difficult challenge to produce a scoreable tally on the card at those chances, but it is the par-fives that yield the most robust opportunities of the mix - coming in at between a 39.7% to 56.1% birdie or better rate. Those three holes will be crucial for the field to take advantage of for the week, but it won't stop there for the players that want to compete to win the title, and the 11 par-fours provide an eclectic mix where five of the better possibilities will come between 379 to 424 yards. The other six par-fours do ramp back up the difficulty to the tune of each ranking inside the nine most challenging at the venue, which means if you are modeling par-four scoring as a whole, I would be cognizant of looking for both short par-four scoring where birdies are easy to come by and medium length formidable setups, but the true upside comes down to taking advantage of the scorable holes and preventing water disaster elsewhere.

We have historically seen massive increases in expected production for off-the-tee and approach stats, with the off-the-tee metrics yielding a 4.1 increase in dispersion of scoring and approach bettering that at 7.1%, so a combination of ball-striking will outweigh any of your menial short game metrics, even if strokes gained putting on Bentgrass is still a weighable option. Overall, a variety of weighted proximity, ball-striking, TPC scoring and a weighted mixture of all three scoring zones looks to be most predictive of what we need out of a golfer to compete at TPC Twin Cities, but there is some luck that will come into play, which you might notice by all three past winners at this course taking home the title at odds of over 100/1.

 

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat TPC Twin Cities Tour Average
Driving Distance 290 282
Driving Accuracy 63% 62%
GIR Percentage 72% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 55% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.45 0.55

 

Key Stats 

Let's quickly run through how I built my model.

  • Weighted Ball-Striking (25%)
  • Strokes Gained Total TPC (15%)
  • Strokes Gained Total Bent (10%)
  • Weighted Par 3 (5%)
  • Weighted Par 4 (20%)
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better (15%)
  • Weighted Birdie or Better (10%)

I will take a deeper dive into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

***There are three players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.

Let's keep things short and simple in the $10,000 section. We only have three golfers to pick between if we decide to start our builds up top, and it is not as if any of the price points will break the bank since Tony Finau leads the way at a mere $10,500. For that reason, I expect the American to go off the board as potentially the highest owned option on the slate, but none of that suggests that he still isn't in play.

We have a weird situation for the 3M Open where the chalk seems to be condensing in the same spots, and the real value can be found down the bottom of the board, which means I am not going to try and talk anyone out of a specific route to start your construction. Builds with Finau, Hideki or Sungjae are all within the range of possibilities, but be aware of aggregate ownership when the exact makeup of the build does start to form.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

Remember, there are legitimate routes present if you can't seem to get yourself off the chalk and want to leave a copious amount of funds on the table. The fact that we only have seven golfers from $9,000 and above means everyone will naturally find themselves in the same spots, and it will take some outside-of-the-box thinking to get unique. My favorite play in this range is likely Maverick McNealy ($9,300) if we get some reduction in ownership from his fellow competitors in the group, but it is hard to give an answer on a Monday when pricing looks solid from top-to-bottom. Popularity and how to get different will end up telling the story.

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$8,000 Range

Cameron Davis ($8,900), Cameron Tringale ($8,800), Brendan Steele ($8,300), Martin Laird ($8,200) and Nick Hardy ($8,000) are all in play for me early in the week. I likely will find myself out on the rest of the group if ownership doesn't take a drastic shift, but I don't even mind mixing and matching in this range to land your first man into a roster. All cards are on the table with construction.

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000+)

The list removes all players outside the top-50 in overall or upside rank + negative totals against both their DraftKings price and ownership. We will break this list down more as ownership continues to trickle in over the next few days.

 

Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider

All the players below were inside the top-65 in one of the two iterations and also positive during either the differential against DraftKings price or ownership. You can use my model to get a complete breakdown of the field, but this condensed things down nicely as a first run.

 

Best Early Leverage Inside Top 60 ($8,000 and Below):

 

Most Underpriced in the $6,000 Range:

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Roman Anthony

"High Probability" Roman Anthony Lands on Injured List
Justin Thomas

Making Fourth Ryder Cup Team Appearance at Bethpage
Ben Griffin

Making First Career Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Bryson DeChambeau

Set to be Part of Team USA at Bethpage
Jason Adam

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Roman Anthony

Will Undergo MRI on Wednesday
Santi Aldama

Bags Double-Double in Losing Effort
Guerschon Yabusele

Erupts for 36 Points Against Poland
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Leads Slovenia Into Next Round at EuroBasket
San Antonio Spurs

Stanley Umude Signs Training Camp Deal With Spurs
Reece Beekman

Joins Magic for Training Camp
Justin Minaya

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Magic
Travis Hunter

Jaguars List Travis Hunter as Starting Wide Receiver, Backup Cornerback
Kyle Tucker

Leaves With Calf Tightness on Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Rest of EuroBasket
Max Scherzer

Blue Jays Confident Max Scherzer Will Make Saturday Start Despite Back Tightness
Roman Anthony

Leaves Early With Back Injury
Jared McCain

"On Pace" for Training Camp
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Nick Kurtz

Back in Action on Tuesday
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Nick Lodolo

Scratched With Illness
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Najee Harris

Says He's Expecting to Play Against Chiefs
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Departs Monday with Quad Injury
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Dominates Against Sweden
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Suit Up in Week 1
Kristaps Porzingis

Finding Form at EuroBasket
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Suffers Minor Injury at EuroBasket
DJ Moore

Bears Experimenting with DJ Moore in Backfield
Rome Odunze

Could Move All Around the Offense
Carolina Panthers

Dave Canales Comfortable With Panthers' Young Receivers
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering NCAA Return
Dallas Goedert

Healthy for Week 1
Marvin Mims Jr.

Returns to Practice Monday
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Carted Off Monday With Knee Injury
Jason Adam

Diagnosed With Ruptured Left Quadriceps Tendon
Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Scratched on Monday
Matthew Stafford

Expected to Start in Week 1
Edward Cabrera

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Sprain
Najee Harris

Cleared for Contact, Could Play in Week 1
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Harry Ford

Called Up for Major-League Debut
Victor Scott II

Activated From Injured List
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Dealing With Hamstring Tightness, Expects to Play Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Thanasis Antetokounmpo

Agrees to a One-Year Contract with Milwaukee
Kyrie Irving

"Healing Up Great"
Dante Exum

Mavs Agree on a One-Year Deal
Jaylen Warren

Agrees to Two-Year Extension With Steelers
De'Von Achane

Practicing Monday, on Track to Play in Week 1
Quinshon Judkins

Could Report to Browns This Week
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs, Trent McDuffie Not Expected to Finalize Extension
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Dameon Pierce

Ahead of Schedule, Ready for Season
Jordan Love

May Wear Thumb Brace During Season
Chicago Bears

Bears Head Coach Admits Offense Could Face Learning Curve
Matt Chapman

Leaves Early on Sunday, Expects to Play Monday
A.J. Brown

Says He'll Be Active For Season Opener
Luis Garcia

to Make Season Debut on Monday
Max Scherzer

Exits Due to Back Tightness
Taylor Ward

Exits Early After Collison
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic to Miss the Rest of EuroBasket
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington
Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Waived by the Mavs
Lauri Markkanen

Dominant in Win Over Great Britain

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP