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DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (12/23/23): Today's Top NBA DFS Lineups

Nikola Jokic - NBA DFS Lineup Picks, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

The top daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on December 23, 2023. Kyle Ringstad provides NBA DFS analysis and sleeper picks for building optimal DFS rosters.

It's a beautiful Saturday and we have a monster 11-game NBA slate on tap before the Christmas slates get underway. The Magic-Pacers, Spurs-Mavericks, and Grizzlies-Hawks games all profile as top contests to target in daily fantasy, but there are plenty of great spots to pick and choose your plays.

As always, injuries are a key factor here and we will need to monitor for news and make adjustments as we learn more. The key players to monitor are Luka Doncic, Anthony Davis, Tyrese Haliburton, LeBron James, Kyrie Irving, Zion Williamson, Jordan Clarkson, Talen Horton-Tucker, Keldon Johnson, Jalen Duren, and Dante Exum.

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 12/23/23. Remember to monitor NBA injury news and our awesome new NBA injuries report tool, as the slate can completely change before lineups lock at 7:00 pm EST.

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I start my process with a "K-Grade" model shown below, which I've been fine-tuning for about three years. This model takes real metrics like the implied total, fantasy points per game allowed, defensive ratings, offensive ratings, and projected pace, and applies them to a model with weights. It should be used as a directional guide for the slate and I've had plenty of success with it, but stick to your process and DFS best practices. For example, a player on a team with a "D" K-Grade could easily be the top value on the slate due to a significant uptick in minutes and usage rate.

DraftKings and FanDuel Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Luka Doncic, DAL vs. SAS – PG ($11,700 DK; $12,500 FD)

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks are in the premier spot of the night, so we should probably be playing the star point guard in daily fantasy lineups. The matchup and game environment can't get much better - the Magic-Pacers contest holds a slightly higher total and faster-projected pace, but the Mavericks-Spurs showdown features the two defenses that allow the most combined fantasy points per game on the slate. The Spurs allow the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing teams and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to point guards, specifically. As long as Doncic plays and Kyrie Irving remains out, this is as guaranteed a "smash spot" as you'll see all month.

Craig Porter Jr., CLE v. CHI - PG ($5,700 DK; $5,400 FD)

Someone has to play guard for the Cavaliers, right? Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, and Ty Jerome are all out tonight, leaving Caris LeVert, Max Strus, Craig Porter Jr., and a questionable Sam Merill as the group of guards left on the roster. LeVert and Strus are expensive, so Porter Jr. is the call here. He holds the highest DK point differential with Mitchell, Garland, Jerome, and Evan Mobley off the floor, as they will be tonight. The game environment is poor, but we have to find value somewhere and Porter Jr. is lined up to provide it tonight.

Others to consider: Trae Young, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Anfernee Simons, Ja Morant

 

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DraftKings and FanDuel Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Derrick Jones Jr., DAL vs. SAS - SF ($5,900 DK, $5,800 FD)

There's a lot of uncertainty about the Mavericks' roster for tonight's game, with Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dante Exum, Dereck Lively II, and Josh Green all questionable to play. Derrick Jones Jr. doesn't have a designation, though, and I want any under-rostered pieces of this Dallas team that I can reasonably get to. Jones Jr. has had some great games when thrust into additional minutes this season. He's volatile, but we have to embrace volatility in daily fantasy if we want a shot at binking a tournament. Keep an eye on the news and adjust accordingly.

Jalen Williams, OKC vs. LAL, SF/PF ($6,400 DK, $6,700 FD)

Jalen Williams is one of the biggest beneficiaries of Josh Giddey being out of the lineup. The young forward gets a 4.4% usage rate bump and 4-point DK points per game increase with Giddey off the floor this season - only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sees higher increases in the split. Williams should also benefit from playing the Lakers, a team that's allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing teams over their last seven games.

Others to consider: Scottie Barnes, Desmond Bane, Paolo Banchero, Pascal Siakam, Mikal Bridges, Dante Exum

 

DraftKings and FanDuel Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks

Nikola Jokic, DEN vs. CHA - C ($11,300 DK; $12,200 FD)

There are a ton of star players to consider anchoring lineups with at the top tonight, but none of them look better than Nikola Jokic (at least on DraftKings). Jokic's salary dropped considerably following a few uncharacteristic games, but it's at a point now where he only needs 56.5 DK points to hit 5x value. He's averaging 61.7 DK points per game this season and has scored over 64 DK points in three of his last five games. Charlotte does not have the horses to slow him down as they're allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing Cs this season.

Others to consider: Chet Holmgren, Anthony Davis, Victor Wembanyama



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed as Probable for Monday's Matchup
Caris LeVert

Expected Back Monday
Duncan Robinson

Questionable to Face Hawks
Jalen Duren

Likely to Return Against Hawks Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Alexandre Sarr

Iffy for Monday
Mark Williams

Available Against Lakers Monday
Ryan Dunn

on Track to Return Monday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Uncertain for Monday
Coby White

Returning to Bulls Lineup Monday
Paolo Banchero

Unavailable Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jarrett Allen

to Miss a Week of Action
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Listed as Probable for Monday
Anthony Davis

Likely to Play Against Nuggets Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Considered Probable for Monday
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Won't Play Sunday
Kimani Vidal

has Season-High in Rushing Yards in Win Over Raiders
De'Von Achane

Looks Unstoppable on the Ground in Week 13
Davante Adams

has Another Two-Touchdown Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

is Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Adonai Mitchell

has Career Day With 102 Yards, Touchdown in Win
Andre Drummond

Available Versus Atlanta
VJ Edgecombe

Cleared to Suit Up on Sunday
Bijan Robinson

Compiles 191 Total Yards, Touchdown in Loss to Jets
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Again in Week 14 Against Titans
Mike Evans

Could Return in Week 14
Keon Coleman

Active for Week 13
Dalton Kincaid

Officially Inactive for Week 13
Kyren Williams

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Kyren Williams

Suffers Apparent Leg Injury in Week 13, Status Unclear
Woody Marks

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Sauce Gardner

Colts Rule Out Sauce Gardner With Knee Injury
Woody Marks

Questionable to Return With Foot Injury
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

to Return Saturday
Mattias Samuelsson

in Concussion Protocol
Kyle Palmieri

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Lukas Dostal

Ruled Out for 2-3 Weeks
Kirill Marchenko

Misses Third Straight Game
Jaden Schwartz

to Miss Six Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Makai Lemon, Skyler Bell Named Biletnikoff Award Finalists

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